The Sports Curmudgeon

George Jones sang:

“It’s finally Friday, I’m outta control,

Forget the workin’ blues and let the good times roll.”

Well, it is indeed Friday, but I am still in control here in Curmudgeon Central and I am ready to let the good times roll with another edition of Football Friday.  And as usual, I will begin with a review of last week’s Six-Pack and Money Line Parlays:

• College = 2-1-0                                              Season total = 15-8-0
• NFL = 2-1-0                                                    Season total = 12-13-3
• M/L Parlays = 2-2                                          Season total = 4-13
• Profit/Loss = +$455                                       Season total = minus-$406

            I do not engage in “what ifs” very often, but I have one for last week.  IF the Jets had beaten the Pats, all four of my Money Line Parlays would have hit and instead of an imaginary profit of $406 the imaginary profit would have been $1983.  May the fleas of a thousand camels infest Zach Wilson’s armpits… [Hat Tip to Johnny Carson as Carnac the Magnificent for that imprecation.]

 

College Football Commentary:

 

The Linfield College Wildcats came home with another win last week defeating the George Fox Bruins 37-10.  That stretches the Wildcats record for 2022 to 7-0 as they return home to McMinnville OR to face the Willamette University Bearcats.  Willamette brings a 2-6 record to the game having lost their last 5 games in a row including a 53-0 blowout loss last weekend.  Go Wildcats!

Auburn and Coach Bryan Harsin “parted ways” last week after Auburn lost by 2 TDs to Arkansas.  That was the straw that broke the camel’s back; Harsin had been in hot water for a while.  Harsin took over the Auburn job from Gus Malzahn after the 2020 season; since then Auburn has gone 9-22 including a 3-10 stretch in its last 13 games.  The removal of Malzahn is interesting because at the time of his firing, Malzahn’s record at Auburn was 67-35 – – and that was not good enough for the boosters and alums at Auburn who seem to think that Auburn needs to be a national champion contender at least every other year.  Here is the statement by the university related to Harsin’s firing last week:

“Auburn University has decided to make a change in the leadership of the Auburn University football program.  President Christopher Roberts made the decision after a thorough review and evaluation of all aspects of the football program. Auburn will begin an immediate search for a coach that will return the Auburn program to a place where it is consistently competing at the highest levels and representing the winning tradition that is Auburn football.”

The Auburn coaching job is a two-edged sword:

1. The expectations are unrealistic and the statement by the school on the release of Harsin makes it clear that those unrealistic expectations are still in place.
2. The money is great.  Harsin will get a reported $15.5M buyout and half of that is due to him within 30 days of his termination plus there is no offset clause in there should he take another coaching job.  Gus Malzahn supposedly had a similar structure to his contract.

The first CFP rankings are out and there is lots of attention paid to those rankings.  I think the Committee has purposely done some finagling with the rankings knowing full well that they will have four or five more iterations before it really matters even a little bit.  I really think the first set of rankings is purposefully provocative to start the drumbeat that leads to the CFP in January.  Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain until Thanksgiving weekend…

Here are some results from last weekend in the SEC:

Arkansas 41  Auburn 27:  Arkansas is now 5-3 and has a real shot at a bowl game in December, but their next three games are all against ranked opponents.  They will play Liberty and LSU at home and then travel to play Ole Miss.  The season finale for Arkansas is on the road at Missouri.  Auburn is now 3-5.

Georgia 42  Florida 20:  The game was over at halftime with Georgia leading 28-3.  To give you an idea of Georgia’s dominance here, the Bulldogs turned the ball over 3 times in the game and the Gators did not turn the ball over once.  Yet, the final score had the Bulldogs up by just over 3 TDs.  Normally losing the turnover stat by 3 is a ticket to a loss.

Tennessee 44  Kentucky 6:  Pay attention to the Tennessee offense; running up 44 points on a good Kentucky defense is an impressive outing.  Even more impressive is that the Tennessee defense came up big in this game holding Kentucky to only 205 yards of offense for the day.  Look forward to the Tennessee/Georgia game this week; it should be interesting indeed.

Ole Miss 31  Texas A&M 28:  The Rebels gained 390 yards on the ground in this game on 62 carries.  That loss leaves the Aggies with an overall record of 3-5 with an SEC record of 1-4.  I read a report that said it would take $84M to buy out Jimbo Fisher’s contract.  I wonder if the “big money boys” around College Station have the stomach to pony up that much cheese…  By the way, that rushing total by Ole Miss is not totally surprising.  The Rebels have gained 250 or more yards in a game 5 times this season.

And in some Big-10 action from last week …

Ohio St. 44  Penn St. 31:  The teams combined to score only 30 points in the first three quarters of the game.  Then the two teams combined to score 45 points in the 4^th quarter alone.  Why not?  The stat sheet for the game was almost even – – except for the fact that Penn St. turned the ball over 4 times and Ohio St. did not turn it over at all.  Penn St. led 21-13 early in the 4^th quarter but could not hold the lead.

Minnesota 31  Rutgers 0:  This was a spanking.  Rutgers’ total offense for the day was 134 yards.  Rutgers managed 7 first downs in the game and one of those first downs came via a penalty on Minnesota.  Oh, and the Scarlet Knights “helped their cause” by turning the ball over 3 times in the game.  What a stinkeroo of a performance…

Illinois 26  Nebraska 9:  The Illini are in control in the Big-10 West; they have to lose a game for any other team there to challenge them.  For example, the Huskers are down 2 games in the loss column plus a tiebreaker to the Illini…

Iowa 33 Northwestern 13:  This was an offensive explosion for the Hawkeyes; going into this game Iowa averaged 14.0 points per game…

Michigan 29  Michigan St. 7:  The Wolverines controlled the game; they had more rushing yards (276) than Michigan St. had in total offense (215).  The Michigan defense was dominant in the second half; the Spartans had the ball 5 times in the second half and here are the results of those possessions:

• 3 plays and a PUNT
• 3 plays and a PUNT
• 4 plays and a TURNOVER ON DOWNS
• 5 plays and a PUNT
• 8 plays and an INT

In some ACC action last week …

Miami 14  Virginia 12 (OT):  The game was tied 6-6 at the end of regulation.  Then it took 4 OT periods to get to a decision.  No TDs were scored; all points came from field goals, or the mandatory 2-point conversion tries in OT periods.  The total offense for the two teams combined through regulation time and all the OT periods was 600 yards.

UNC 42  Pitt 4:  The Tar Heels remain unbeaten in ACC games putting them in control of the Coastal Division.  Pitt was the ACC Champion last year but their record this year is only 1-2 in conference games and 4-3 overall.

NC State 22  Va Tech 21:  Tech led by 18 points at one point in the third quarter and led 21-10 at the start of the 4^th quarter in this game.  One oddity from the stat sheet is that the Hokies were penalized 13 times in the game and 10 of those penalties were for a false start.  That is the sort of thing you tend to see in Pop Warner football…

Louisville 48  Wake Forest 21:  The stat sheet says this game should be really close:

• Total Offense:  Louisville = 410 yards   Wake Forest = 398 yards.

The stat sheet was like a Sesame Street episode brought to you by the number 8:

• Turnovers:  Louisville = 0   Wake Forest = 8  as in Eight!
• Sacks by Louisville:  8  as in Eight!

To put that turnover stat in perspective, Wake Forest had only committed 5 Turnovers in the 7 games leading up to last weekend.  Wow!

Moving on to Big-12 games from last weekend …

TCU 41  West Virginia 31:  The Horned Frogs are still undefeated in 2022.  TCU had three TD plays of 50+ yards in the game.

K-State 48  Oklahoma St. 0:  I thought Oklahoma St. was going to win outright here so I took them plus a single point in last week’s Six-Pack.  <hanging my head in shame>.  K-State more than doubled the offensive output for the Cowboys:

• K-State = 497 yards offense
• Ok State = 217 yards offense

Three turnovers by Oklahoma St. did not help their cause even a little bit.  This was a great defensive game by K-State; the Cowboys had been averaging almost 45 points per game until last week; in fact, Oklahoma St. never made it to the Red Zone let alone the end zone.

Baylor 45  Texas Tech 17:  Baylor still has an outside shot at being in the Big-12 Championship game; Texas Tech is out of it.

And way out west in the PAC-12 …

Oregon 42  Cal 24:  Yet again, Oregon scored more than 41 points in this game.  Only Georgia has held the Ducks below that number in 2022.   However, a look at the Oregon defensive stats does not paint nearly as rosy a picture:

• Oregon is 76^th in the country in Total Defense allowing 386.3 yards per game
• Oregon is 82^nd in the country in Scoring Defense allowing 28.4 points per game

Utah 21  Washington St. 17:  Utah maintained the importance of its upcoming game against USC in terms of PAC-12 Conference standings.  The PAC-12 Championship game will involve two of these four teams:

1. Oregon
2. UCLA
3. USC
4. Utah

Washington St. will not be part of that crowd but has an excellent shot at bowl-eligibility.  They are not going to be serious underdogs in any of their remaining games; in fact, they will be favored in three of their four remaining games and could well be favored in the fourth one.

And in “other games of interest from last week” …

UConn 13  BC 3:  UConn is above .500 at this point in the 2022 schedule; I surely would not have predicted that in August.  The alert status in BC has to be the college football equivalent of DEFCON 1.  Right?

Notre Dame 41  Syracuse 24:  That makes two losses in a row for Syracuse.  Notre Dame won the game by running the ball; the Irish gained 246 yards on the ground on 54 carries.

UNC-Charlotte 56  Rice 23:  This was a game Rice was probably counting on to become bowl-eligible.  Life is going to be more difficult after losing to a bad UNC-Charlotte team.  The Owls were 15-point favorites at home in this game.

New Mexico St. 23  UMass 13:  The Aggies had to travel 2500 miles to get this win; I guess it was worth it…  UMass actually led at halftime 13-10 and then failed to score in the second half.

 

The SHOE Tournament:

 

The CFP determines a national champion on the field of play.  I know it will never happen, but I like to fantasize about determining the worst team in the country on the field of play also.  I call it the SHOE Tournament because it finds the SHOE team of the year where SHOE stands for Steaming Heap Of Excrement.  Here is how it would work:

I pick the worst 8 teams in the country and seed them with the worst of the bunch seeded #1 and the “least worst” at #8.

Then we play a normal bracket of 8 teams except the loser in each round has to play on while the winner can go home and not have to continue to embarrass itself on the field.

In the end there is one ultimate losing team…

I will begin this week by identifying 12 teams that are on my radar screen for entry into the SHOE Tournament.  As with the initial CFP rankings, there is lots of time and room for modification here – – but I’ll give it an early go this week putting my candidates in alphabetical order lest anyone think a seeding process has begun:

• Akron  1-8
• Colorado  1-7
• Colorado St.  2-6
• Hawaii  2-7
• La-Monroe  2-6
• Nevada  2-7
• New Mexico  2-6
• Northwestern  1-7
• Northern Illinois  2-7
• UMass  1-7
• UNC-Charlotte  2-7
• USF  1-7

 

College Games of Interest This Week:

 

Air Force – 7.5 at Army (40.5):  Air Force will claim the Commander-in-Chief Trophy with a win here since it has already defeated Navy earlier in 2022.  Tempted to play this game UNDER …

UNC – 7 at Virginia (61):  The spread opened at 9 points and dropped to this level; meanwhile the Total Line opened at 58.5 points and has risen to this level. The Tar Heels look to remain undefeated in ACC games this year.  UNC will score points; the UNC defense is not good – – but the Virginia offense is not good either.  I like the Tar Heels to win and cover even on the road; put it in the Six-Pack.

Michigan – 26 at Rutgers (45):  Two weeks ago, Rutgers broke a 21-game home losing streak in conference games by beating Indiana.  Last week, Rutgers was on the road.  This week, they can start a new losing streak in home conference games.

Wake Forest – 4 at NC State (54):  Both teams are already bowl eligible with 6-2 records; neither team is going to catch Clemson in the ACC Atlantic Division.  This one is just a game for bragging rights along Interstate 40.

Florida St. – 7.5 at Miami (52.5):  About 20 years ago, this would have been the biggest game of the year.  Not nearly so this week…

Ga. Tech at Va. Tech – 3 (41):  Guaranteed that “Tech” will win this game…

Iowa at Purdue – 3.5 (39.5):  Purdue trails Illinois in the Big-10 West race; the Boilermakers have 2 conference losses and Illinois has only 1.  This game means more to Purdue than it does to Iowa.

Penn St. – 14 at Indiana (50):  The Nittany Lions look to bounce back here after losing to Ohio St. last week.

Syracuse at Pitt – 3.5 (48.5):  Syracuse has lost two in a row – – to Clemson and then to Notre Dame – – after starting the season at 6-0.  Pitt has 3 conference losses; so, it is out of the running for the ACC Championship Game, but the Panthers do need 2 more wins to achieve bowl eligibility.

Oklahoma St at Kansas – 1 (64.5):  Kansas has lost 3 in a row; Oklahoma St. was pantsed by K-State last week (see above).  The Cowboys can still get into the Big-12 Championship Game; the Jayhawks are not mathematically eliminated but they will need a lot of Pixie Dust to get an invite there.

USF – 3.5 at Temple (50):  Two bad teams here.  USF is on my SHOE Tournament radar and Temple will put themselves there with a loss in this game.

Liberty at Arkansas – 14.5 (51):  Both teams have made brief appearances in the Top 25 in 2022.  Liberty is 7-1 so far this year; Arkansas is 5-3 and needs a win to become bowl-eligible.  That line looks fat to me; I’ll take Liberty plus those points; put it in the Six-Pack.

Michigan St. at Illinois – 17 (41):  Bret Bielema seems to have things pointed in the right direction in his second year at the helm for Illinois.  Meanwhile, Mel Tucker’s program at Michigan St. seems to be coming apart at the seams in Tucker’s third year in East Lansing.

Maryland at Wisconsin – 4.5 (49.5):  The Terps are 6-2; the Badgers are 4-4 and need to find 2 more wins to make it to a bowl game this year.

Texas – 2.5 at K-State (54):  If the Longhorns want to have any chance at all to be in the Big-12 Championship Game, they must win this one.  K-State is solidly in second place with only 1 conference loss but would fall behind the Longhorns on a tiebreaker if they lose this one.  Seriously important game for both teams…

Baylor at Oklahoma – 3.5 (61):  Baylor is in the same position as Texas; they must win this game to maintain a shot at being in the Big-12 Championship Game.

Ohio St. – 38.5 at Northwestern (56):  This should be an “Avert-Your-Eyes Game”.  The most interesting thing here is that the Total Line opened the week at 62 points and has dropped significantly from that level.

Florida at Texas A&M-3 (55):  Neither team can be happy with their status at this point of the season.  Their joint SEC record so far this year is 2-8.  The Aggies have lost 4 games in a row…

Auburn at Mississippi St. – 12 (51):  Game is interesting only to see how Auburn plays under its new interim coach…

Tennessee at Georgia – 8 (67):  This is certainly the Game of the Week in college football.  It might even be the Game of the Year – – and how refreshing might that be since the “Game of the Year” has always involved Alabama for the past several years.  Both teams are undefeated.  Take a look at some stats here:

• Georgia allows 10.5 points per game
• Tennessee scores 49.4 points per game

And …

• Georgia allows 85.4 yards per game on the ground
• Tennessee averages 199.6 yards per game on the ground

And …

• Tennessee allows 393.6 yards per game in total offense
• Georgia produces 530.1 yards per game in total offense

Texas Tech at TCU – 8 (68):  TCU is still unbeaten in 2022 sitting in first place in the Big-12 standings…

Alabama – 13 at LSU (56):  Alabama cannot afford another loss; they need to win out to climb into the CFP bracket.  Both teams are ranked in the Top Ten for now and while both teams have a great reputation for tough defenses, the 2022 teams are much stronger offensively.  I see lots of scoring here so let me take the game to go OVER; put it in the Six-Pack.

Clemson – 4 at Notre Dame (44.5):  Clemson is another undefeated team looking to impress the CFP Committee.

 

NFL Commentary:

 

            There were some interesting moves at the NFL trading deadline this week.  I have already commented on the Christian McCaffrey, Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith trades by the Panthers and the Bears so let me quickly comment on some others:

• Bears acquire Chase Claypool from the Steelers:  I understand why the Bears would want to upgrade their pass-catching cadre.  What I do not understand is how or why the Steelers think trading away their most experienced receiver helps their rookie QB.
• Jags acquire Calvin Ridley from Falcons:  Ridley is suspended indefinitely and cannot even apply for reinstatement until next March.  Again, I am not sure how or why the Falcons consider him to be expendable.  Ridley will be back eventually.
• Vikes acquire TJ Hockenson from Lions:  Trading a Pro Bowl caliber player to a division rival is hardly commonplace.  Ladies and gentlemen, I hope you are not surprised that it was the Lions that did this.

They say that sometimes the best trades you make are the ones you don’t make.  Well, the Packers better hope that is the case because the Packers need help this year and they got bupkes at the trade deadline.

Two years ago, the Dolphins got three high draft picks from the Niners that allowed the Niners to move way up in the Draft so that the Niners could take Trey Lance.  The Dolphins have traded away those three high draft picks and got in return:

1. Jaylen Waddle: One of the picks was part of the trade that moved the Dolphins up ahead of the Eagles to make that pick.
2. Tyreek Hill:  One of the picks went to the Chiefs in the trade that got Hill to Miami.
3. Bradley Chubb:  The last of those picks was part of the deal to get Bradley Chubb at this year’s trading deadline.

So, if you look at the trade as being Waddle, Hill and Chubb in exchange for Lance, you would have to say that it looks like the Dolphins won that trade comfortably – – at least for now.

This year’s iteration of the Tampa Bay Bucs is a mess.  The Bucs’ offense exposes the defensive unit because the offense does not stay on the field enough.  Consider that the Bucs rank 27^th in the NFL in third-down conversions.  That means they do not put together lots of long drives that eat up the clock.  That fact is compounded by the fact that the Bucs’ offense does not give the defense a lot of margin for error.  When the Bucs do get into the Red Zone, the offense ranks 29^th in the NFL in touchdown efficiency.  Far too often, the Bucs have to settle for a field goal in those situations – – which is better than when they turn the ball over in those situations.

One of the things that makes for Red Zone efficiency is the ability to run the ball effectively.  The back line of the end zone is like a 12^th or even a 13^th defender when the ball is inside the 20-yardline.  If the defense has no reason to play the run honestly, it makes for an awfully crowded area for the Red Zone offense.  And the Bucs running game is vestigial in 2022.  The Bucs average only 62 yards per game on the ground – – dead last in the NFL.  So, the question now becomes:

• Are they last in rushing offense because they throw the ball about 75-80% of the time – – OR – – do they throw the ball 75-80% of the time because they just cannot run the ball?

Speaking of teams that are a mess, allow me to turn your attention to the Las Vegas Raiders.  With a 2-5 record for the season – – and their BYE Week already in the books – – they are in last place in the AFC West.  That is bad enough but then there is last week’s 24-0 loss to the mediocre New Orleans Saints.  If you watch the Saints’ highlights” one of the things that will jump out at you is the miserable tackling attempted by the Raiders’ defenders.  There are Pop Warner teams that tackle more effectively.  Raiders’ defensive coordinator, Patrick Graham said after that game that his charges need to “execute at a higher level”.  That is coach-speak for:

“Those guys stunk out the joint in the Saints’ game and if they do that again, I am going to lose my job!”

However, do not get the idea that the Raiders’ offense is off the hook here.  An offense that features Derek Carr, Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs generated only 183 total yards on offense for the game.  [Aside:  Alvin Kamara alone had 158 yards from scrimmage in that game.]  Here are two things Raiders’ fans need to be asking themselves:

1. Is it possible that Josh McDaniels is a really good offensive coordinator and a really bad head coach?
2. Where is Rich Bisaccia now that we need him?

Here are some comments about games from last weekend:

Broncos 21  Jags 17:  I read a report that said the “Broncos saved their season” with this win.  That may be a bit premature since the Broncos are now 3-5 in the AFC West and trail the Chiefs by 3 games in the loss column.  Having said that, they are in better shape than the Jags whose record now is 2-6 and they seem to play just well enough to lose close games.  The Jags’ passing attack was anemic at best here; it averaged only 3.5 yards per pass attempt.  Travis Etienne, however, had a good day running the ball for the Jags; he gained 156 yards on 24 carries and scored a TD.

Vikes 34  Cards 26:  Don’t look now, but the Vikes are 6-1 and lead both the Packers and the Bears by 4 games in the loss column.  The stat sheet was pretty even but the Cards had 3 turnovers – – including 2 INTs by Kyler Murray in the second half of the game – – which tilted things in favor of the Vikes.  One other thing from the stat sheet that stands out is that the Vikes had 5 Red Zone opportunities and scored TDs every time.

Falcons 37  Panthers 34 (OT):  The Falcons now lead the NFC South with a 4-4 record.  They tried to lose this game in the final seconds of regulation time, but Panthers’ WR DJ Moore was having none of that.  Here is what happened:

• Falcons led by 6 with less than 30 seconds left in the game.
• Panthers had the ball on their own 38-yardline.
• PJ Walker threw up a Hail Mary to DJ Moore who ran between two defenders to get behind both of them.
• That TD pass tied the score, and the PAT was going to win it for the Panthers … BUT …
• Moore took off his helmet to celebrate and incurred a 15-yard penalty.
• That moved the PAT try back making it 48-yard kick attempt.
• It failed; the game went to OT; the Falcons won it with a FG late in the OT.
• That is the sort of outcome that falls in favor of a team that is in the good graces of the football gods…

Cowboys 49  Bears 29:  The Total Line for this game was 43 points; the Cowboys blew past that number by themselves.  An astonishing stat from this game is that the Cowboys were 9 for 11 on third-down conversions.  Both teams ran the ball very well; the Bears gained 240 yards on 43 carries and the Cowboys gained 200 yards on 29 attempts.  The Bears passing game was “limited” to be as polite as I can be.

Saints 24  Raiders 0:   It is easy to look at the stats for the game and point the finger at the Raiders’ offense as the reason for the loss here because that offense gained a measly 182 yards on offense for the day.  But that is only half the story.  The Raiders’ defense was similarly inept; for some reason, half the defenders on the field seemed to forget that using their arms as part of the technique of tackling is a good idea.  This was a totally sloppy effort by just about everyone on the Raiders’ roster (see comments above).

Dolphins 31  Lions 27:  The Lions scored all 27 points in the first half and led 27-17 at halftime.  The Lions had the ball only 3 times in the second half with these results:

• 3 minutes and 55 seconds  5 plays  minus-2 yards  PUNT
• 3 minutes and 6 seconds  5 plays  1 yard  PUNT
• 5 minutes and 27 seconds  10 plays  53 yards  TURNOVER ON DOWNS

That pretty much tells you why the Lions’ defense could not hold the lead…  By the way, this is not a new situation for the Lions; over the last 3 games, the Lions have not scored a single point in the second half of those games.

Pats 22  Jets 17:  I did not see the game as it happened, but I have seen “highlights” of the 3 INTs that Zack Wilson threw in the game, and they were 3 genuinely ugly plays.  Two of them looked to be attempted throwaways that went to a defender instead of to the guy on the sidelines filling the Gatorade cups.  The Jets outgained the Pats by 99 yards for the day, but the Pats’ defense limited the Jets’ running game to only 51 yards.

Eagles 35  Steelers 13:  AJ Brown dominated the Steelers’ secondary catching 6 passes for 156 yards and 3 TDs.  The Eagles’ defense did its part forcing 2 turnovers and sacking Kenny Pickett 6 times.  The Steelers posted a pair of entries on the stat sheet that are strange in juxtaposition:

• Steelers’ third-down conversions:  1 for 11
• Steelers’ fourth-down conversions:  4 for 4 (and one of the conversions was a TD)

Tony Romo reported a stat during the telecast that the Eagles – – now 7-0 on the season – – have not trailed for even one second in the second half of any game so far this year.

Titans 17  Texans 10:  The Titans won this one with rookie Malik Willis at QB.  A lot of what Willis did for the day was to hand the ball to Derrick Henry 32 times and watch as Henry ran for 219 yards and 2 TDs.  In what would try to look like a passing game, Willis threw the ball 10 times and gained 55 yards on those attempts.  Meanwhile the Titans’ defense held the Texans’ offense to only 161 yards total offense for the day.

Seahawks 27  Giants 13:  The Giants trailed 13-10 at the start of the 4^th quarter which set them up for a fourth quarter win as has been their specialty this season.  Not today.  While the Seahawks put 2 TDs on the scoreboard, here are the results of the 4^th quarter possessions by the Giants:

• 3 plays  6 yards  PUNT
• 9 plays  46 yards  TURNOVER ON DOWNS
• 6 plays  3 yards  END OF GAME

The Seahawks at 5-3 sit atop the NFC West.

Dwight Perry had this observation about tis game in the Seattle Times:

“If you predicted before the NFL season that the only Week 8 matchup pairing winning teams would be the Seahawks and Giants, step forward and claim your prize.

“And slip us the next winning Powerball numbers while you’re at it.”

Niners 31  Rams 14:  The Rams were shut out in the second half and Cooper Kupp injured an ankle in the final series of the game – – severity of the injury is still TBD.  The Niners’ defense limited the Rams’ running game to 56 yards on 19 carries. The Niners’ performance was dominant; they outgained the Rams by 145 yards; they also averaged 7.1 yards per offensive play to only 4.0 yards per play by the Rams.

Commanders 17  Colts 16:  The Commanders have won 3 in a row and are back to .500 – – and they are still in last place in the NFC East.  The Colts started Sam Ehlinger at QB replacing the injured/benched Matt Ryan and Ehlinger did not embarrass himself; this was not anything like the time the Cowboys ran Ben DiNucci out to start a game.  Here is Ehlinger’s stat line:

• 17 of 23 for 201 yards with 0 TDs and 0 INTs

Taylor Heinicke started again for the Commanders and led two scoring drives producing 10 points and the win in the final 12 minutes of the game.

Bills 27  Packers 17:  The game did not feel like one with a 10-point margin of victory; there was never any serious indication that the Packers might win this game.  The Packers had more total offense in the game than the Bills but lots of it came as the Packers looked to move the ball from deep in their own territory.

 

NFL Games this Week:

 

It is a big week for BYE Weeks on the NFL schedule with 6 teams on hiatus:

1. Broncos:  They need to use the extra time they have here to figure out how to score more than 21 points in a game.  The team’s defense got a little bit worse with the trading of Bradley Chubb,
2. Browns:  They looked good in dominating the Bengals last week, but consistency has eluded this team for several years now.
3. Cowboys:  Their offense can pat themselves on the back for scoring 49 points last week against the Bears.  Meanwhile, the defense should be given a swift kick in the posterior for allowing the Bears to score 29 points in only 4 quarters.
4. Giants:  They lost a game when they were within striking distance in the 4^th quarter; the Giants have won lots of those in 2022.  They need a week to reassure themselves that they can do that sort of thing again and again …
5. Niners:  They get another week to get Christian McCaffrey familiar with the arcane parts of the Niners’ playbook.  Even more importantly, the defense gets to give some of its performers time to heal.
6. Steelers:  This may turn out to be Mike Tomlin’s first losing season as the coach of the Steelers – – but the team will go down fighting.

Last night, the Eagles beat the Texans 29-17.  This was a “talent wins out” game; the Eagles have a better roster than the Texans, but the Eagles played down to the level of their opponent.  Given that type of performance, it is still at least 6 weeks too early for anyone to be mentioning a 17-0 season for the team.

A general comment on the NFL card for this weekend is that there are no “great games” and there are lots of games that can be considered for the “Dog-Breath designation”.  I think you will be surprised at my pick for Game of the Week” below…

Colts at Pats – 5.5 (40.5):  The Colts went with Sam Ehlinger at QB last week and the offense sputtered – – as it has all season long.  The Pats have also been less than formidable on offense in 2022 no matter whom they play at QB.  This game should be interesting to watch because it should be close from start to finish.  The Pats need this game if they want to climb out of the AFC East basement; the Colts need this game because they already trail the Titans by two games and have lost the tiebreaker already.

Bills – 11 at Jets (46):  Both teams have a winning record; the Jets trail the Bills by 2 games in the AFC East, so, the game has relevance to the standings.  Nevertheless, this looks like a mismatch to me.  I ran across this stat at one of those “handicapping sites”:

• Bills have been favored by double-digits 10 times over the last two seasons.
• Bills are 6-2-2 against the spread in those 10 games.

Dolphins – 4 at Bears (45.5):  This makes two road games in a row for the Dolphins and that is never a plus for an NFL team.  Moreover, the Dolphins’ 5-3 record is slightly tainted by the fact that the team also has a negative 14-point differential; other teams with that same record all have positive point differentials this morning.  Nonetheless, even though the Bears’ offense exploded last week and scored 29 points, the fact is that the Bears still average fewer than 20 points per game.  I am not yet sold on the Bears’ offense, so I’ll take the Dolphins to win and cover here; put it in the Six-Pack.

Vikes – 3 at Commanders (43.5):  This is a ‘Homecoming game” for Kirk Cousins.  The Vikes are 6-1 coming into the game having won 5 in a row and lead the NFC North by a comfortable 4 games in the loss column.  The Commanders are in last place in the NFC East, but they have won 3 games in a row thanks to a trio of good defensive efforts.  This game got brief consideration as the Game of the Week.

Packers – 3.5 at Lions (49.5):  The spread for this game opened as a “Pick ‘em game” but that did not last long at all.  The Lions have the worst record in the NFL and have lost 5 games in a row.  The Packers have disappointed lots of people and have lost 4 games in a row.  This is the Dog-Breath Game of the Week.  The Lions’ defense has given up more points than any other team in the league – – and the Lions have had a BYE Week already.

Chargers – 3.5 at Falcons (49.5):  The Falcons lead the NFC South with a 4-4 record.  The Chargers trail the Chiefs by a game in the AFC West.  The game is relevant to the standings.  Moreover, the oddsmakers have this pegged as a close game.  The Falcons will try to run the ball down the Chargers’ throats; the Chargers will try to throw the ball all over the field.  This is my Game of the Week.  This is also a “body-clock game” for a west coast team playing in the early time slot on the east coast.  Just a hunch but give me the Falcons plus the points at home; put it in the Six-Pack.

Panthers at Bengals – 7 (42.5):  Neither team has shown much consistency this season, but the Panthers appear to be playing better in recent weeks with PJ Walker at QB.  I think the key to this game is the protection the Bengals’ OL provides for Joe Burrow because the strength of the Panthers is their defensive front seven.

Raiders – 1.5 at Jags (48):  The spread here opened with the Jags as 1-point favorites; not so anymore…  This game got serious consideration for the “Dog-Breath” label.  The Raiders were awful last week; the Jags have lost 5 games in a row.

Seahawks at Cards – 2 (49):  The Seahawks lead the NFC West; The Cards are in the basement in the NFC West.  So, naturally, the Cards are favored in this game…  Say what?

Rams at Bucs – 3 (42.5):  Back in August if you had shown me this schedule of games, I would have immediately picked this as the Game of the Week.  Not so this weekend; neither team brings a winning record to the kickoff.  The loser of this game might put their playoff aspirations in jeopardy even though the Bucs have a road to the playoffs that only requires them to finish ahead of the rest of the mediocre NFC South teams.  This will be the national game in the late afternoon time slot, and I think it will be pretty thin gruel.

(Sun Nite) Titans at Chiefs – 13 (45.5):  Yes, both teams lead their division so that game has plenty of standings relevance and potentially playoff seeding relevance.  So, how is this not the “Game of the Week”?  Simple.  Look at the spread; the oddsmakers do not think this is going to be a nailbiter.  Now, if it is indeed a nailbiter, this will be – in retrospect – the “Game of the Week”, but I am not doing retrospectives here.  The clash of styles on offense between these teams could not be starker.  It should be an interesting game to watch – – unless it gets out of hand.

(Mon Nite) Ravens – 2.5 at Saints (47.5):  So, did the Saints come to life last week as they dominated the Raiders?  Or did they simply dominate a bad team that put forth a mediocre level of effort?  The Ravens ran the ball for 200+ yards against the Bucs last time out; I doubt they will do anything close to that level of business against the Saints’ defense – – so what can Lamar Jackson do in the passing game.  I think this will be a low scoring game and am tempted to take the UNDER, but I prefer taking the Ravens to win and cover; put it in the Six-Pack.

Let me review the Six-Pack here:

• Alabama/LSU OVER 56
• UNC – 7 over Virginia
• Liberty +14.5 against Arkansas
• Dolphins – 4 over Bears
• Falcons +3.5 against Chargers
• Ravens – 2.5 over Saints

            And here are two Money Line Parlays,

• Bills @ minus-570
• Commanders @ +150           To win $194

And…

• Air Force @ minus-270
• UNC @ minus-270
• Penn St. @ minus-470          To win $128

            Finally, with the midterm elections early next week, that means the majority of the Congressthings have their careers on the line.  So, let me close today with an entry from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm that speaks to Congressional careers:

“Lust:  God’s way of giving overworked, stressed-out congressmen a convenient way to end the careers they lack the courage to end for themselves.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Two nights ago, the Phillies set a World Series record with 5 homeruns in the first 5 innings of a World Series game.  Last night, the Astros had 4 pitchers combine to throw a no-hitter at the Phillies tying the World Series at two games apiece.  What might these two teams have in store for us tonight?  Perhaps an extra inning affair with a final score of 19-18?

One of the narratives for this World Series is that there are no US born Black players on either team in the World Series 75 years after Jackie Robinson broke the color barrier in MLB.  That is a fact; I submit that is also a non-event.  Neither the Astros nor the Phillies have conspired to load their lineups with people who are not of African-American heritage.  The rosters of the two teams do not “mirror US society” and my response to that observation is “So what?”

• The percentage of Black players in the NFL does not mirror US society.
• The percentage of Asian players in the NBA does not mirror US society
• The percentage of Hispanic players in the NHL does not mirror US society – – nor Canadian society.

There is plenty of inequality in society today; there is no need to try to carve out new territory for activism where there is no need for it.

Moving on …  Every metropolis in the country has its own sports story/issue that is at the core of local fandom.  I want to let you in on the DC area’s core-story this morning.  Late yesterday, reports surfaced that Danny Boy Snyder had retained Bank of America as investment bankers to consider offers to buy the Washington Commanders from him.  The team statement and the bank’s statement left it open that what he might choose to do is to sell only a minority interest in the team, but it also opened the door to a possible sale of the whole shootin’ match.

That announcement created the following coverage in this morning’s Washington Post:

1. A front-page story above the fold with 8.5 column-inches on the front page and a total of 42 column-inches on an inside page in Section A.
2. A report on the front-page of the Sports Section with 12 column inches on Page 1 there and another 24 column inches on an inside page
3. A column by Jerry Brewer with 8 column-inches on the front page of the Sports Section with an additional 26 column-inches on an inside page.

If I were to try to give you a flavor of the reporting and the column here in a single word, that word would be:

• Hallelujah!

Fans in this area are at the point where they might willingly accept one or two of the plagues that were visited on Egypt in the Book of Exodus – – if enduring that plague or two guaranteed that Daniel Snyder would sell the team, leave town and go live on his super yacht for the rest of his days on the planet.

I want to make two points here with the open acknowledgement that it is far too early in this story cycle to know how it ends.  These are first impressions that I will be looking to validate or refute as more information becomes available:

1. This might be a PR move by Danny Boy where he makes it look as if he might sell the team but he winds up selling only a minority interest to a group of folks that allow him to “virtue-signal” that he is opening up NFL ownership to people who do not look like all the other NFL owners.
2. If Bank of America comes up with a bid of $6B for the team – – Forbes says it is worth $5.6B – – and Danny Boy jumps at the offer and sells it all, I will have to wonder if the league might have shown Snyder a rough draft of the league’s ongoing investigation into his financial dealings and into the “toxic culture” as a way for him to find a face-saving way to get out from under.

At least for the moment, local writers, commentators and fanboys are overjoyed at the news that Snyder is even considering selling the franchise.  Right now, this is a situation that calls for “wait and see” – – but for most folks it just feels too good to avoid “irrational exuberance”.

For my next topic this morning, let me welcome back to Sports Curmudgeon rants a regular provider of grist for this mill.  José Canseco has been off the radar for a while now, but he just got back in the news earlier this week when he offered up some advice to Aaron Judge.  Actually, what Canseco did was to second some advice to Judge voiced previously by Jake Arietta on a podcast; Arietta told the podcast hosts:

“If I’m him, like ‘F**k Y’all’.  I’m not coming back here.  No, you want to boo me after what I just did for you?  I’m going to the Mets.”

Canseco added to that advice with this Tweet:

“Aaron Judge even if you were to replicate the season you had this year again the fans would still hate you because you’re making more money.  New York is known for the most psychologically damaged angriest people in the world.”

The advice to Aaron Judge from a former Cy Young Award winner and a former AL MVP is simple and direct.  I wonder what Judge’s agent is thinking about his impending free agency; somehow, I think the agent’s take on this is more important.

Finally, since I preached “patience” above regarding the possible sale of the Washington Commanders, let me close with this observation by author/journalist, Ambrose Bierce:

“Patience, n.  A minor form of despair, disguised as a virtue.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports ………

 

 

            The Brooklyn Nets fired coach Steve Nash; the Nets’ season began with a 2-5 record; so, there can be a patina of justification for such a decision.  But if anyone thinks that Steve Nash is now or has been “the problem” behind the underachievement of this attempted super-team, let me suggest that person is living in a delusion.  No one can logically deny the raw basketball talent on the Nets’ roster.  Similarly, no one can doubt that there are three stars on that roster all of whom have things going on between the ears that are not conducive to creating an efficiently functioning team.

I don’t know if Steve Nash – – or the next Nets’ coach – – needs a degree in psychological counseling to succeed there or if a whip and chair would be appropriate tools.  Those three stars on the Nets’ roster created a three-ring circus in Brooklyn not a basketball team.  The insider reports say that the Nets want to hire Ime Udoka to replace Nash and that negotiations are underway to achieve that end.

From a basketball standpoint, that choice makes perfect sense.  Udoka took over the job in Boston last year with the Celtics record below .500 and turned the team around such that it finished the season with a 51-31 record and made it through the playoffs to the NBA Finals.  Maybe he can work the same magic again in Brooklyn this season; the basketball talent is there.  But there is a caveat in my mind:

• The Nets’ problem is not “basketball”; the Nets’ problem is “focus on basketball” to the exclusion of “outside nonsense”.
• Udoka would bring his own knapsack of “outside nonsense” with him to add an entirely new dimension of “outside nonsense” to the dumpster fire already burning in Brooklyn.

Big rewards often come after one takes a big risk.  If that is the mindset of Nets’ owner Joe Tsai this week, then Udoka is a perfect successor for Steve Nash.  Lest you think that Nash is injured in some way by this decision, he will have plenty of money to ease his pain.  According to reports, Nash signed a 5-year contract prior to the 2020/21 NBA season to coach the Nets for a fully-guaranteed $45M.  Assuming the salaries are flat across the term of the deal, he is still owed about $25M.  More importantly, he will receive that $25M without having to put up with the “terrible troika” in Brooklyn.  That is what I would call a “win-win” for Steve Nash.

Let me stay with the NBA for one more comment today.  About a week ago, there was a report at CBSSports.com under a headline that read:

• “Adam Silver says NBA will pay special attention to tanking this season: ‘We put teams on notice’”

The availability in next year’s draft of Victor Wembanyama already started rumors about teams wanting to maximize the number of ping-pong balls they will have in that draft lottery carnival machine.  If you unfamiliar with this youngster, he has played in France not in the US so coverage of him was not nearly as intense as it was for someone like LeBron James about 20 years ago.  If you are interested, Google his name and watch some of the YouTube footage of him.  In short, he is a 7’4” player who can handle the ball and shoot three point shots as well as score inside.  He is going to be a “good ‘un”.

Silver said that he and others in the league offices recognize that some teams will see an improved chance to draft Wembanyama as a small price to pay for a poor record this season.  Silver also recognizes that tanking games this year can call into question the “integrity of the games” and that is a line the Commish has to defend at all costs.  So, Adam Silver has to talk tough on tanking even if he cannot possibly answer a simple and direct question:

• How will you differentiate between a bad team playing poorly and losing games from a bad team purposely playing poorly in order to lose games?  What are your criteria?

Oh, and a bonus question for the Commish:

• If/when you detect tanking in a pure and unambiguous form, what is the penalty that will be exacted?  You put the teams on notice, so you must have also told them the consequences of them tanking the season in spite of your notice…

I’ll hang up and listen for your answer…

In the World Series last night, the Phillies set a World Series record hitting 5 homeruns off one pitcher in a World Series game.  The Phillies won the game 7-0 and lead the Astros 2 games to 1 with Game 4 scheduled for tonight in Philly.  The Phillies look to me to be a team that was constructed as a fantasy league team where defense is no part of the equation.  The Phillies had three players on the field last night who can easily project as a DH because of their defensive limitations:

• Nick Castellanos
• Rhys Hoskins
• Kyle Schwarber

Hoskins and Schwarber both homered in the game – – I think Schwarber’s shot landed about three minutes ago – – and Castellanos contributed a base hit to last night’s win.  Lots of credit has been given to starting pitcher Ranger Suarez for his 5 shutout innings but I think there is one more important thing that Suarez did.

• He kept the ball in the infield and away from the outfield gaps.

That may not sound like a big deal, but when the starting outfield has Schwarber in left field and Castellanos in right field, let’s just say there will be lots of acreage out there that will be left “unprotected”.

Finally, one of the off-the-court issues facing the Brooklyn Nets recently was Kyrie Irving’s association with an antisemitic book and documentary film.  So, let me close today with this this thought on antisemitism from Albert Einstein:

“If my theory of relativity is proven successful, Germany will claim me as a German and France will declare that I am a citizen of the world.  Should my theory prove untrue, France will say that I am a German and Germany will declare that I am a Jew.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

There cannot be any doubt that both Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers will be elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame once they are eligible for that honor.  No one who follows professional football can seriously doubt that assertion; they are both great quarterbacks.  At the same time, 2022 has been a difficult year for both men and for their teams as well.  This morning, both the Bucs and the Packers are 3-5 and both teams have looked inept far more often than we are accustomed to seeing.  No big deal; everyone experiences ups and downs; this is not a cataclysmic situation.

What is interesting to me is the lack of ownership both QBs exhibit here:

• A few weeks ago, Brady said that he saw a lot of “bad football on display” around the NFL this year.  He said less pointedly that the Bucs had played some substandard football this season, but he never quite said that his performance in 2022 was not up to his earlier level of achievement and specifically that he had put some “bad football on display” in 2022.
• About a week ago after the Packers wet the bed in a game against the Commanders, Aaron Rodgers said on a podcast that the Packers made mistakes on about 20% of their plays in that game.  He was very specific in his enumeration of the errors, but he never mentioned that some of his passes were less than perfectly placed and/or that some of his decisions might have been even remotely in error.

Without naming names, Rodgers said that there had to be accountability for mistakes and that – maybe – some players needed to have their “reps” limited if the mistakes continue.  However, from the context of his critical remarks, he was not pointing the finger at himself for any “accountability”.

Obviously, quarterbacks get too much credit for team victories and too much blame for team failures; football is a choreographed game involving 11 players “playing their role” on every snap of the ball.  But it seems to me that part of the “job description” for a quarterback is to avoid any sort of piling on to criticism that may come from fans or social media or things like that.  One important way to do that is for quarterbacks to accept some blame for lack of success.  And that acceptance needs to be more than the obligatory statement in the press room after a game where the losing QB stands up and says he has to do better next week.

Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have been in the NFL for what seems like forever.  Brady has won 76% of the games he has started over the course of his career; Rodgers has won 66% of the games he has started over the course of his career.  Perhaps the issue here is that neither quarterback has learned what leadership means when the team – – and the quarterback – – are playing poorly?

One other NFL note on this morning of the 2022 trade deadline which comes later today…  The Bears appear to be going into a full rebuilding mode.  After trading Robert Quinn to the Eagles last week, the Bears just traded Roquan Smith to the Ravens yesterday.  Trading Quinn makes sense for the Bears; Quinn is 32 years old; the Bears are a young team looking to rebuild.  Trading Smith on the other hand is a bit strange:

• Smith leads the team in tackles and is clearly the Bears’ best linebacker.
• Smith is only 25 years old and has been a second team All-Pro twice in his 4-year career.

For whatever reason(s), the Bears did not pick up his fifth year option and the team could not reach a long term contract extension with Smith and his agent.  So, I guess that “contract question” played a part in making the trade.  The Bears will get a second-round pick and a fifth-round pick in exchange for Smith.

The trade creates an interesting situation for the Ravens once the 2022 season is over.  At that point, the Ravens will have both Lamar Jackson and Roquan Smith with expired contracts that can make them unrestricted free agents.  The “weapon” that teams have in dealing with a star player on an expiring contract is that the teams can apply a franchise tag to a player in that status and that can retain the services of that player for up to three years.  [Aside:  The mandatory 40% increase in salary from Year 2 to Year 3 on the franchise tag makes that third year a theoretical possibility more than an actuality.]  However, each team has only one franchise tag that it can apply at any time.  Two young stars with expiring contracts and only one franchise tag…  Interesting.

There is also something called the “transition tag”.  Without getting into details about the flavors of franchise tags and transition tags, the transition tag is essentially a label a team can apply that gives the team the right to match any contract offered to the player by any other team and if they choose not to match the offer, then the losing team gets draft pick compensation.  Maybe that is the Ravens’ long-term thinking about this situation?

Finally, apropos of nothing, here is an entry from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

“Hummer:  An oversized military vehicle that has been usurped by a generation of Yuppies, whose only contact with action in the desert is when they pack up their REI designer camping equipment and drive out to Joshua Tree to drop mushrooms with their golden retriever.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Halloween is a time when ghosts, goblins and various other “odd phenomena” take center stage for a day.  In that spirit, let me try to deal with some “odd” stories related to the sports world this morning.  I will start with a tragic pre-game incident at a high school football game in Tennessee between David Crockett HS and Jonesborough HS.  Before the game, three parachutists tried to land on the field but one of the three – – an experienced jumper – – crash landed and was fatally injured.  What is odd about that?

1. That is a much more elaborate pre-game event for a high school football game than is normal in my part of the world.  And …
2. After the parachutist was airlifted to a local hospital via helicopter- – to no avail – – they went ahead and played the scheduled football game.

One of the mantras for football coaches everywhere is the attempt to minimize “distractions”.  I have to believe that the players in this game had to be just a bit “distracted” by the pre-game happenings.

The next oddity for today involves a professional fishing tournament in Lake Erie where anglers were in pursuit of walleyes; a purse of $28K was available to the tournament winner(s) and the weight of the fish caught within the rules of the tournament was an important part of the determination of the winner.  Two anglers who caught the heaviest fish have been accused of cheating in that tournament and now face felony charges of:

• Cheating – – who knew that was a felony?
• Attempted grand theft – – Seems proper here
• Possession of criminal tools – – really?

There is also a misdemeanor charge tacked on here for “unlawfully owning wild animals” which I will not even try to explain.  Here is the basis for all this:

• When these two men presented the walleyes they caught during the tournament, the tournament director was suspicious because the fish presented to the judges were “significantly heavier than walleyes of that size normally are”.
• So, the tournament director took a knife and cut open the fish only to find “fishing weights” and “fish fillets” stuffed inside the fish presented to the tournament judges.

At least for me, the idea of presenting a fish to judges that was so unusually heavy as to draw incredulous attention to it is odd enough.  But looking at the charges here and imagining how all of this happened, the “criminal tools” involved here would be fishing weights and fish filets; and somehow, I have managed to avoid such charges while being in possession of both things for significant stretches of my life.  Oh, and as for “unlawfully owning wild animals”, I hope that does not refer to the walleyes caught as part of the tournament; and if it does not, I guess the wild animals referred to here are those fish filets that were jammed down the gullets of the walleyes.

And completing a trifecta of oddball stuff for today, we have a new pronouncement from Kyrie Irving to consider.  For the purposes of perspective here, please recall that Irving has previously been on record saying that:

• COVID vaccination mandates were a huge human rights violation
• The Earth is flat
• Scientists just make up what dinosaurs looked like
• JFK was assassinated because he was a threat to an international bank cartel
• The CIA tried to assassinate reggae singer, Bob Marley

His latest comments have been labeled as being supportive of antisemitic tropes and charges put forth by Alex Jones.  When challenged on his supportive statements, Irving doubled down and took umbrage at the fact that reporters challenged his support of a conspiracy theory offered up in a documentary film titled, Hebrews to Negroes: Wake Up Black America.  I have not seen the documentary myself but according to reports it contends that there are people in the government who seek to enslave the general population by releasing various viruses among other machinations.  Evidently, the documentary insinuates that Jews are involved in this conspiracy to enslave humanity.

Who knows?  Maybe those “conspiratorial enslavers” are breeding an army of yetis deep in the Himalaya Range and training them to swoop down out of those mountains as the initial assault on humankind.  I cannot prove such a thing is not happening…

Finally, let me close today with an entry from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

“Logic:  The principles of reasoned thought.  Brazenly abandoned on a daily basis by either your employer, your spouse or the President of the United States.  And, let’s be honest, most days it’s all three.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Going over my “To Do List” for today …

1. Get Halloween candy for next Monday night
2. Make sure no pumpkin spice stuff sneaks into the house
3. Write this week’s Football Friday.

I’ll get to the first two things on the list once this is written and posted.  So let me begin as usual with a look at last week’s Six-Pack.

• College = 2-1-0                                  Season Total = 13-7-0
• NFL = 1-2-0                                        Season Total = 10-12-3
• Money Line Parlays = 0-3                Season Total = 2-11
• Profit/Loss = minus-$300                 Season Total = minus-$861

 

College Football Commentary:

 

The Linfield College Wildcats maintained their undefeated status in 2022 with a 45-0 drubbing of Pacific Lutheran.  This week, the Wildcats go on the road – albeit only about 15 miles down the road – to take on the George Fox Bruins in another Northwest Conference game.  George Fox has a 6-1 record this season with the only loss coming at the hands of Pacific Lutheran by a score of 13-12 four weeks ago.  Go Wildcats!

Six teams in Division 1-A continue to be undefeated as the calendar gets ready to turn over into November:

1. Clemson
2. Georgia
3. Michigan
4. Ohio St.
5. TCU
6. Tennessee

Looking down the road a bit, Michigan and Ohio St. will play in the final weekend of Big-10 football and Georgia/Tennessee will happen on November 5^th.  So, at most, there will be 4 undefeated teams at the end of the year.

I think it is interesting to look at the Oregon football schedule this year.  The Ducks opened the season with a thud; they lost to Georgia in the opening game 49-3 – – and it might not have been that close.  The next week, Oregon took out its frustrations on a Division 1-AA opponent winning 70-14.  Since those two “oddball games” at the start of the season, here are the subsequent results:

• Oregon 41  BYU 20
• Oregon 44  Washington St. 41
• Oregon 45  Stanford 27
• Oregon 49  Arizona 22
• Oregon 45  UCLA 30

With those 5 games – plus the one against a cupcake opponent – all seeing the Ducks go “north of 41 points”, the question is:

• Is the Georgia defense that good – – or did Oregon need a week’s more practice time to get their offensive unit completely in sync?

An unusual circumstance presented itself in a Division 1-AA game last week between Weber St. and Montana St.  Weber St. inflicted itself with 4 safeties in the game and all 4 of the safeties happened in the same way.  The long-snapper sailed the ball over the head of the punter and out of the end zone.  The final score of the game had Weber St. on the short end by 5 points – – so those 8 points offered up at no cost to Montana St. did indeed provide the margin of victory.  I suspect that there might be a bit of tension in the air in the special teams’ room as the film from that game is dissected.  The only thing that might cut that tension a bit is the fact that Weber St. scored two TDs on special teams play.

• Returned a kickoff for 99 yards and a TC
• Returned a punt 67 yards for a TD.

Here are comments on two ACC games from last week…

Clemson 27  Syracuse 20:  It took a 17-point rally in the 4^th quarter of this game for Clemson to prevail.  The Tigers dominated the stat sheet, but 4 turnovers kept the game closer on the scoreboard than it should have been.  To give you an idea of the dominance here consider:

• Total Offense for Syracuse = 269 yards
• RUSHING offense for Clemson = 293 yards

Duke 45  Miami 21:  To get an idea of the oddity of this game, begin with this comparison:

• Duke Total Offense = 336 yards
• Miami Total Offense = 327 yards

So, you ask yourself, how those stats can lead to a 24-point margin of victory for the Blue Devils?  Here is how:

• Duke Turnovers = 2
• Miami Turnovers = 8 – – as in EIGHT!

            If you thought the Miami loss to Middle Tennessee State was bad – – and it was – – this may have been worse.  This was a 24-point home conference loss to Duke thanks to the most turnovers in a game by any Power 5 conference team since 2009. There are serious questions now about Miami making bowl-eligibility.  The Hurricanes are 3-4 today; they need 3 wins in their last 5 games to finish at 6-6 for the season.

Moving on to Big-10 action last week …

Rutgers 24  Indiana 17:  The streak of 21 consecutive home losses to Big-10 opponents is broken.  To the joy of Rutgers alums, the team not only won – – they covered.

Ohio St. 54  Iowa 10:  No surprise here that Iowa could not score; the Hawkeyes offense is about as prominent as a herd of yetis.  Nonetheless, this game marked a distinct low for that offense – – only 2.7 yards per offensive snap.  Oh, and that offense found six opportunities to turn the ball over too. The Iowa defense had been strong up to this game – – but not on that day.

Maryland 31  Northwestern 24:  Maryland is bowl-eligible, and it is not Halloween yet.  Northwestern is 1-6 having lost 6 in a row after beating Nebraska in the opener in Dublin, Ireland.

Wisconsin 35  Purdue 24:  With this loss, Purdue – – second loss in conference – – falls a game behind Illinois in the Big-10 West race.  Those two teams will meet on November 12^th as a home game for Illinois.  Nebraska is the only other team in the division with only 2 conference losses.

Penn St. 45  Minnesota 17:  Sean Clifford had himself a day for Penn St.  He threw for 295 yards and 4 TDs with only 1 INT as the Nittany Lions dominated the game.  This makes 3 losses in a row for Minnesota and all of them are conference losses.

Next up is the Big-12 …

Baylor 35  Kansas 23:  I think we can pretty much say the bloom is off the rose for Kansas.  Yes, they are 5-3 but those three losses have come in the last 3 weeks and the Jayhawks’ defense has given up 125 points in those 3 losses.  Baylor has 2 conference losses as of today but there are three teams in the Big-12 that only have 1 loss or zero losses in conference.  Baylor is not “out of it” but it will need some help.

Oklahoma St. 41  Texas 34:  Oklahoma St. has only 1 loss in Big-12 games, and this is the 2^nd conference loss for the Longhorns.  The Cowboys rallied with 14 points in the 4^th quarter to win last week.  Three INTs thrown by Texas QB, Quinn Ewers was too much for the Longhorns to overcome.  Texas’ upcoming schedule is not easy at all; they have 4 games left and they may be favored in only one of them (on the road at Kansas).  One other interesting note here, Oklahoma St. was not penalized once in the game last week.

TCU 38  K-ST. 28:  The Horned Frogs are still undefeated for the season and enjoy a privileged spot atop the Big-12 standings.  K-State falls to 5-2 overall.  K-St led 28-10 in the first half but were shut out for all of the second half.

And in some SEC games last week …

LSU 45  Ole Miss 20:  The Rebels were shut out for the second half; so much for their unbeaten season in 2022.  Ole Miss led 17-3 in the second quarter; then the wheels came off the wagon.  Question here is:

• Was Ole Miss over-rated or was LSU dismissed too quickly after that loss to Florida St.?  Or both?

This is the second game in a row where LSU scored 45 points; maybe that offense is starting to come around?  They have this week off to prep for a game against Alabama whose defense has been “tested” at times this year.

Alabama 30  Mississippi St. 6:  This is the much-more-recognizable Alabama defense as compared to the one last week that gave up 50+ points to Tennessee.  The Bulldogs’ TD came as the final play of the game.   Alabama has road games at LSU and at Ole Miss still on the schedule; they need to win both to win the SEC West and play in the SEC Championship Game.

South Carolina 30  Texas A&M 24:  The Aggies had CFP aspirations for this year, and they now have 4 losses on the books and might not even make it to one of the minor bowl games.  They need to win 3 of their last 5 to make themselves bowl-eligible.  There is a “gimmee game” against UMass – – the Aggies ought to be ashamed – – on November 19^th; other than that, the Aggies will be tested in the other 4 contests.

In PAC-12 games …

Oregon 45  UCLA 30:  This game took UCLA from the ranks of the unbeaten teams in 2022.  Folks in Oregon have to hope that the CFP Selection Committee forgets just how badly the Ducks were beaten by Georgia in the opening game of the season.  Looking at the future schedule, the only ranked team left for Oregon is Utah; that game will be a home game for Oregon on November 19^th.  And of course, there is still the Civil War game with Oregon St. and that rivalry game is never a walkover.

Oregon St. 42  Colorado 9:  the Buffaloes won their only game of the year two weeks ago and that momentum did not carry over even a little bit.  The Beavers generated 174 more yards of offense than did the Buffaloes and Colorado found ways to turn the ball over 4 times in the game.  As Forest Gump’s mother might say:

• “Bad is as bad plays…”

And some comments on miscellaneous other games of interest last week …

Army 48  La-Monroe 24:  This is the first win of the year for Army over a Division 1-A team.  The journey of a thousand miles begins with the first step…

Rice 42  La-Tech 41 (OT):  Rice is 4-3 for the season and just could make it to bowl eligibility.  They need to find two wins and have UNC-Charlotte, UTEP and North Texas still on the schedule in their remaining 5 games.

Notre Dame 44  UNLV 21:  It’s a win for the Irish – – but not a cover…

Liberty 41  BYU 14:  The stat sheet looks as you would expect for this game.  Liberty won the offensive battle 547 yards to 258 yards.  Liberty had 28 first downs in the game compared to 12 for BYU.

FIU 34  UNC-Charlotte 15:  These are two bad teams.  UNC-Charlotte found more ways to lose this game than did FIU; UNC-Charlotte turned the ball over 5 times in the game.

Colorado St. 17  Hawaii 14:  Here are two more bad teams.  Hawaii led 13-3 at the half and then were shut out in the second half.

 

Games of Interest This Week:

 

Illinois – 7 at Nebraska (50): Nebraska can insert itself in the Big-10 West race – at least for a while – with a win here.

New Mexico St. – 2 at UMass (37.5):  Here are two BAD teams and one of them had to travel about 2500 miles to get to the venue.  Why?

Kentucky at Tennessee – 11.5 (62):  The question here is pretty simple:

• To what extent can Kentucky’s very good defense slow down/hold Tennessee’s very good offense?

The reason that question is so important is that Kentucky’s offense is not likely to give the Tennessee defense a case of agita.

TCU – 7 at W. Virginia (70):  The Horned Frogs keep finding ways to win and W. Virginia is not having one of its better seasons with a 3-4 record.  TCU has a high-powered offense, and the Mountaineers give up 33.7 points per game (ranked 117^th in the country).  I think this is a mismatch even with TCU on a long road trip.  I’ll take TCU to win and cover on the road; put it in the Six-Pack.

Ohio St. – 14.5 at Penn St. (62.5):  Penn St. was able to run the ball effectively against Minnesota last week setting up their passing game for some big plays.  Duplicating that success will not be easy against Ohio St. The Buckeyes rank 8^th in the country in run defense giving up only 90.9 yards per game.

Notre Dame at Syracuse – 2.5 (48):  The Total Line opened the week at 45 points and has been climbing all week.  I have to admit that back in August I never thought this game would have this spread with Syracuse as the ranked team on the field.  And yet, here we are.

Miami – 2 at Virginia (48):  Miami needs this game for its bowl-quest – – but so does Virginia; both teams are 3-4 at this point in the season.  Expectations in Charlottesville were not so lofty this year; expectations in Miami with the hiring of Mario Cristobel were through the roof.

Michigan St. at Michigan – 22.5 (55):  Michigan St. gives up points in droves (27.7 points per game ranked 73^rd in the country).  The Michigan St. offense ranks 77^th in the nation and has yet to see a defense like Michigan’s which only allows12 points per game.  If Jim Harbaugh does not intentionally take his foot off the gas, the Wolverines can name the score here.

Northwestern at Iowa – 11 (37):  The temptation here is to take the UNDER – -even at 37 points.  Northwestern will struggle to score 13 points; Iowa’s offense is a mirage.  But that number is so low that I will not yield to the temptation…

Pitt at UNC – 3 (64):  The Tar Heels are undefeated in conference games; they are the only team in the ACC Coastal Division in that status.  Pitt has two conference losses on the books; another one here would end their hopes of a return to the ACC Championship Game.

Oklahoma – 1 at Iowa St. (55.5):  I certainly did not think back in August that this game would be a contest between two stragglers in the Big-12.  But it is…  The combined conference record for these teams is 1-7.

Arizona St. – 13 at Colorado (46):  This game is “interesting” because it involves two teams that fired their head coaches in mid-season; this is a battle of the interim coaches…

UNC-Charlotte at Rice – 16.5 (59):  As noted above, Rice needs two wins for bowl-eligibility and this one is a perfectly winnable game for the Owls at home

USC – 15 at Arizona (77):  Two explosive offenses playing two porous defenses.  USC and Oregon are not slated to meet in the regular season this year, but they might be the participants in the PAC-12 Championship Game…

Oregon – 16.5 at Cal (58):  This spread opened at 15 points and has been inching up as the week wore on.  If you like the underdog, you can find the spread as high as 17 points in several places today.  I think Oregon is on a roll and I am sure they know that any hope they have for a CFP shot is to win out convincingly in every game between now and the first week in December.  Cal only scores 23 points per game; it hangs in games because its defense only gives up 22 points per game – – but they have not seen the likes of Oregon’s offense yet.  I like Oregon to run away and hide here; I’ll lay the points on the road; put it in the Six-Pack.

Oklahoma St. at K-St. – 1 (56):  This one is purely a hunch.  K-State is much stronger at home than on the road – – and they are home here.  K-State had an extra week to prepare for this game; the Cowboys had a tough game last week against Texas.  The game opened as a “Pick ‘em game” and the current line indicates money on the K-State side of the ledger.  However, I think Oklahoma St. sees itself as one of the contestants in the Big-12 Championship Game and has assembled the puzzle pieces to reveal the picture.  I like the Cowboys to win this one outright on the road, so I’ll take the points here; put it in the Six-Pack.

Baylor at Texas Tech – 2.5 (62.5):  Both teams are 4-3 for the season and both teams are 2-2 in conference games.  The loser here is pretty much eliminated from the Big-12 race; the winner remains alive but needs outside assistance.

Ole Miss – 2 at Texas A&M (55):  The only reason I hesitate to take Ole Miss in this game is that their defense has been a no-show in each of the last two weeks giving up a total of 79 points to Auburn and LSU.

Florida vs Georgia – 22 (56):  Even with the Bulldogs favored by more than 3 TDs, this is the College Game of the Week.  The reason the spread is that big is not just that the oddsmakers figure Georgia’s defense to present problems to the Florida offense – – which it will – – but also because Florida’s defense is not stout; the Gator defense gives up 28 points per game ranking 80^th in the country in scoring defense.  Unless Georgia is looking ahead to its meeting with Tennessee next week, this should be a rough day for the Gators and Gator fans.  Since this game is affectionately known as the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party”, let me interject a thought from noted dipsomaniac, W. C. Fields:

“I exercise self-control and never touch any beverage stronger than gin before breakfast.”

I am not certain that all the Gator fans and Bulldog fans will be so careful this weekend…

Before I move on to NFL stuff, I want to alert everyone that next week will begin my look at teams for my imaginary SHOE Tournament – – the means by which we might determine the worst team in the country for 2022.

 

NFL Commentary:

 

There are two teams on their BYE Week this week in the NFL:

1. Chargers:  They get to lick their wounds after being run over – literally – by the Seahawks last week and losing by 2 TDs.
2. Chiefs:  They get to heal their bruises and bask in the glory of last week’s demolition of the Niners and a 3 TD victory.

There is another London Game this week matching the Broncos and the Jaguars.  Neither team is playing well so far this year; the Broncos offense is non-existent, and the Jags play just well enough to lose close games.  The people in the UK have lost their Queen and their Prime Minister in the last two months; the pound sterling has tanked to its lowest level since WW II; and now the NFL sends them that game?  Haven’t those people suffered enough?

The Green Bay Packers are going to miss the playoffs if they play the way they have played in the last two weeks.  Two weeks ago, the Packers were steamrollered by the Jets; last week they threw up on their shoes against the Commanders (see below).  A closeup of Aaron Rodgers during the game clearly showed him asking the sidelines “What are we doing?”

As someone who tries to find solutions to problems, let me offer a suggestion:

• When the Packers get their BYE Week, maybe Aaron Rodgers should take all the offensive players to Peru to smoke some ayahuasca.
• How much could it hurt?
• The problem is that the Packers BYE Week does not come until Week 14 – – and it might be too late for such an excursion even if the Packers’ brass thought it was a good idea.

Another team that might have trouble making the playoffs is the Tampa Bay Bucs.  Their record is 3-5 after last night’s loss and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games and the offense is anemic at best.  Everyone is waiting for Tom Brady to “throw the switch” and propel the Bucs back to Super Bowl contender status.  But there is a confluence of too many negative factors here for me to think that is anything more than a 50/50 chance:

• Brady is dealing with those “dreaded distractions” off the field.  In his case, it is his marriage and his family that provides the distractions.
• Brady is hardly the same “all-in/all-for-one-and-one-for-all kind of teammate” that he was in New England or that he was in his first year with the Bucs.  He misses time in Training Camp; he gets Wednesdays off; he goes to Robert Kraft’s wedding instead of being with the team before a game.
• Brady was never a “mobile QB” but his OL this year is more porous than any he has played behind before.  If you want to be polite and say he was not mobile before, you would have to say he is statuesque in 2022.
• Oh yeah, and Father Time has never missed a tackle…

One other veteran QB having a bad year in 2022 was Matt Ryan.  I use the past tense here because the Colts announced last week that Ryan has a “Grade 2 separation of his shoulder” and that he is on the shelf for the rest of 2022.  Grade 2 shoulder injuries usually do not require surgery, but this injury is in a “wait and see” status.

The Colts have named Sam Ehlinger – – a 6^th round pick from Texas – – as their starting QB.  That is an interesting choice given that the other QB on the Colts’ roster is Nick Foles who has a very positive history with Colts’ coach Frank Reich.  Reich was the Eagles’ QB coach when Foles and the Eagles won the Super Bowl in February 2018.  Choosing to go with Ehlinger tells me that the Colts want to know if they might have a guy already on the roster who might be their starting QB for a few years; Foles is not that guy and Ryan will be 38 coming off this injury in 2023.

The Colts have been casting about for a QB ever since Andrew Luck decided to retire and live his life without NFL football.  Since 2018, here are the starting QBs that the colts have tried to make into a replacement for Luck:

• 2019:  Jacoby Brisset and Brian Hoyer
• 2020:  Philip Rivers
• 2021:  Carson Wentz
• 2022:  Matt Ryan

Unless Ehlinger plays well, the Colts will once again be QB shopping in the early months of 2023.  No pressure, Sam…

Here are some comments about games from last week in the NFL.

Ravens 23  Browns 20:  The Ravens were on the brink of giving up another double-digit lead in this one but held on to win in the end.  The Browns won the statistical battle for what that is worth holding Lamar Jackson to 120 yards passing in the game.  However, the Browns only converted on 2 of 11 third-down tries and gave up 5 sacks for the day.

Cowboys 24  Lions 6:  The Lions led at halftime 6-3 but 5 turnovers by the Lions were too much to overcome.

Commanders 32  Packers 21:  The levels of ineptitude on display in this contest were stunning.  If the teams had been wearing uniforms from two schools in C-USA, you might never have told the difference.  To cite just one measure of ineptitude, with 2 minutes to play in the first half, Aaron Rodgers had 38 yards passing; he finished the day with 194 yards passing.  In addition, the officiating in this game resembled the officiating in a C-USA game.  The Packers lost a long “scoop and score” TD because of a penalty call that was at least 30 yards removed from the play AND that call was below the level of a “ticky-tack call”.  If what happened on that play was “illegal contact” then there should have been a penalty flag thrown on every pass play this season.  The Packers had not converted on a third down try until the 4^th quarter when they converted twice in a row – – on penalties against the Commanders’ defense.  This was the “early game” in my viewing area; it was brutal.

Bengals 35  Falcons 17:  If you only saw the stat sheet, you might think this game was an even bigger blowout.

• Total Offense:  Bengals 537 yards  Falcons 214 yards
• First Downs:  Bengals 29  Falcons 13
• Average Gain per play:  Bengals 8.1  Falcons 4.8

Joe Burrow threw for 481 yards – – 345 yards in the first half alone – – and this game was never in doubt.

Titans 19  Colts 10:  This game puts the Titans in control of the AFC South.  Derrick Henry led the way carrying the ball 30 times for 128 yards.  The Titans have now won 4 in a row – – the longest winning streak in the AFC.

Giants 23  Jags 17:  The Giants scored 10 points in the fourth quarter for another comeback win in this game.  The Jags almost made a comeback of their own when WR Christian Kirk was tackled at the 1 yardline as time expired in the game.  The Giants are 6-1 for the season but their point differential is only 20 points.  The Giants’ did not pick up the 5^th year option for Daniel Jones last season; my guess is that they wish now that they had done that.

Panthers 21  Bucs 3:  Unless I missed it, Robert Kraft was not married again on the Friday before this game causing Tom Brady to miss more practice time than usual.  This was a huge upset; at gametime, the spread on the game had ballooned to 13.5 points.  The Bucs’ offense was skewed to the pass once again; Brady threw the ball 49 times, and the Bucs ran the ball only 16 times.  The Panthers did just the opposite.  They ran the ball 27 times and threw it 22 times.  The Bucs have now lost four of their last five games but still find themselves on top of the NFC South race despite a 3-4 record.     The Buccaneers couldn’t stop a Panthers rushing attack that just traded away its best player. Carolina steamrolled the Buccaneers defense for 173 yards on the ground.

Raiders 38  Texans 20:  You would never have guessed the score of this one just looking at the stat sheet:

• Total Offense:  Texans = 404 yards  Raiders = 400 yards
• First downs:  Texans = 21  Raiders = 25
• Time of possession:  Texans = 29:17  Raiders = 30:43
• Total Offensive Plays:  Texans = 65  Raiders = 55

Josh Jacobs had a big day gaining 143 yards on 20 carries and scoring 3 TDs.  The Texans led 20-17 at the start of the 4^th quarter but two of Jacobs’ TDs and a Pick-Six in the 4^th quarter provided the win for the Raiders.  Both teams entered the game with 1-4 records; the Raiders are now 2-4 but with a point differential of +13.

Jets 16  Broncos 9:  The Jets led 10-9 at the start of the 4^th quarter; the Broncos had 3 possessions in the 4^th quarter:

• 3 plays – – 9 yards – – PUNT
• 10 plays – – 50 yards – – TURNOVER ON DOWNS
• 7 plays – – 31 yards – – TURNOVER ON DOWNS

Russell Wilson did not play due to a hamstring injury, so Broncos’ fans cannot blame him for this lack of scoring.  Jets still have work to do despite a 5-2 record.  Jets were only 3 of 14 on third-down conversions and the Jets were penalized 11 times (for 85 yards) in the game.  When you have only 260 yards total offense in a game, it is usually going to be fatal if you lose 85 yards on penalties.  Also, losing RB Breece Hall to a knee injury will give the Jets another thing to “work out”.

Seahawks 37  Chargers 23:  Don’t look now, but the Seahawks are leading the NFC West with a 4-3 record.  Kenneth Walker III, rookie RB from Michigan St. and Wake Forest, led the way here with 168 yards rushing and 2 TDs.  The Chargers are also 4-3 for the season but they trail the Chiefs in the AFC West by a game.

Chiefs 44  Niners 23:  These teams played evenly for the first half; the score at the intermission was 14-13 in favor of the Chiefs.  But the second half belonged entirely to Chiefs.  Both QBs had good days:

• Patrick Mahomes:  25 of 34 for 423 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT
• Jimmy Garoppolo:  25 of 37 for 303 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT

The Niners have a very good defense; Nevertheless, the Chiefs had 10 possessions in the game with these outcomes:

1. INT
2. TD
3. TD
4. Missed FG attempt
5. TD
6. TD
7. TD
8. TD
9. PUNT
10. END of GAME

It looks to me as if JuJu Smith-Schuster has adjusted to the KC offense and that Patrick Mahomes has adjusted to JuJu Smith-Schuster.  In the last two Chiefs’ games, Smith-Schuster has 12 receptions for 237 yards and 2 TDs.  Not too shabby…

Dolphins 16  Steelers 10:  The Dolphins led this game 13-0 at the end of the first quarter and it looked as if this would be uninteresting by halftime.  Not so.  The Steelers’ defense played well, and the offense rose to some level of consciousness making the game interesting to the end.  Neither team scored in the second half; the Steelers had the ball 7 times after intermission; they punted on the first 5 of those possessions and threw 2 INTs on the subsequent ones.  (Kenny Pickett had a total of 3 INTs in the game.)  The Dolphins likewise had 7 possessions in the second half.  They turned it over on downs once, punted 5 times and then knelt out the game.

 

NFL Games This Week:

 

The Bucs continued their poor play last night losing to the Ravens.  The final score of 27-22 is deceiving because the Bucs got a TD with less than a minute to play in the game making it appear as if the game was up for grabs when it was not.  The Ravens did not dominate the game, but they were clearly the better team on the field.

(Sun Morning) Denver vs. Jax – 2 (39.5): [Game is in London] This is the Dog-Breath Game of the Week.  Neither team is particularly good.  If I had a fleeting thought to set my alarm clock on Sunday morning so I could get up and cook my long-suffering wife a nice breakfast such that I would be ready to tune into this game at 9:30 ET, even a glace at who is playing would put the kibosh on that idea.  Given the prospects for the teams in this London Game, perhaps an observation from Sir Winston Churchill is appropriate here:

“Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.”

The Broncos’ defense has been heroic so far this year; the Broncos’ offense has been AWOL.

Bears at Cowboys – 9 (42.5):  If you are planning on a wager on this game, you might want to shop this line.  Most places have the spread at 9 points, but you can find it higher in several places and one sportsbook has it at 10.5 points.  Both teams are strong defensively – – although the Bears’ trade of Robert Quinn for a 4^th round draft pick probably diminishes the Chicago pass rush a bit.  I like the Cowboys at home despite the Bears’ strong showing last week on the road against the Pats.  Give me the Cowboys to win and cover; put it in the Six-Pack.

Raiders – 1 at Saints (50):  Reports say that Jameis Winston is healed sufficiently to practice and play, but the Saints announced that Andy Dalton is their QB.  Evidently, Dennis Allen sees a lot more in Dalton’s 4 games under center than the stat sheet reveals to me.  And remember that I am not a Jameis Winston fan or apologist, but I do not understand this decision.  Both teams run the ball well; both teams average over 5 yards per rushing attempt.

Panthers at Falcons – 3.5 (41.5):  These are not good teams, but this game cannot be the “Dog-Breath game because the NFC South race is so close that this game has meaning in those standings.  The spread opened the week at 7 points and dropped to this level quickly; that means a lot of money showed up on the Panthers early in the week.  Given the Bucs loss last night, consider this:

• The Falcons will lead the NFC South if they win this game.  Really…

Just for giggles, I’ll take the Falcons at home to win and cover; put it in the Six-Pack.

Steelers at Eagles – 10.5 (43):  In 1943 with WW II in full swing, there were not a lot of people here in the US willing and able to play professional football.  So, for one season the Steelers and the Eagles “merged their teams” and played as the Steagles.  The team finished the season with a 5-4-1 record; it was the first time the Eagles had a winning season in team history.  In 1944, the Steagles were dissolved but the Steelers merged that year with the Chicago Cardinals to form the Car-Pitts.  That merger was not so successful; Car-Pitts finished 1944 with an 0-10 record.  I like the Eagles to win this game but will not be doing anything with that double-digit spread.

Dolphins – 3.5 at Lions (51.5):  Last week, the Lions and Dolphins combined to score a total of 22 points.  So, I am not sure where a Total Line above 50 comes from…

Cards at Vikes – 3.5 (49):  If you can figure out how either of these teams will play on “any given Sunday” you are a better person than I am.  The line opened at 5.5 and has been dropping slowly all week so there must be a lot of folks out there who are convinced that they know how this game will unfold.  Do not count me in that number; I think this game is a mystery.

Pats – 2.5 at Jets (40.5):  The spread here opened as a “Pick ‘em game” and money flowed to the Pats instead of to the Jets at home.  Surely, no one was positively impressed by the bed-wetting performance the Pats put out there last Monday night against the Bears.

Titans – 2.5 at Texans (40.5):  I do not understand this line; the Titans are the better team, and they can maintain their control of this division race with a victory here.  The Texans run defense was gashed last week by Josh Jacobs; this week, they get to try to contain Derrick Henry – – and the spread is less than a field goal?  I guess folks expect a bit of a letdown for the Titans after beating the Colts last week.

Giants at Seahawks – 3 (44.5):  This game could be a fun one to watch.  It is not often that a 6-1 team gets points against a 4-3 team but there it is.  Both teams can run the ball and neither team is particularly adept at stopping the run.  The Giants rank 29^th in the league in rushing yards allowed and the Seahawks rank 30^th.

Commanders at Colts – 3 (39.5):  If Carson Wentz was at QB, this might be an interesting game as a “revenge game”.  Too bad.  Now it is a battle to the death between Taylor Heinicke and Sam Ehlinger.  I don’t know if I can stand all that excitement.

Niners – 1 at Rams (42.5):  This is the Game of the Week.  The Rams arrive with a 3-3 record while the Niners are 3-4.  However, the Niners beat the Rams in Santa Clara by 2 TDs just 4 weeks ago.  This game features two good teams and the game will have all sorts of impact on the standings and playoff positioning down the road.  If you are thinking of wagering here, this is another line to shop.  This morning you can find the game anywhere from “Pick-‘em” to the Niners as a 2-point favorite.  The Niners have won 7 of the last 8 games against the Rams and I think that streak will be extended here.  I like the Niners to win and cover on the road; put it in the Six-Pack.

(Sun Nite) Packers at Bills – 11 (47.5):  The Packers have not been a double-digit underdog in any game Aaron Rodgers started since Rodgers took over QB duties in Green Bay back in 2008.  For the record, he has started 213 games since then, and the spread is 11 points in this game.  The Bills had last week off while the Packers were embarrassing themselves against the Commanders.  Everything points to a blowout here, but I will not be laying double-digits.

(Mon Nite) Bengals – 3.5 at Browns (46):  I thought about this as the Game of the Week for a brief moment because it is a division rivalry game and because the Bengals are tied for the lead in that division.  But I went with Niners/Rams instead.  If the Browns have any hope of winning the AFC North, this is a must-win game for them.

So, let me review the Six-Pack:

1. Oregon – 16.5 over Cal
2. Oklahoma St. +1 against K-St.
3. TCU – 7 over W. Virginia
4. Falcons – 3.5 over Panthers
5. Cowboys – 9 over Bears
6. Niners – 1 over Rams

And here are 4 Money Line Parlays for this week:

• Jets @ +115
• Titans @ minus-140
• Commanders @ +135
• Cowboys @ minus 420                    To win $972

And …

• Titans @ minus-140
• Commanders @ +135
• Cowboys @ minus-420                    To win $399

And …

• Jets @ +115
• Titans @ minus-140
• Cowboys @ minus-420                    To win $356

And …

• Ole Miss @ minus-125
• Tennessee @ minus-410
• Arkansas @ minus-170                    To win $256

Finally, let me close with this observation by Dwight Perry of the Seattle Times regarding the Black Friday game the NFL will be putting on starting in 2023:

“NFL Prime Video will exclusively stream a ‘Black Friday’ NFL game in 2023, the day after Thanksgiving.

“Pundits predict a huge increase in personal fouls, unsportsmanlike conduct and targeting calls that day — and the football game might even be worse.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

The World Series begins tomorrow night in Houston between the Astros and the Phillies.  Each team averages 4.6 runs per game over the course of the regular season; the biggest statistical difference is this one:

• Runs Allowed (Astros) = 518              Run Differential = 219
• Runs Allowed (Phillies) = 685             Run Differential = 62

Not surprisingly, the Astros are the betting favorite to win the World Series.  The betting line for the Astros as of this morning ranges from minus-185 to minus-190 while odds on the Phillies range from +170 to +175.  However, the oddsmakers do have a somewhat surprising line on the Total Runs Scored in Game 1.  As noted above, these teams combined to average 9.2 runs per game in the regular season.  The Total Run Line for Game 1 is 6.5 runs.

Yes, both teams are starting quality pitchers in Game 1 but that is a pretty sharp drop in the expected number of runs to be scored in that game.

Around this time every year, I suggest here that MLB ought to play a Saturday World Series game in the daytime.  For some folks, that would be a nostalgic moment; it used to be that the World Series played ONLY day games.  My suggestion has nothing to do with nostalgia; it has to do with growing baseball.  Let me explain:

• The 7 games this year are all scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.  Most – if not all – will end between 11:30 and midnight ET.
• Games 3, 4 and 5 will happen on school nights.  Kids in school are not likely to be around to see the ends of those games.
• Adding kids to the MLB fanbase makes a lot of sense for the folks who run MLB.  So, why not play Game 2 on Saturday afternoon instead of at night?

I have been asking that question for about 20 years now …

The next thing to consider this morning is the recent rash in “field storming” by college football fans this year.  When LSU beat Ole Miss, the fans stormed the field; since when did a win over Ole Miss deserve that sort of exuberance?  Last year, fans at UMass stormed the field after UMass beat – – hold your breath here – – UConn.  In that Titanic struggle:

• UMass was 0-5 and had lost 16 games in a row.
• UConn was 0-6.

And somehow that victory in that meaningless game merited a field storming…???  [Aside:  Once college basketball season starts, substitute “court storming” for “field storming” here.]

The SEC fined LSU $250K for the incident after the Ole Miss game as if it were the school that somehow egged on the goofs who felt compelled to come out of the stands.  The problem here is that far too much attention is paid to these events and having others pay attention to you is the motivation that drives things like TikTok and Instagram and other social media things.  Coverage by media outlets tends to focus in the size of the crowd on the field and the excitement of the fans along with some clucking about dangerousness of the field storming itself.  That is nonsensical; college kids do lots of things that are far more dangerous than running onto a football field after a game and jumping up and down like a goof.

What might make more sense is for media outlets to ignore the field storming part of the sporting event and focus on the game and not the goofs.  If there has to be a discussion of the event(s) at all, focus on how the currency has been cheapened by so many field stormings that follow games that are simply not that big a deal.  Field storming can be justified if it happens:

• When an unranked team beats the #1 or #2 team in the country – – OR – –
• When a team beats a division rival it has not beaten in the last decade or more.

Other than that, pay no attention to the attention-whores storming the field…

One more thing today …  I noted above that college basketball season is about to begin and that reminds me that there is a local story here in the DC area that will likely get national attention if things go awry.  Patrick Ewing has been the head basketball coach at Georgetown for five years.  Ewing helped put Georgetown on the college basketball map back in the 1980s and he brought years of experience as an NBA assistant coach to the job at Georgetown when he replaced John Thompson III.  The thinking then was that Ewing would be a top-shelf recruiter and developer of talent and Georgetown would return to its “glory days”.

Well, that simply has not happened.  Ewing’s record at Georgetown is a less-than-laudatory 68-84.  But it gets worse because if you look only at Big East conference games, Georgetown is only 26-63 against conference opponents.  Last year, Georgetown was 0-19 against other Big East teams.

Patrick Ewing has a pedigree and his ties to Georgetown and to Georgetown basketball are solid.  But I doubt that he can survive another season that even resembles last year’s debacle.  And that will become a national story if it happens.

Finally, let me close with this observation by musician/comedian Oscar Levant:

“I envy people who drink – at least they know what to blame everything on.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

There are two topics on the agenda for today; both have the potential to get me in trouble.  If I were smart, I would delete the references from my clipboard and produce a space-filling “listicle” such as:

• Six Reasons the Phillies will Win the World Series – – or – –
• The Top Ten Punters of the Super Bowl Era

“Listicles” are useful; they created debate but not rancor and they are usually easy to compose.  Not so with today’s agenda.  So, let me begin in Madison, Wisconsin with the University of Wisconsin’s women’s volleyball team.

Let me set the stage here by quoting three paragraphs from a report about this matter from Outkick.com:

“The Wisconsin volleyball team has been engulfed by scandal ever since nude videos and images started circulating the web earlier in the week.

“In the videos and photos which Outkick will not share or link to, members of the team expose themselves in a sexually graphic manner.  While portions of the footage are incredibly sexually graphic, there is no sex shown.  Most of it involves women together posing and dancing around.  Some of the footage was filmed in 2021 but it’s unclear if it was all filmed last year.

“It is also important to note the footage was not secretly captured.  The women in the videos and photos are aware they are being filmed.”

The snarky thing to do here is to dismiss this matter with a flip reference to “Girls will be girls” and move on.  But in this case the university police are investigating “multiple crimes” related to the release of this stuff on the Internet.  Moreover, the Wisconsin Athletic Department has gone on record publicly in support of the women and condemning the release of these videos/images.  In an obviously crafted comment decrying the release the Athletics Department concludes with this sentence:

“Our top priority is supporting our student-athletes and we are providing them with the appropriate services and resources.”

At this point, I have to call time out because if I don’t, I will have to call Bullsh*t!  The women in this case are not victims; they never agreed to allow these materials to hit the Internet and it would be nonsense to suggest that they derive any sort of benefit from such a release.  Nonetheless, if the reporting above is correct in saying that the women were aware that they were being filmed, then they are not victims here.  They chose to “go on camera” doing whatever it was that they did; they obviously expected privacy but took the risk anyway that their privacy might be breached.  This is simply a logical consequence of the choice that they made; it is an unfortunate consequence but there is no suggestion that someone forced, coerced or tricked these women into doing what they did.

I believe the proper current street argot here would be, “Suck it up, buttercup.”

One more thing here …

• Memo to Wisconsin Athletic Department:  As you try to provide your student-athletes with appropriate services and resources, you might want to find someone who can counsel these women not to do something embarrassing when they know they are on camera.
• And since some of this footage has been around for at least a year, you might want to ask some of the coaches there if they knew about any of this before the stuff hit the Internet.

Moving on to Topic #2 today, I would like to suggest that Tom Brady give serious consideration to retiring today.  Not at the end of the 2022 season; not during the Bucs’ BYE Week which starts on November 14; not after tomorrow night’s game against the Ravens on Thursday Night Football; I mean today.  And I am not going anywhere near the nonsensical argument that Brady’s substandard play so far in 2022 is somehow “tarnishing his legacy”.  That “reasoning” is patently nonsensical; even if the Bucs finish 2022 with a 5-12 record and will have been eliminated from the playoffs prior to Christmas Day, Tom Brady still has 9 Super Bowl appearances and 6 Super Bowl rings.  That legacy does not change.

My suggestion is that retiring today gives him a chance – – not a certainty but a chance – – of saving his marriage and his family.  I am assuming here that all the reporting about Brady and his wife both hiring divorce lawyers and a growing environment of estrangement building on the home front is accurate and that the thorn in the paw that gives rise to said discomfort is the fact that Brady retired and then unretired last winter.

Tom Brady and Gisele Bundchen have been married for more than a decade and have two children together.  [Aside:  Brady has a third child from a previous relationship.]  I know that I am projecting here, but I have to think that family relationships built over a period of more than a decade are more important than football games – – even Super Bowl football games.  I know; that is easy for me to say since the chances that I might ever play in a Super Bowl game are the same as the chances that I might learn to levitate.  Nevertheless, I have to believe I would choose a chance at “family preservation” if ever faced with a comparable situation.

Finally, the description of the antics engaged in by those Wisconsin volleyball players reminded me of a snarky remark made by author/poet, Dorothy Parker:

“If all these sweet young things were laid end to end, I wouldn’t be the slightest bit surprised.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

The World Series is set.  Starting on Friday, the Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will decide this year’s World Champions of MLB.  The Astros had the best regular season record in the AL; of all the teams that qualified for the NL playoffs, the Phillies had the worst regular season record.  I said earlier this month that if the Phillies made it to the World Series, there would be calls for changes in the playoff system citing some sort of unfairness regarding the teams with better regular season records.  Well, it is happening, and it is mostly nonsense

It is beyond imagination to have a situation where all the teams entering the NL playoffs would have an identical regular season record.  So, by definition, there will be matchups between teams where one of them had a “better” regular season than the other.  If you let that regular season difference be your guide, then there is no reason to waste time playing any playoff games.  Take a look at the team with the better record and give then a walk-over.  That is – in essence – what the World Series used to be; the team in the NL with the best record played the team in the AL with the best record and that was it.

Teams that had better regular season results are rewarded in the MLB system.  They get an “extra” home game – – assuming they can stretch the series to its limit – – and the two teams with the best regular season records get a BYE through the first round of the playoffs.  In the AL, “the chalk” prevailed; in the NL, “the chalk” lost every playoff series.  And somehow, some folks portray that as a “bad thing”.  Sorry, I don’t get it…

Last weekend, my TV remote got a real workout flipping back and forth among NFL games and MLB playoff games; next weekend will provide another stress test for that “Recall” button on the remote and the AA batteries inside.

Moving on …  While browsing around for sports tidbits, I came across the following statement:

“Indonesian police are bringing criminal charges against three officers and three civilians for their roles in the deaths of 131 people at a soccer match when police fired tear gas inside a stadium, setting off pandemonium.”

I recalled an incident at a Turkish soccer match where fans were so upset with a loss by the home team that they set fire to part of their own stadium to show their displeasure.  So, I wondered what had happened here.

The game took place in Malang city in East Java.  The home team – – Arema – – lost to Persebaya by a score of 3-2.  Fans of Persebaya were not in attendance; they had been banned for fear of hooliganism and/or a riot.  It turns out that precaution was not sufficient.

After the game, fans stormed the field to “demand answers” and part of the fans’ ”demanding” included throwing bottles and other objects at players and officials.  Things got really out of hand when the “demand for answers” continued in the area outside the stadium where fans overturned police vehicles and that led to the police employing tear gas.  That caused a stampede and the stampede caused deaths and injuries that would turn out to be fatal injuries later.  All that because the home team lost a soccer match 3-2…

The President of Indonesia ordered a complete suspension of Indonesian soccer league games until a “thorough safety evaluation” is carried out.  [Aside:  Good luck with that.] and tighter security measures are provided for games once they resume.  The Indonesian soccer mavens have banned all home field matchups for Arema for the rest of the season.  [Aside: If anyone ever asks you to give an example of “locking the barn door after the horse has bolted”, tell them about this move to avoid home games for the rest of the season.]

I just did a quick check to see if the Indonesian National Team is part of this year’s World cup Tournament in Qatar.  It is not.  So, officials there are probably happy not to have to deal with fans and supporters who can be provoked to rioting so easily.

And speaking of the World Cup Tournament and the hosts in Qatar, I ran across this report at frontofficesports.com saying that the government in Qatar is going to require all foreign visitors to download two apps to their phones – – and that those apps are a form of spyware.

One app – – Ehteraz – – is an app for tracking COVID and by extension for tracking people movement.  The app evidently can “manipulate content” on the phone (whatever that might mean) and it can “override other installed software” on the phone. Sounds like fun …

In case that just makes you shrug your shoulders, the other app – – Hayya – – intends to track tournament matches but it also has permission to “share other content on the phone” with persons or organizations not specified in the downloading process.  What could possibly go wrong …?

The Qatari government is serious about security for the World Cup.  They have requested – – and the request has been granted – – Pakistani military troops being sent to Qatar to provide security for the game venues AND those Pakistani troops will be augmented by “an unlimited number” of military police from Turkey.

Now that you mention it, I think I made the right choice to stay home and watch the World Cup games on TV here in Curmudgeon Central.

Finally, apropos of nothing, let me close with this observation by humorist, Dave Barry:

“The best babysitters, of course, are the baby’s grandparents.  You feel completely comfortable entrusting your baby to them for long periods, which is why most grandparents flee to Florida.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………