Category: Daily Rants

Marty Schottenheimer died on Monday after dealing with Alzheimer’s Disease for more than 5 years.  He was an NFL player and coached 4 teams (Cleveland, KC, Washington and San Diego) over a 21-year coaching career.  His teams only had 2 losing seasons in that time and his regular season record was 200-126-1.  His teams underperformed in the playoffs and Schottenheimer never made it to the Super Bowl but – ironically – coaches from his coaching tree made it there including Bruce Arians, Bill Cowher, Tony Dungy and Mike McCarthy – – all of whom won a Super Bowl game.  He ranks seventh in the NFL all time in wins as a coach and I believe he should be in the Hall of Fame.

Rest in peace, Marty Schottenheimer.

Yesterday, I received an email from Gregg Drinnan, formerly the sports editor of the Kamloops Daily News and currently the author of the Taking Note blog you can find here.  It contained a link to a report on the status of a CFL team undergoing a name change akin to the one underway here in Washington.  The Edmonton Eskimos are no more; the team joined other teams in various sports that now eschew names that have racial/ethnic overtones.  The helmet logo for the team over recent times has been a pair of the letter “E” and that seems to be driving the search for a new name.

The team sought fan input for the new name and got 2,047 suggestions.  The team has narrowed it down to a list of seven new names and it is now asking fans to rank the seven from first to worst.  Here is the list; it is a Sesame Street list brought to you by the letter “E”:

• Eagles
• Eclipse
• Elements
• Elk
• Elkhounds
• Evergolds
• Evergreens

According to one report:

“The team says the group selecting the name will take the results into account after the survey concludes Sunday.”

The Elk and/or the Eagles would be the winners for me – – but I doubt that folks in Edmonton care what I think on this matter.  I do think it is interesting however that a team seemingly mesmerized by the letter “E” recently hired a new head coach named Jaime Elizondo.

Moving on …  It has been 7 months since allegations of sexual harassment and a “toxic work culture” in the front office of the Washington Football Team surfaced.  An attorney has been investigating the matter first at the behest of Danny Boy Snyder but subsequently answering to the league itself.  So far, all we have heard are crickets.  I read recently that the investigation is “nearing completion” – – to which I say, “high time”.  It is not clear what Roger Goodell is going to do with whatever report of findings he receives but various advocacy groups such as the ACLU and the National Women’s Law Center are demanding a full and public release.

Roger Goodell is in an unenviable position here.  If he opts not to release the findings of this prolonged investigation, there will be screeches of “COVER UP” from plenty of sports writers and broadcasters.  As a matter of fact, it would be difficult to come up with an explanation for such a decision that avoided some degree of “cover up”.  After all, if all those allegations were baseless and provably wrong, it would clearly be in the best interest of the NFL and Danny Boy Snyder to get that message out there.

I will not be surprised if the NFL seeks to limit damage here with the release of a redacted report.  Normally what happens with redacted reports is that there is a flurry of anger that “the public’s right to know” is being denied followed by a few speculative reports on what the redacted sections “must be about” and then the matter tends to fade to black.  That would be the easiest way out for The Commish…

His less wonderful scenario would go something like this:  [Remember, this is hypothetical; I am not suggesting any of this is factual…]

• The findings of the report are myriad and disgusting.  Publicizing them will anger fans and “broadcast partners” and sponsors.
• The findings of the report make it clear that the firing of several front office folks back in July 2020 was a necessary but not nearly sufficient response to the problems.
• The source of any additional punishment becomes unclear because the report does not fully identify all the malefactors.

In that case, The Commish risks the wrath of fans, TV execs and sponsors and/or the wrath of at least one of the team owners – – and the owners are the Commish’s boss.  Reports say that Roger Goodell makes more than $40M per year in his job.  He may well earn his money as he finds his way along this thorny path.

Finally, I said here that Roger Goodell faces a dilemma.  So, let me offer him this smidgen of free advice:

• When life gives you dilemmas, make dilemmanade.

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

As I mentioned yesterday, the NBA plans to hold an All-Star Game this year in Atlanta on March 7^th.  More than a couple of the league’s top players – – ones who are sure to be chosen to participate in the event such as LeBron James, James Harden and Kawhi Leonard – – have reacted negatively and publicly to the idea.  In the original NBA schedule set forth before the league began play just before Christmas, there was a 5-day hiatus built in; now that gap is to be filled with an All-Star Game and the associated nonsense that accompanies that event.

Before anyone clutters his/her mind with arriving at a justification for holding an All-Star Game while the US continues to fight off a pandemic, the answer is simple:

• An All-Star Game – – and its associated nonsense – – will bring in more revenue to the league and therefore ultimately to the players than will a 5-day gap in the schedule.
• Gussy this up however you will, this is simply a cash grab.

It is important to note here that the NBPA is not fighting the league tooth and nail over this issue.  To my mind, that reinforces my conclusion that this is a cash grab, and the union figures it to be in the best interests of its membership to “goose up” revenues considering losses incurred last season.  You may wonder why top-shelf players have reacted negatively to the idea of a concocted All-Star Game and it would be wrong to think that they all are getting so much guaranteed money that increased revenues are of little importance to them.

While that may in fact be true – – although I suspect it is not the case – – I think those players really wanted to have that break in the season as part of their overall “load management” for the season.  Moreover, it is the top-shelf players who are directly affected here.  LeBron James and James Harden etc. are the players who will be chosen to participate in the All-Star Game; Joe Flabeetz and Sam Glotz will be able to take a 5-day holiday as planned.  Moreover, the league rules and the existing CBA require players selected for the All-Star Game to show up and play if they are not injured.

This is a real labyrinth for the league, the union and the star players. Consider four possible courses of action and potential outcomes:

1. Drop the idea of an All-Star Game after raising the possibility of holding it.  Both the league and the union would look pretty silly and it would signal another capitulation to the star players showing who actually runs things in the NBA.
2. Make the All-Star break longer than 5 days to give participants some down time.  The only real problem here seems to be the fixation of starting the playoffs in mid-May to avoid as much as possible any overlap between the playoffs and the NFL regular season.  Extending the All-Star break cannot translate into extending the end of the regular season significantly.
3. Hold the All-Star Game as envisioned now but allow players to opt out as a one-time “Pandemic Exception”.  This is probably the least onerous way out of the maze.  Yes, some will assert that the league and the union are knuckling under to pressure from the star players; but that would be less stinging than if the game were canceled entirely as above.  The loser here would be the “aura” of the NBA All-Star Game because ratings will not be nearly as high with Joe Flabeetz playing in place of LeBron James.
4. Follow the money; put the game on the schedule and let the players be the “bad guys” who refuse to play.  This is the short-term gain in exchange for long-term pain solution.  The NBA has achieved its stature in US sports on two support pillars.  The first is television money; the other is by marketing its superstar players.  Forcing a showdown here would pit the superstars against TV money meaning there will be hard feelings among either the players or the TV execs down the road.

There are no easy ways out of this discombobulation now that the subject has been put in front of the NBA fanbase so long as this devolves into a power struggle.  If, on the other hand, there can be meaningful compromises made on all sides – – and I include the TV execs here as one of the sides being willing to compromise – – then maybe this does not have to devolve into hand-to-hand combat.  There is no imminent confrontation involved here regarding CBA negotiations; the current CBA runs through the end of the 2023-24 season (both sides can mutually opt out at the end of 2022-23 season) so any ill will generated here will have time to be tempered.  Maybe that is the best news to take away as of this morning…

Back before the NFL regular season began, I said that if Alex Smith ever stepped onto an NFL field in a real game, he would be the Comeback Player of the Year even if his ONLY participation was to do a kneel down at the end of a game.  Well, Smith did a lot more than that – – he was 5-1 as a starter this year – – and he was indeed the Comeback Player of the Year.  Remember, this man had 17 surgeries on his broken leg; at one point he was in the ICU in critical condition; at another point, the amputation of his leg was a real possibility.  Alex Smith’s injury was abnormally severe.

The Comeback Player of the Year award is decided by a vote of 50 media folks who cover the NFL.  I am not one; I do not know any of the people who do the voting.  Nevertheless, I am surprised that Alex Smith was not the unanimous selection this year; he received 49 of the 50 votes cast.  According to various reports, the “other vote” was for Ben Roethlisberger who returned from elbow surgery in the previous year.

Meaning exactly ZERO disrespect for Ben Roethlisberger, I believe that vote was miscast.  The fact that the vote was not unanimous is hardly important let alone critical, but I do wonder how someone could equate the depths from which the two QBs had come to regain a position as a starter in the 2020 NFL season.

Finally, when athletes recover from severe injuries or personal circumstances, people say the athletes “have heart”.  The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm has its own definition of “heart”:

“Heart:  1.  The part of the body that is usually said to have been in the right place when an idiot does something stupid.  2.  Female rock band of the 1970s that has been responsible for more alone-in-the-car head-banging, grip-the steering-wheel sing-alongs than mom or dad care to admit.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Congratulations to the Tampa Bay Bucs; the combination of an efficient offense and a dominating defense made them Super Bowl champions last night.  After watching the Bucs last night, it is hard to fathom how that team lost to the Bears back in October scoring only 19 points in that game.  Let me make 5 overview comments/takeaways from the game last night:

1. I did not like the officiating; they made several calls that looked “ticky-tack” to me and yet allowed lots of behavior that could well have drawn unsportsmanlike conduct flags.  The officiating did not decide the outcome, but I have seen games with better officiating.
2. The injuries to the Chiefs’ OL were significant.  The Bucs have a good pass rush; last night it looked like the Fearsome Foursome.
3. Todd Bowles called a great game on defense for the Bucs; he turned the Chiefs into a one-dimensional offense.
4. Purely from an entertainment standpoint, this game was not particularly interesting from about the second quarter on.  The outcome was not really in doubt for the last 35-40 minutes of playing time.
5. Between the advertisers’ virtue signaling and the NFL’s proclamations to demonstrate how “woke” it is and CBS’ incessant hawking of its new show, Clarice, are you ready to take to the streets to demand the return of the Budweiser frogs, the Clydesdales and the day-trading baby in his crib?

I must correct an erratum from last week’s Final Football Friday.  It came to me in an email from the person who is the Chief Logistics Officer for our annual Las Vegas Fall Pilgrimage – – a tradition seeking a return to normalcy in 2021.  Last week, I said that a memorable Super Bowl moment was Tom Brady’s Hail Mary pass against the Eagles falling incomplete.  Then I added this:

“Why that is particularly memorable is that if it had been complete, the Pats would have won the game AND Tom Brady would have broken the all-time NFL record for most yards passing in a game – a record that has stood since 1951.”

Here is the correction that needs to be made from my email notification:

“A minor nitpick – if I recall correctly, the Iggles won that NE SB by 8 (41-33), so I think your statement is wrong.  So actually they would have needed a 2-point conversion just to tie.”

That is not a “minor nitpick”; that is what happened in Super Bowl LII; my memory was faulty.

While I am in the mode of passing along email comments, I also received one over the weekend from the “reader in Houston” with another correction/clarification from the Final Football Friday.  In there, I said that Tom Brady had not been rated as a high school prospect when he graduated.  That is technically accurate – – but there is more to the story and a lot of the additional information can be lifted from the email I received:

“I don’t know which ratings service(s) that you’re referring to, but Rivals.com is probably the most “reliable” high school rating service. It never had a chance to rank Brady in 1996 because it didn’t start until the early 2000s.

“FYI – Chad Pennington (Jets), Giovanni Carmazzi (49ers), Chris Redman (Ravens), Tee Martin (Steelers), Marc Bulger (Saints) and Spergon Wynn (Browns) were the six QBs drafted ahead of Tom in the 2000 NFL draft.

“As Brady came along before the advent of Rivals.com, there was no ranking for him by them, when he was at Serra HS (San Mateo) before going on to Michigan.  Even at Michigan, he had to sit behind Brian Griese for two years and then, though he became the starting QB his last two years there, he platooned with Drew Henson.

“Even if Rivals.com was around in 1996, Brady wouldn’t have even been the best QB in California, since Carmazzi threw for almost 10,000 yards in his high school career and there’s definitely no way to really know where Tom would be ranked in the entire national recruiting class.”

The reader wonders what rating service(s) I was using; the answer is none of them.  I did a Google search on something like “Tom Brady high school prospect ratings” and got nothing; so, I varied the search a bit hoping to clarify and still got nothing.  Ergo, I concluded that he had not been rated as a prospect coming out of high school since the same sort of search query worked in the other cases cited.

I also mentioned last week that the Washington Wizards are off to a miserable start – – they are 5-15 as of this morning – – and Bradley Beal is getting frustrated.  He leads the league in scoring average (33.5 points per game), but he told a local reporter:

“I just hate losing…it’s been tough.”

Beal has been with the Wizards since the 2012-2013 season.  In that time – – and not adding in the results for the current season – – the Wizards record has been 309-337.  You would think he would have acclimated to losing by this point…

And speaking of the NBA – obliquely – the league is going to stage an All-Star Game in early March.  What a bad idea that is…  The league is struggling to put on its regular season games amid the pandemic and its byzantine COVID-19 protocols.  And so, instead of just taking a breather in the schedule hopefully to clamp down a bit on positive tests and contact tracing demands, the NBA will gather up a lot of players and move them to a site where they can play a totally meaningless couple of games along with even more meaningless events like the Slam Dunk Contest.  Someone in the NBA Executive Suites must have been sleep-deprived for about 96 hours to come up with that idea.

Finally, I said the NBA should take a break in the season “hopefully” to clamp down a bit on COVID-19.  Let me close today with the definition of “hopefully” from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

“Hopefully:  A word meaning ‘probably not.’  As in, ‘Hopefully, I will be able to make your newborn’s upcoming circumcision.’”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Well, the NFL did it.  They started their regular season on time; they had a full playoff schedule on time; two days from now, they will hold the Super Bowl on time.  Given the state of the pandemic back in August, I was far less than certain they could pull it off – – but they did.  There was a smidgen of “scheduling legerdemain” in the middle of the regular season, but they got here as planned.  They deserve kudos simply for that feat.

So, this is the Final Football Friday for the season.  As is my custom, I chose not to pay attention to the Super Bowl game and any of the hype leading up to it for the two weeks that intervene between the Conference Championship Games and the Super Bowl Game.  This year, there has – mercifully – been less hype than usual so I was not tempted to make any comments during the last couple of weeks.  I do have an observation from the last two weeks and a hypothesis for what I think I observed:

• Observation:  There seemed to be even more “listicles” published this year than usual.  One of them listed – and ranked – the 55 best plays in the history of the Super Bowl.  [Aside:  This is Super Bowl LV – – hence the numerical tie-in.]
• Hypothesis:  With fewer sponsored parties, reduced numbers of media with “boots on the ground in Tampa” and fewer celebrities on hand to be sure that people notice that they are there, writers had to find other content to fill up space.  Making lists is a relatively easy way to do that…

The article about the 55 best plays did get me thinking about previous Super Bowl games and moments that stand out in my memory.  As I thought about them, I realized that about half of them were plays that led directly to – or assured – victory for a team and that half of the were plays that sealed the fate for the losing team.  Hey, this is Curmudgeon Central here; it is not the land of milk and honey.

So, humor me for just a minute while I give you the plays that came to my mind separated into winning and losing categories:

• Winning:  David Tyree’s miracle catch holding the ball to his helmet against the Patriots.
• Losing:  “Wide right.”  For fans of the Giants and the Bills, there is nothing more to say.
• Winning:  Marcus Allen runs, and reverses field several times and runs about 80 yards for a TD against the Skins.
• Losing:  The Seahawks using Marshawn Lynch as a decoy and throwing a pass at the 1 yardline.
• Winning:  Julian Edelman’s miracle catch against the Falcons keeping the game-tying drive alive in the 4^th quarter allowing the game to go to OT.
• Losing:  Tom Brady’s Hail Mary pass is incomplete on the final play in the loss to the Eagles.  Why that is particularly memorable is that if it had been complete, the Pats would have won the game AND Tom Brady would have broken the all-time NFL record for most yards passing in a game – a record that has stood since 1951.

And then there is one play involving two players that won the game for one team and lost it for the other team.:

• Winning/Losing:  On the final play of the game, Titans; WR, Kevin Dyson, caught a pass that would provide a victory for the Titans if he makes it to the end zone.  He does not do so because he is tackled at the 1 yardline by Rams’ LB, Mike Jones.

Thanks for humoring me; you will notice I did not try to dredge up 55 memories here…

The Six-Pack from two weeks ago was a winner but did not come close to getting me to break even for the season; two weeks ago, the record was 3-1-0.  So, with just this week left, here is how things went down between September and today:

• College:  20-25-1
• NFL:  35-43-2
• Combined:  55-68-3

 

College Football Commentary:

 

For the last week or so, there has been far too much coverage given to a non-event that happens with college football every year.  I am referring to National Signing Day when high school recruits decide where they will play college football – – or at least where they will try to play college football.  The currency in this pursuit is the number of stars that recruiting analysts put on the players in the “meat market”.  I will not even pretend to understand how these gurus arrive at their rankings and I most certainly do not understand why people focus on that sort of nonsense.

Just for fun, I took a couple of the “name players” for the Chiefs and the Bucs who will be on display this Sunday and went back to find out how many stars they got from the raters when they were coming out of high school.  I did not do it for every player on the two rosters; that would be far more work than it is worth.  However, here is a sampling.  Remember, the highest rating is 5 Stars:

• Tom Brady:  Not Rated – – already you can see where this is going…
• Patrick Mahomes:  3 Stars
• Ronald Jones:  4 Stars
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire:  3 Stars
• Mike Evans:  3 Stars
• Tyreek Hill:  Not Rated
• Ndamukong Suh:  4 Stars
• Chris Jones:  5 Stars
• Lavonte David:  Not Rated
• Frank Clark:  3 Stars

The prosecution rests, Your Honor…

 

NFL Commentary:

 

Bob Molinaro had this note in the Hampton Roads Virginian-Pilot last week; I think he is definitely on to something here:

“New rules: It’s curious how during NFL postseason games almost nobody on the offensive line holds, pass defenders get away with grabbing receivers, and rarely is anybody detected for illegal blocks on kick returns. It appears that the refs are following orders to let ‘em play. But if a laissez-faire approach is good for the playoffs, why not just let ‘em play all season?”

I am sure that some folks would argue that playoff teams are all well-coached and that players would naturally be more focused on their “mechanics” under playoff situations and that would be the explanation for the paucity of penalties.  Even if I stipulate all of that to be true, it remains curious that the officials rarely go reaching for that  yellow flag…

As I said at the top here, the NFL deserved kudos for getting to this point in the schedule – – on schedule.  The folks in the TV trucks who produce the shows deserve kudos for making the regular season games appear to be as normal as possible under the circumstances; however, those kudos do not carry over to the playoffs.  All season long, the telecasts proved to viewers that it was completely possible to endure a full game without about 50 “crowd shots” interrupting the game.  The reason there were no “crowd shots” was simple; most of the time there were no crowds in the stands.  And the telecasts worked just fine…

Then came the playoffs when some games had some live fans in attendance.  The producers could not resist silly “crowd shots” then – – particularly the highly sauced fans in frigid climates shedding their coats and shirts to demonstrate that they are willing to look like asses to support their team on the field.  Really?  Did that add to one’s enjoyment of the game?  Is that the sort of behavior that the league and its “broadcast partners” wants replicated?

About a week ago, I wrote here about the advocacy campaign to get Tom Flores into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.  If that campaign is successful, what should that do with some other coaches who are eligible for consideration.  Let me go to the stats:

• Tom Flores:  Regular Season record = 97-87-0 (.527)  Playoff record = 8-3  Super Bowl rings = 2.
• Coach A:  Regular Season record = 170-150-0 (.531)  Playoff record = 12-7  Super Bowl rings = 2
• Coach B:  Regular Season record = 200-126-1 (.613)  Playoff record = 5-13  Super Bowl rings = 0
• Coach C:  Regular Season record = 111-83-1 (.572)  Playoff record = 3-6   Super Bowl rings = 0.

Compare Tom Flores to Coach A here; their qualifications are almost identical.  When comparing Tom Flores (and/or Coach A) to Coach B or Coach C, the question becomes the value put on Playoff record and Super Bowl rings as opposed to seasons upon seasons of regular season games under their leadership.

• Coach A is Tom Coughlin
• Coach B is Marty Schottenheimer
• Coach C is Don Coryell

If you gave me the swing vote and only one of these four coaches could be in the HoF, my vote would go to Marty Schottenheimer.  I do not expect a lot of support for that position – – but that is how I see it.  [Aside:  This position is not a sympathy vote given that Schottenheimer has entered hospice care this week; I have thought for a decade that he belongs in the HoF.]

 

The Super Bowl Game:

 

I am certain that you have seen plenty of references to Super Bowl records held by Tom Brady; I know I saw them by the bushel over the past week and a half.  However, Bob Molinaro provided one in the Hampton Roads Virginian-Pilot that I have not seen anywhere else:

“Tidbit: Tom Brady is only the second quarterback to start an NFL conference championship game in three decades. The other: Johnny Unitas of the Baltimore Colts.”

As I am sure you are aware, I will be in front of my TV set ready to watch the culmination of this NFL season.  There will be two anomalies regarding my viewing this year:

1. I will actually glance at the halftime show this year.  I have no idea who the performer is and what his claim to fame might be – – and I do not care enough about that deficiency to go to Google for information.  I will be interested to see how the show can possibly go on without 500 mouth breathers crowding around the stage and gyrating out of sync with the “music”.
2. I will take note that there are no Budweiser ads this year.  The Clydesdales are getting a year off; for the first time in 37 years, Budweiser will not have an ad on the Super Bowl.  [By the way, a 30-second slot during the game costs $5.6M this year and CBS says all the slots have been sold as of earlier this week.]  Not to be maudlin or nostalgic here, but I can recall a time when Super Bowl ads were funny and entertaining.  Now they are advocacy ads which are about as entertaining as political attack ads.

For the final two weeks of the NFC playoffs, THE storyline was the advanced age of the two QBs – – Brady/Brees followed by Brady/Rodgers.  That will surely not work in this game; Patrick Mahomes can hardly be considered “middle aged” for an NFL QB.  However, another “birthday storyline” seems to have been overlooked:

• The trendy thing to do in the NFL for the past several years is to hire head coaches who are still using their second razor blade.
• The two Super Bowl coaches this year buck that trend.  Andy Reid will be 63 years old next month; Bruce Arians is 68 years old.
• Just thought I’d point that out…

 

KC – 3 vs Tampa Bay (56):  Everyone knows that there is plenty of starpower  on the two offenses here but you should not fail to recognize that both coaches are high-octane play callers for those offenses.  In addition, both defensive coordinators (Todd Bowles for the Bucs and Steve Spagnuolo for the Chiefs) love to “bring pressure”.  If those defensive minds hold true to form, the QBs on the field will have ample opportunities for big plays.  My first selection is that the game will go OVER; put it in the Six-Pack.

The injury to Chiefs’ LT, Eric Fisher, is a big deal simply because the Bucs have two excellent edge rushers in Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett.  I expect to see Patrick Mahomes “on the move” a lot in this game.  It will be important for the Bucs to put lots of pressure on Mahomes without having to rush 6 defenders because if the Bucs have a deficiency, it is in their secondary.  If the Bucs have to commit more than half the defenders to put pressure on Mahomes, I think the Bucs are cooked.  In the obverse, the Chiefs are not great at stopping the run and Ronald Jones/Leonard Fournette have provided the Bucs with a solid run game in this year’s playoffs.  How will that confrontation play out?  The Money Line this morning has the Bucs at +145; I like the odds there; put the Bucs to win straight up in the Six-Pack.

There are almost a thousand proposition bets out there for the game this year.  I will not pretend to have “studied” this list of opportunities, but just to fill out six selections in the Six-Pack here are four picks from the prop bets menu:

1. Patrick Mahomes OVER 327.5 yards passing @ minus-115.
2. Patrick Mahomes OVER 0.5 INTs @ +140
3. Mike Evans to score a TD anytime in the game @ +120
4. Bucs OVER 27.5 points for the game @ +105

Finally, since these Football Fridays have all contained selections taken from the world of gambling, let me close the season with a comment on betting offered by journalist and author, Damon Runyon:

“It may be that the race Is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong – but that is the way to bet.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

I recently suggested that MLB and the MLBPA cannot agree on anything more controversial than Tuesdays following Mondays.  As if to demonstrate the salience of that assertion, the union turned down another proposal for the 2021 MLB season.  Previously, it rejected a proposal to give the union something it had asked for in the past (universal DH) in exchange for a delayed opening of spring Training and expanded playoffs in October.  Now it has rejected a proposal containing:

• Delayed Spring Training and Opening Day leading to a 154-game season with players getting full pay not pro-rated pay.
• Expanded post-season schedule.

Here is part of the statement from the union as to what is unacceptable in the latest proposal that they rejected:

“Although Player salaries would not be initially prorated to a 154-game regular season, MLB’s proposal offers no salary or service time protections in the event of further delays, interruptions, or cancellation of the season.”

Here is why the ongoing kabuki theater between MLB and the MLBPA is important.  The current CBA that enables an MBL season to occur in the first place expires on December 1^st, 2021.  There has been “labor peace” in MLB since the union walked out on the 1994 regular season in 1994 leading to the cancelation of the World Series that year.  If the folks involved in these negotiations cannot figure out how to handle a season altered in some way by the reality of COVID-19 – – something that could not have been envisioned when the current CBA was under negotiation – – how can they go back to square one and get a new deal done expeditiously?

The 2021 season could be in jeopardy purely for reasons related to COVID-19 and/or for reasons based on the inability of the two parties here to find a way to adapt to the potentially overwhelming effects of the ongoing pandemic.  That is bad enough, but the 2021 season could be in jeopardy also if these jamokes cannot figure out how to stop hating one another and start working toward a new deal.

Back in 1994 when baseball went through its last strike, MLB was a $3B enterprise; in 2019 when MLB had its last “normal regular season”, MLB was a $9B enterprise.  What that tells me is that the owners and the union are now looking at three times more revenue they need to share, and they cannot find a way to do that.  What comes to mind here are the dying words of Mercutio in Shakespeare’s Romeo and Juliet:

“A plague o’ both your houses!”

The sport of baseball – – that thing that earns owners nice profits and rewards players with millions of dollars for playing a game – – took a serious hit in 1994.  The sport lost popularity and losing popularity is tied directly to revenue.  It took major baseball events such as the steroid-fueled home run race between Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa in 1998 and the end of the Cal Ripken consecutive game streak at 2632 also in 1998 to rekindle growing fan interest.  Baseball attendance had gone down season over season between 2016 and 2019 but only slightly.  Baseball does not need to put itself in a bad light regarding the fanbase as we come out of the “COVID-19 Era” of sports in the US.

• Memo to MLB and the MLBPA:  Do not make the 2021 regular season into something no one recognizes as “baseball” unless the coronavirus makes you do so.
• You have gone for 25 years without pissing off your fanbase; try to figure out why that situation is a benefit to all of you and then how to maintain that status quo.
• If there must be ANY modification to the 2022 MLB season, it had better be due to COVID-19, World War III or the Zombie Apocalypse and not to your petty nonsense in negotiations.

There is another baseball item to chew on today.  Last week, the Colorado Rockies traded Nolan Arenado to the St. Louis Cardinals for Austin Gomber (104 innings pitched in MLB) and 4 minor league prospects.  Moreover, the Rockies agreed as part of the deal to pay $50M as part of Arenado’s guaranteed $194M through 2026; the Rockies paid to get rid of Nolan Arenado.  Let that wash over you for a moment…

I think Arenado is the best third baseman in MLB – – with all due respect to Anthony Rendon and Manny Machado who are both excellent at the position.  Arenado has been in the major leagues for eight seasons and has won a Gold Glove in all eight.  Trading Arenado in any deal that does not bring back at least a known MLB entity or another quality player who “needs to be moved” is tantamount to waving a white flag and telling the world that the Rockies are not going to be serious players for the next several years.

I read one “analysis” that said the reason for the trade was for the Rockies to save enough money to resign Trevor Story when he becomes a free agent at the end of 2021.  I have no interest in bashing Trevor Story; he is a quality MLB shortstop.  However, I have three points to make regarding that bit of “analysis”:

1. Trevor Story is very good – – but he ain’t Nolan Arenado.
2. Trevor Story PLUS Nolan Arenado makes for an outstanding left side of the infield for any MLB team.
3. Might Trevor Story look at the Arenado trade as “waving a white flag” and wonder why in Heaven’s name he would want to sign on with the Rockies as a free agent?

In the wake of any trade, there is always a statement from both sides regarding the exchange.  Normally, they are diplomatically worded and cordial.  This time, John Mozeliak – Cards’ President of Baseball Operations – simply said:

“Today, we got better!”

Finally, apropos of nothing, here is an entry from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

“Hallmark:  A company that has made untold millions off the fact that it’s a bitch to come up with something nice to say about the people you love.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

The NFL Scouting Combine is a coronavirus casualty; the event – normally held in February – will be held this year remotely.  Instead of having hundreds of players who have declared for the Draft to be invited to Indianapolis plus coaches and scouts from all 32 NFL teams plus a large contingent of media personnel, the NFL will handle player interviews virtually and will do the “physical stuff” in a menu of separate “pro days” held on college campuses around the country.  Here is an excerpt from the memo sent from NFL HQs to all teams:

“Any workouts will take place on individual pro days on college campuses. We will work with the schools to encourage consistency in testing and drills across pro days and ensure that all clubs have access to video from those workouts, irrespective of whether the club is represented at a particular workout.”

And:

“Club interviews of prospects and psychological testing and assessments will be done virtually…”

I am certain that once the Super Bowl Game is in the past so that all NFL reporting must have a tie-in to that game, you will begin to hear about how this will make it even more problematic for teams to construct their draft boards.  Here is a foreshadowing; it will not be more difficult; it will merely be more inconvenient.

• Is Devonta Smith going to drop out of the first round because no team will have a scout with a stopwatch in hand to witness his 40-yard dash?
• Will any team shy away from a player they had on their board as a QB prospect because they cannot look him in the eye and ask him, “If you were a vegetable, which one would you want to be?”  [Answer:  Kale … so everyone would just leave me alone…]
• Is it important at all to watch a 340 lb. offensive lineman demonstrate his vertical leap – – whether watching in person or on video tape?

The cancelation of this year’s Combine is not worth lamenting; the Combine is a made-for-TV event that only allows for some guy – –  “Butch in Dubuque” – –  to sound authoritative when he prepares a Mock Draft in mid-April notwithstanding the fact that said Mock Draft is meaningless.  I think the world can do without such exposition very nicely and I will second the assertion made here by Bob Molinaro in the Hampton Roads Virginian-Pilot:

“Idle thought: The world would be a quieter place if fewer people pretended to be NFL draft experts.

Moving on …  NBC Sports Network  (NBCSN) is going dark by the end of 2021.  If NBCSN is not in your “power rotation” of channels to check out, this is where you might find English Premier League games, NHL telecasts, motorcycle racing, winter sports, NASCAR events, dog shows, car auctions and the Tour de France.  If your conclusion from seeing that overview of the network’s content is tepid, I can easily agree; other than EPL games and NHL games, there is not a lot of stuff on NBCSN that I find compelling.  Moreover, a lot of the stuff they televise is not prime material for any sort of telecast.  Let me just use the car auctions as an example.  While you look at the car up for sale a bunch of folks hold up numbered paddles indicating their bids for the car you are looking at while a couple of car enthusiasts gush over the various restoration efforts that have been performed on the vehicle.  Not exactly a lot of dynamic action going on there…

In any event, some of the content from NBCSN will “migrate” to USA Network which is also owned by NBCUniversal.  USA Network is not part of my “power rotation”; it is not in the “sports cluster” of channels on my cable box, so I had to go and look up what sort of programming they offer.  A cursory glance tells me that the only thing they carry that is close to “sports” is professional ‘rassling; other than that, it seems to be a home for Law and Order SVU reruns, a bunch of shows featuring someone named Chrisley, movies and NCIS reruns.  How the Premier League and the NHL will fit into that milieu is not clear to me.

Some of these items and other NBCSN “properties” will migrate to NBCUniversal’s new streaming platform, Peacock. What has not been announced is the fate of what I call the “NBCSN local channels”.  Here in the DC area, there is a channel that has the NBCSN logo, but it focuses on sports in the Washington/Baltimore area exclusively.  There are similar “local channels” in other major sports markets around the country and none of the reporting about the demise of NBCSN has indicated what might happen to those outlets.

Back in mid-December as the NBA was about to start, I made this comment:

“There will be loads of attention paid to the Houston Rockets and the Washington Wizards based on their blockbuster trade of Russell Westbrook and John Wall.  But … what if both teams just stink…?”

The Rockets are treading water; as of this morning, they are 8^th in the Western Conference with a record of 10-9.  The Rockets have won 6 games in a row and 7 of their last 10.  With about 30% of the season gone, the Rockets are not a compelling story, but they are relevant.

The Wizards … not so much.  As of this morning Les Wiz are dead last in the Eastern Conference standings with a record of 4-13.  Bradley Beal has been electric this season averaging 35 points per game with one game where he poured in 60 points.  A major problem for Les Wiz has been defense; Beal commented after one game that the team cannot cover a parked car; he is absolutely correct in that analysis.

Finally, here is an item relating COVID-19 and the NBA from Dwight Perry in the Seattle Times:

“Spurs coach Gregg Popovich announced on his 72nd birthday that he’d gotten a COVID-19 vaccine, telling AP: ‘Sciencewise, it’s a no-brainer.’

“In other words, good shot selection.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Back when lots of teams were looking for new head coaches, I said I wanted to wait until all the jobs were filled before commenting.  That time has come; so, here are my comments about how things look for those teams and their new head coaches:

1. Chargers hired Brandon Staley – – formerly the defensive coordinator for the Rams.  His defense last year led the NFL – – but was it talent or coaching that led to that result?  The Chargers are clearly hoping that coaching was at least an equal contributor.  Staley is young (38 years old) and has only been coaching as an assistant in the NFL for 4 years.  Plenty of question marks here – – as they say on Draft Day, he has lots of upside…
2. Eagles hired Nick Sirianni – – formerly the offensive coordinator for the Colts.  His success or failure will depend on two things.  Can he “fix” Carson Wentz?  Can Howie Roseman (GM) do a better job of roster building than he has done for the past 2 seasons?
3. Falcons hired Arthur Smith – – formerly the offensive coordinator for the Titans.  Smith made Ryan Tannehill into a quality QB in Tennessee; with Matt Ryan on the Falcons’ roster, he has raw material that starts at a higher level of ability.  The big difference is that in Tennessee he had Derrick Henry too; and in Atlanta, he has nothing similar in the running game.  Jury is out…
4. Jags hired Urban Meyer – – formerly a college football national champion.  Time will tell if Meyer’s brand of football translates to the NFL with anything near the success he had in college.  However, he should be a big success for the Jags in the ticket-selling department.  Jax is about a 90-minute drive from Gainesville, FL where Urban Meyer coached the University of Florida very successfully.  Getting Meyer and presumably Trevor Lawrence in the Draft should sell plenty of tix in Jax – – and the Jags surely have plenty of tix to be sold…
5. Jets hired Robert Saleh – – formerly the defensive coordinator for the Niners.  Common wisdom is that he was the best hire of the offseason.  He is a “defense guy” who will bring intensity to the sidelines and the team facility.  He is sort of the anti-Adam Gase.  New Jets’ GM  Joe Douglas has a positive reputation around the league and the ability of Saleh and Douglass to work together – – and to keep meddlesome ownership at bay – – will be important to watch here.
6. Lions hired Dan Campbell – – formerly the tight ends coach for the Saints.  He was an interim head coach with the Dolphins in 2015, so he has a smidgen of experience in the job.  Campbell played for the Lions during his playing career, so he pretty much understands the dysfunctionality of the franchise – – and yet he took the job.  Give him points for that…
7. Texans hired David Cully – – formerly assistant coach and WR coach for the Ravens:  Cully gets high praise from coaches and players around the league but his success in Houston depends on two things over which he has little control.  The first is the executive tandem of Cal McNair (Chairman and CEO of the Texans) and Jack Easterby (Exec. VP of Football Operations).  McNair is not highly regarded around the league and Easterby has been described as “the NF’s most polarizing exec”.  The second one is the mindset of Deshaun Watson.  Good luck coach.

The mention of Deshaun Watson’s name necessitates a comment on his demands to be traded and the subsequent dismissal of that demand by the Texans new GM (Nick Caserio) saying that the team “has no interest in trading the player”.  There have been other misstatements and missteps by the team execs recently; you can find them in a dozen different places; the message here is that the Texans’ executives are totally tone deaf.  And now they have the largest asset under their control saying he no longer wants to play in Houston.

Defense Readiness Condition 1 – – DEFCON 1 – – was/is the US military’s status when “nuclear war is imminent or has already begun; maximum readiness, immediate response.”  I refer to that because we may see the NFL version of DEFCON 1 take place in Houston.  The statements made by the two sides are absolutely incompatible; neither side gives any impression of yielding any ground; what happens next?

• Watson signed a contract with the Texans that extends through the end of the 2025 season.  He got a $27M signing bonus and $110M in guaranteed salary in that contract.  It contains a no-trade clause and an annual salary “de-escalator” of $500K if he does not attend team workouts.  You can find more of the details here.
• The Texans say they have no interest in trading “the player”.  What are the options?  If the Texans were to release him, they would take a dead cap hit of $67M next year.  They would be hard pressed to field a competitive team with what is left of next year’s cap.
• The Texans could try to play “chicken” with Watson.  If he were to try to hold out and force a trade late in the offseason by that means, the Texans have financial remedies.  They can fine him up to $100K for missing minicamp and they can fine him up to $50K per day for missing training camp (7 weeks of Training camp @ $50K per day = $1.75M)  Then, they can fine Watson 1/16^th of his $10.54M base salary for this season for every regular season game missed.
• Watson could threaten to retire…

And there you have DEFCON 1 – – NFL style.

It would seem to me that the only way Deshaun Watson can blink is if he fires his agent and says that this confrontation was the doing of his former agent and that he now wants to play for the Texans.  That preserves his public forthrightness and his stature as a man of his word.

It would seem to me that the only way the Texans can blink is do some cleansing in the front office ranks – – and Cal McNair is part of the family that owns the team so he ain’t going anywhere.

Hence, the best move for all concerned is indeed another blockbuster QB trade in the NFL for this offseason.  If that is the pathway, it ought to happen before or during the NFL Draft in late April; between now and then there will be a war of words and a tsunami of speculation about what is coming next in the mess.  However, if this gets anywhere near the level of DEFCON 1 – – NFL style – – the league needs to step in and make sure the two sides avoid that condition.

Finally, with the reference to DEFCON today, let me close with this definition from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

“Nuclear Weapon:  A device that is now in the hands of just about everyone and can apparently be assembled with little more than confectioners’’ sugar, isopropyl alcohol and a can of creamed corn.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Yesterday, I went through the NFL to look at teams that have QB issues/concerns which will need to be addressed in the offseason or the draft.  So, let me begin today with a report about one of the QBs who just retired, and that retirement set some of yesterday’s “QB issues” in motion.  The NY Post reports that  ESPN is going to try to get retired QB, Philip Rivers, to sign on with ESPN as “an NFL analyst”.  According to the current reporting, the idea would not be for Rivers to replace anyone in the ESPN Monday Night Football booth – – at least for now.  However, as the NFL looks to open negotiations for renewals of its rights packages, one of the hopes at ESPN is an expanded package for that network perhaps to include more Monday Night Football doubleheaders.

Never having heard Rivers in a telecast, I have no idea if he would be a curse or a blessing to that profession.  However, I am encouraged by this report in that it says that the suits at ESPN want to keep the Steve Levy, Brian Griese, Louis Riddick team together for another season.  That crew had some bumps in the road early on, but they improved markedly by the end of the season.  I have no illusions that they will make me forget Gifford, Cosell and “Dandy Don” Meredith, but they acquitted themselves very well in the last month or so of the 2020 season.

And speaking of Philip Rivers and his retirement, that seems to have generated a lot of sports radio segments and blog postings soliciting comments to ponder the question:

• Is Philip Rivers the best QB never to have won a Super Bowl?

As is always the case when this sort of question is posed, there is a cadre of the responders who belong to the school of thought that if something happened more than a year ago, it is not to be given “reality status” because it was only reported in hieroglyphics.  More than a few callers on local sports shows and blog responders are confident that the answer to the question above is in the affirmative.

Let me take a crack at answering this by starting out with the following statement:

• Notwithstanding his lack of a Super Bowl ring, I believe Philip Rivers belongs in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. 

I hope that statement allows me to discard the label of a “Philip Rivers hater” – – because I am not such a person.  Now let me say that he is not necessarily the best QB never to win a Super Bowl because of these four players from yesteryear – – listed alphabetically to preclude any debate about ordering among the four:

• Sonny Jurgensen
• Dan Marino
• Warren Moon
• Fran Tarkenton

Those four men are in the Hall of Fame and Rivers should join them in the Hall – – and then you can easily insert his name – alphabetically – onto that list of his peers.

In a sort of related NFL retirement announcement, tight end, Greg Olsen, announced his retirement earlier this week.  He had toyed with retirement last year and did some work with FOX on XFL 2.0 games where he showed potential behind a microphone.  Presumably, he will return to FOX in a football analysis role now that he has tried a comeback and once again decided that it is time for him to hang up the jockstrap.

There are reports that the Houston Texans are about to hire Ravens’ assistant coach, David Cully as they next head coach.  If that comes to pass, that will fill all the head coaching vacancies for this year’s offseason, and it will make several things clear:

• Eric Bieniemy will be outside looking in at a head coaching job once again.  I know the fact that he did not get a job or a job offer will usher in a chorus of shouts focused on “racism”.  And it may indeed be nothing more than racism at work here.  Or … maybe there is some other force at work here that no one knows about or has uncovered.  After all, the final coach hired this year is a Black man and the team that hired Cully is one of the teams that had also interviewed Eric Bieniemy.
• [There is a case to be made that Robert Saleh hired by the Jets is also a minority selection – – but not necessarily a minority by NFL standards,]
• There are some surprising hires in this year’s coaching sweepstakes – – assuming the reports about David Cully and the Texans are correct.
• Of the seven new hires in the NFL, none of them have NFL head coaching experience.  Only one of the new hires – Urban Meyer – has spent time as the head man at the college level.
• The Jets and Chargers went with “defense guys”.  The Lions, Falcons, Eagles and Texans went with “offense guys”.  The Jags went with a “college guy”.

I noted that none of these new head coaches has NFL experience.  I do not want to make that into an unvarnished positive for teams that give a coach his first shot at the top job but consider this:

• If I asked you to name the best coaches in the NFL right now, I suspect you would come up with a list similar to this one:
• Bill Belichick – – had previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Pats in 2000.
• Pete Carroll – – had previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Seahawks in 2010.  Also had a successful career as a college head coach.
• John Harbaugh – – had no previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Ravens in 2008.
• Sean Payton – – had no previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Saints in 2006.
• Andy Reid – – had no previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Eagles in 1999.
• Mike Tomlin – – had no previous experience as a head coach when hired by the Steelers in 2007.

My point here is that previous NFL experience is not always an indicator of a successful new hire.  Fans surely hope that the 7 teams have chosen well with their new hires.  History suggests that several of those hirings will not turn out the way anyone involved with the teams or the coaches would prefer.  But for the moment, things are looking up around the NFL in terms of new coaches and new systems and all the cultures that will be changing around the league.  Here in Curmudgeon Central, we will take a wait and see posture…

Finally, with the announcement of next summer’s induction class for the Pro Football Hall of Fame coming very soon, here is an anticipation from Dwight Perry in the Seattle Times:

“QB Peyton Manning, a first-time finalist, would seem a shoo-in for induction into the Pro Football Hall of Fame this summer.

“Pundits predict a record number of audibles in his induction speech.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

In the NFL, quarterbacks usually get too much credit when a team wins and too much blame when  the team loses.  I doubt there is a cure for that.  As this year’s NFL off-season begins to accrete mass and gain momentum, there is an unusual amount of uncertainty surrounding NFL quarterbacks; we have a quality QB who have already announced his retirement; we have QBs wanting to be traded – or rumored to want to be traded – ; we have QBs who are reportedly frustrated with their coaches or former coaches; we have …  You get the idea.

So, today I want to try to make some semblance of sense out of all this.  I shall do this division by division looking at teams with QB “issues” and/or QB “needs”.  Let me start with the AFC East:

• Bills:  No issues and no needs; they have their franchise QB.
• Dolphins:  Rumors that players and coaches may not be all that enamored with Tua.  They have the 3^rd pick overall in this year’s draft and some Mock Drafts – – for whatever they are worth – – have them taking another QB there.  My guess is that the Dolphins would trade Tua rather than demote him.
• Jets:  They need better play from their QB; the question for the new Jets’ regime is simple; can Sam Darnold provide that better play?  Rumor has it that Deshaun Watson wants to be traded to the Jets.  The Jets pick second and twenty-third in the first round of the Draft; they have assets they can trade…
• Pats:  This is a team that needs a serious upgrade at QB.  The Cam Newton experiment did not work; Cam Newton is a shell of his former MVP self.  However, a reincarnation of John Unitas is not going to resurrect the Pats’ dynasty without a concomitant upgrade in the corps of pass-catchers.

In the AFC North:

• Bengals:  Assuming Joe Burrow’s rehab is complete, they have no QB issues or needs.
• Browns:  They have their guy on the roster already.
• Ravens:  No issues.
• Steelers:  I think Ben Roethlisberger is in the same situation as Cam Newton; his body is betraying him.  If I read the reports of his contract correctly, he will make $28.8M next year – base salary plus easily achievable bonuses – meaning he has little incentive to retire.  After next year, he will be a free agent; that is when he will be motivated to retire.  The Steelers need a replacement for him now and that replacement is not currently on the roster – even with the signing of Dwayne Haskins off the scrap heap.  If the Steelers cut Roethlisberger, they will have $22.4M in Dead Cap Money to deal with.  The Steelers have a QB problem…

In the AFC South:

• Colts:  Philip Rivers retired, and Jacoby Brissett is an unrestricted free agent.  Jacob Eason is the other QB on their roster.  The Colts put a playoff caliber roster around Rivers last year; they can do that for another QB this year.  They need to acquire an NFL-competent QB for certain.
• Jags:  They pick first in the Draft and they need a QB badly.
• Texans:  This is a soap opera.  There is obvious friction between Deshaun Watson and the owner and the team President; reports say Watson wants out.  Watson’s contract with the Texans runs through 2025; according to Spotrac.com, the Texans would take a dead cap hit of $67.5M in 2021 if they cut or trade Watson; that would leave a team that finished 4-12 last year in dire straits to field a functional squad.  I think Watson will stay in Houston because it will be difficult for the Texans to absorb that dead cap hit and because the goofy owner there will likely come to recognize that the team has already alienated part of the fanbase, and he need not pour salt into that wound and piss off another piece of the fanbase.
• Titans:  They have their QB…

In the AFC West:

• Broncos:  They have 3 young QBs on the roster and my reaction to all of them is, “Meh!”  They pick 9^th in this year’s Draft; so, that may not provide them with the upgrade they might want.  They may need to entice one of this year’s free agent QBs to take up residence in Colorado – – if they can.
• Chargers:  They have their QB…
• Chiefs:  They have their QB …
• Raiders:  Some Raiders’ fans are less than content with Derek Carr as the franchise QB but Carr is more than merely a solid player who does not embarrass himself or the team when he is on the field.  Marcus Mariota is a more-than-competent backup.  The Raiders did not make the playoffs this year and played poorly down the stretch – – but the reasons for those failures go well beyond QB play in Las Vegas.

Moving to the NFC, let me begin with the NFC West:

• Cardinals:  No QB issues or problems here…
• Niners:  Jimmy G has had difficulty dodging the injury bug.  He is signed through the end of 2023 and stands to make $26M next year.  However, if he is released or traded, Spotrac.com reports that his dead cap hit is only $2.8M (I do not understand how that happens but that is what it says.)  So, the Niners could be in the free agent marketplace for a QB if they are concerned about that injury history.
• Rams:  People have reported that Sean McVey has fallen out of love with Jared Goff.  The other two QBs currently on the Rams’ roster are John Wolford and Blake Bortles.  Goff is signed through the end of 2024 and his dead cap hit for next year would be $65.5M.  The Rams are a playoff team; I just do not see them hamstringing themselves with that much dead cap money.  I will be surprised if Jared Goff is anywhere else next year.
• Seahawks:  No QB issues here.  Just move along…

In the NFC  South:

• Bucs:  Tom Brady is signed for next year; he will make $27.9M.  So long as he does not retire or suffer an incapacitating injury, the Bucs QB situation is resolved.
• Falcons:  Matt Ryan is still a capable franchise QB for the team.  He is getting to the point where the Falcons should begin to hold auditions for his ultimate replacement.  On the Falcons’ roster now are Matt Schaub (not a QB for the future because of his age) and Kurt Benkert (If you believe he is the Falcons’ QB of the future, tell me where he played college football without Googling).
• Panthers:  Teddy Bridgewater is signed through the end of 2022 and the Panthers have 3 other young QBs on the roster.  My guess is that the Panthers will stand pat here – – but if a quality free agent shows interest there…?
• Saints:  Will Drew Brees retire?  I think he should; if he does the Saints will eat $22.6M in dead cap money.  Jameis Winston is an unrestricted free agent.  Taysom Hill has one more year to go on his contract and Trevor Siemien still has a key to the team’s facilities.  The Saints should be active in the QB marketplace this year…

In the NFC North:

• Bears:  The team declined Mitchell Trubisky’s fifth year option, so he is an unrestricted free agent.  Nick Foles is still there and signed through the end of 2022.  If the Bears cannot entice a free agent to come to Chicago, they will likely try to resign Trubisky since he “knows the system”.  However, the ceiling does not appear to be extremely high if they take that path.
• Lions:  Matthew Stafford has asked to be traded – – following in the footsteps of Barry Sanders and Calvin Johnson as quality players who do not want to play for the Lions.  Stafford will be 33 years old next year and is signed through the end of the 2022 season.  Stafford should draw lots of attention on the trade market and the Lions need plenty of help.  Stafford fits perfectly with the Colts playoff caliber roster in search of a QB and he would also fit with the Pats, Saints, Steelers and WTFs.  The Lions have only 1 pick in the first round of this year’s Draft (#7 overall) and you can expect them to get at least one more in exchange for Matthew Stafford.
• Packers:  Aaron Rodgers’ comment that his future is uncertain has created a melodrama here.  He is signed through the end of the 2023 season and he will collect a total of $73.5M over the course of that contract.  If you hear about him retiring, that is the money he would leave on the table.  If the Packers were to trade him – – or release him if you want to think waaay outside the box – – the dead cap hit for the team would be $31.6M.  For a team that had the best record in the NFC last season, that makes little to no sense.  My prediction is that Aaron Rodgers will get past his current state of butt-hurt and will be wearing #12 for the Packers again in 2021.  The curtain will fall on this melodrama.
• Vikes:  They have their QB – – for better or worse…

I purposely saved the NFC East for last because there are so many question marks and moving parts here that I did not want to tire anyone out in the early parts of this rant.  Grab yourself a cup of coffee – – or an adult beverage if that is of your choosing and the time is right – – and let me dive in here.

• Cowboys:  This situation is a soap opera married to a melodrama subsumed in an episode of the Perils of Pauline.  And what else would  you expect from the Dallas Cowboys and Jerry Jones?  Dak Prescott is a free agent – – unless the Cowboys put the franchise tag on him for a second time giving him a guaranteed salary of something in the neighborhood of $38M for 2021 and almost assuredly giving him unrestricted free agency after that.  The Cowboys hit the jackpot in the free agent market last year signing Andy Dalton as their backup QB and he saw plenty of action in 2020 due to Prescott’s injury.  However, Dalton is also an unrestricted free agent this year; his deal was a one-year deal with no team option in it.  Other QBs on the Cowboys’ roster are Cooper Rush, Garrett Gilbert and Ben DiNucci.  If any of them are “the answer” then I have no idea what “the question” might be.
• Eagles:  Look at their situation one way, and they have a QB controversy between Carson Wentz and Jalen Hurts.  Look at it another way and they have one QB who has problems between his ears (Wentz) and another QB who played well in one game and was decidedly mediocre in two others.  Look at it a third way and the team has made a financial – and personnel – commitment to Carson Wentz that is more than merely significant.  Wentz and Doug Pederson reportedly had a major falling out; Pederson is gone; Wentz won that battle.  Wentz’ contract runs through the end of the 2024 season and the Eagles would have to eat $59.2M in dead cap space by releasing him or trading him this year.  I call that a serious commitment.  My guess is that the Eagles will put Carson Wentz under center next year with a new coach and a “new system” and that Jalen Hurts will be on the team with a few “special packages” that he will run a few times a game.  Status quo ante is maintained…
• Giants:  The Giants have the most stable QB “situation” in the division so long as you believe that Daniel Jones is indeed an NFL-caliber franchise QB.  He shows flashes of being just that – – and then he finds a way to make a humongous mistake at just the wrong time in a game.  Daniel Jones is certainly not one of the top 5 QBs in the NFL – – but there are probably a dozen teams that would welcome him with open arms as their QB in 2021 if they could shed their incumbent QBs without debilitating dead cap hits.
• WTFs:  Alex Smith is the best QB on the roster and gives the team the best chance to win football games; that is the good news.  Alex Smith is 38 years old and is one bad hit away from a permanent disability; that is reality.  Alex Smith is signed through the end of 2022 and he would create $10.8M in dead cap money for the WTFs should they cut or release him; that is the financial reality here.  The other QBs on the roster are Kyle Allen (erratic and injury prone), Steven Montez (totally unknown) and Taylor Heinicke (maybe a player or maybe a one-hit wonder?)  The WTFs could be looking for help at the QB position but they do not have a lot of “draft capital” to offer in a trade (they pick #21 this year) so they might have to go looking at the free agent marketplace.

Just so you can have a more complete picture of this situation, here are the meaningful QB free agents on the market in 2021 in alphabetical order:

• Jacoby Brissett:  If the Pats do not show interest, I would find that to be a telling negative about him.  I suspect the Colts will have their eye on a QB higher on the food chain…
• Andy Dalton:  He can go just about anywhere if he is willing to be a backup again.  If he wants to start, perhaps he looks to the Bears or the Broncos?
• Ryan Fitzpatrick:  If the Dolphins are thinking of trading Tua, they might want to resign Fitzpatrick.  If not, maybe the Steelers sign him to give one of their youngsters another year to learn the game?
• Cam Newton:  I think he is done as a starter.  His place in the league now is as a reliable backup to one of the “young and upcoming QBs” as an insurance policy against injury.  Is that a fit with the Chargers or Bengals or Dolphins if they keep Tua?
• Dak Prescott:  He will be with the Cowboys next year either on a franchise tag or with a very lucrative long-term deal.  He holds all the cards in this negotiation; all he needs to do is not to overplay the hand.
• Tyrod Taylor:  I am sure he would love a shot at a starting QB job; if so, maybe the Broncos, Pats or Bears might be attractive.  Personally, I think he would be a perfect addition for the WTFs as their backup to Alex Smith.
• Mitchell Trubisky:  When all the smoke clears, I think he winds up back in Chicago with the Bears.
• Jameis Winston:  Things did not end well for him in Tampa; the question on the table in this year’s free- agent market is simple.  Has one-year under the tutelage of Sean Payton rehabilitated him?  If folks think so, he will be in high demand – – think Colts, Bears, Lions, Broncos, Pats…  If not, he will have to settle for another one or two-year deal as a clipboard holder somewhere…

So, there are my thoughts on NFL QBs and NFL free agency for the upcoming offseason.  To give you and idea of how fluid some of these situations are, here is a comment from Bob Molinaro in the Hampton Roads Virginian-Pilot recently:

“For what it’s worth: In the wake of his Saturday performance (in the NFC Wildcard round), some will argue that at this moment, Taylor Heinicke is the NFC East’s best quarterback.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports ………

 

 

Normally, when I get an email from the “reader in Houston”, it contains stats or sports history that augments or corrects something I recently wrote.  When I received an email from him yesterday, I was not sure what stat or historical event I had missed in yesterday’s rant; so, I opened the email with heightened curiosity.  Instead of a long and detailed email, this one was short and to the point; it dealt with the Fan Controlled Football league I mentioned yesterday.  Here is the entirety of its contents:

“Including the playoffs, “Fan Controlled Football” is a supposed six-week long season joke.”

My guess is that the “reader in Houston” will be paying the same amount of attention to FCF as I will…

While I am in the mode of citing emails that have come to me, here is something from a former colleague and it cites a statistical comparison among Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers that I failed to hear on the telecasts last weekend:

“I’m sure you realize that Brady has now won as many NFC Championship Games in one season as Brees and Rodgers have in their careers.”

To be honest, I had not realized that until the moment I read his email…

Even I, as a person who hob-nobs with folks of a curmudgeonly persuasion, do not know anyone who hopes that 2021 is as bad a year as 2020 was.  Even I, as a curmudgeon in good standing within that community, am pulling for a major improvement year over year.  Nevertheless, there are two situations this morning that give me pause when I try to let a smidgen of optimism ooze its way into Curmudgeon Central.

The first situation is the feasibility of holding the 2020 Olympic Games in Tokyo postponed from last year.  The problem here is simple and straightforward; the coronavirus is running amok in Japan right now; there are all sorts of restrictions in effect in Japan – and in Tokyo specifically – aimed at containing the viral spread.  Obviously, everyone wants those restrictions to be successful.  Equally obviously, the Summer Games could be a monstrous super-spreader event if thousands of spectators accompany the thousands of athletes from around the world to Tokyo in the summer.

Indeed, there are mitigation strategies that can be effected.  None of those strategies is perfect; authorities must be vigilant to minimize the possibility of a new outbreak.  The authorities have another concern; it is an economic one.  The facilities for the games are in place; they have been paid for – with some borrowed money to be sure – and they have not yet generated any revenue to offset any of those costs.  There is pressure to hold the games and get something back on the investment made because without the Games this summer, the IOC has said they will cancel this set of games and prepare to hold the next ones in Paris in 2024 and then in LA in 2028.  If that is the fate of the 2020 Games, it will not be until 2032 that Tokyo might begin to offset the expenditures already encountered.

Staying purely in the economic realm – and leaving aside issues related to epidemiology, public safety and/or morality – there are potentially negative consequences in Japan for any decision regarding the Games scheduled for the summer:

• Postponement will cause a delay of revenue to offset sunk costs and will reduce any influx of foreign money from tourism that was anticipated for 2021.  Not good…
• Holding the games and bringing lots of people to Japan this summer when the coronavirus is still “alive and well” in various parts of the world could cause yet another outbreak in Japan that could shut down the economy as a means to confine the virus.  Not good…

Meanwhile, the other situation that does not portend peaches and cream for 2021 relates to MLB.  If 2021 were destined to be a “normal sports year” teams would be setting up facilities in Florida and Arizona for the onset of Spring Training about now.  Instead, there are reports this morning that Arizona officials have sent a letter to MLB asking for a delay in the start of Spring Training there because of the high rate of COVID infections in Maricopa County.  The report I read in the Washington Post said that the officials there do not have the authority to order such a delay meaning this could evolve into a negotiation with MLB.  Unfortunately, any negotiation with MLB will have to involve the MLBPA as well; history tells us that those two entities have difficulty agreeing on even basic things like Tuesdays always following Mondays.

Already, the union has opposed a proposed delay in starting Spring Training.  The union seems to see that step as a slippery slope to a place where MLB will want to shorten the regular season and – once again – reduce player salaries as happened in 2020.  Maybe so … but can we concoct a conspiracy theory that links the MLB owners’ nefarious desire to cut players’ pay with a request from Arizona government officials asking for a delay based on epidemiological projections?  That could take a lot of arm-waving and rhetorical flourishing…

Folks with rose-colored glasses will look at the two paragraphs above and point out that it is a hurdle that can probably be ironed out in a three-way discussion among adults.  Well, there are a couple of other issues simmering in the MLB/MLBPA cauldron of contention:

• MLB offered the union the possibility of a universal DH.  That is an issue that has been something the union has wanted in the past because DH players generally command more in salary than would a 25^th player at the end of a team’s bench.
• In return, MLB wants the union to agree to an expanded playoff structure at the end of the regular season.  More playoff games mean more TV money; evidently, the owners’ proposal does not slip enough of the “new money” in the direction of the players.
• The union has rejected this package.  The two sides cannot agree on how to share more revenue…

So, what might seem to be a simple pandemic related set of negotiations where economics and public health are balanced one against the other, [Aside:  How does “public health” lose out in that balancing act?] you can see that those conversations will devolve quickly into multidimensional discussions with plenty of room for bickering.

Make no mistake; I recognize that proposals from the owners in MLB are always going to tilt the economic benefits on the table toward the owners’ side of the table.  That has been the case in baseball since its beginnings and it continues to this moment.  At the same time, the MLBPA is not an organization steeped in virtue.  Here is a statement issued by the MLBPA to the possibility of delaying the start of Spring Training – – and therefore the regular season:

“While we, of course, share the goals of a safe Spring Training and regular season, MLB has repeatedly assured us that it has instructed its teams to be prepared for an on time start to Spring Training and the Regular Season and we continue to devote all our efforts to making sure that that takes place as safely as possible.”

“As safely as possible” – – so long as it does not involve any postponement that might be related to increased safety levels as suggested by local officials and epidemiological models…

Finally, having mentioned MLB above, let me close today with George Bernard Shaw’s opinion of baseball:

“Baseball has the great advantage over cricket of being sooner ended.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………