I and many others have invoked the Aesop’s Fable about the goose that laid the golden eggs when commenting on the expansion of playoff fields in college football and basketball. [Aside: Unlike many others, I do not think the king was necessarily greedy in killing that goose; I think he demonstrated impatience more than greed. But that is for another rant on another day…] However, over the past several days, I seem to have mellowed in my sentiments on such expansions. Perhaps the explanation for that mellowing comes from an illustrative answer to a simple question:
- Question: What is the difference between an optimist and a pessimist?
- Answer: Put a pessimistic child in a room full of horse shit neck high and the child will just stand their and bemoan his fate. Put an optimistic child in the same room and he will furiously dig around in the muck because he is sure there must be a pony somewhere in the mess.
So, might there be “a pony” somewhere in the rush to expand college football and basketball playoffs? Let me look at the CFP first. In 2025, there were twelve teams in the playoff field and two of them were from “lesser conferences”. Those “lesser conference” slots are sort of like legacy pledges at a college fraternity like Flounder in Animal House. Everyone knows you really don’t want them in the group, but you have to accept that they are going to be there.
The other ten teams were strong ones; in fact, the team seeded 10th in the field (Miami) made it to the championship game and acquitted themselves even while losing that final game. There were no “pretenders” in the CFP field save for those “legacy pledges”.
So, what might have been the case if the CFP field had been expanded to 24 teams as has been suggested by various folks including the college coaches themselves? Here are the final rankings of the CFP Selection Committee from last year listed from #11 through #24
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2)
- BYU Cougars (11-2)
- Texas Longhorns (9-3)
- Vanderbilt Commodores (10-2)
- Utah Utes (10-2)
- USC Trojans (9-3)
- Arizona Wildcats (9-3)
- Michigan Wolverines (9-3)
- Virginia Cavaliers (10-3)
- Tulane Green Wave (11-2)
- Houston Cougars (9-3)
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (9-3)
- Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4)
- James Madison Dukes (12-1)
The two “legacies” are still in the field (Tulane and James Madison) but look at the records of the other teams that would have been part of the CFP. The tournament has pretty much exhausted all the teams from the Power Conferences that won 9 or more games. And what does that leave for the myriad bowl games to pick and choose from. Some of the matches in minor bowl games are uninteresting even when those teams ranked from #11 through #24 might be available for an invitation, but what might be left for games such as:
- Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
- Bush’s Boca Raton Bowl of Beans
- Salute to Veterans Bowl
The answer is that some minor bowl games – – the three above are not the only examples I could cite here – – might not be able to put together a match that would draw a crowd of more than 8-10 thousand fans or a TV audience twice the size of a 3:00 AM infomercial for the Flex-Seal Family of products. And if that is the case, maybe some minor bowl games will cease to exist – – and that might be “a pony”.
In college basketball, they have already decided to expand the March Madness field from 68 to 76 teams. That is already too many, but deal with it as a fact. I believe that the toothpaste is out of the tube and won’t be going back in on expansion; so, one of these years, to avert criticism about elitism and chasing a few more TV dollars, March Madness will expand to 96 teams. It would only require one more week of tournament play for that to happen; teams seeded #`1 through #32 would get a bye and the other 64 teams would engage in “play-in games”. Those 32 play-in games could be done as one more extended weekend of Thursday-thru-Sunday scheduling with 8 games per day.
So, where would that leave the NIT and the College Basketball Crown (CBC) if the “best 96 teams” were otherwise engaged in March Madness? [Aside: Without Googling, which team won the College Basketball Crown Tournament last year?] Now imagine if all the teams invited to the CBC last year were unavailable and the organizers had to dig deeper. Or maybe the NIT and the CBC would fade into memory like the passenger pigeon. There’s another “pony” …
Finally, comedienne, Rita Rudner, closes out today’s rant
“I had the worst birthday party ever when I was a child because my parents hired a pony to give rides. And these ponies are never in good health. But this one dropped dead. It just wasn’t much fun after that. One kid would sit on him and the rest of us would drag him around.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………