The Pot Is Already Boiling …

The NFL season is only two weeks old – – and I have only seen one weekend of action.  Nonetheless, there is turmoil in the league already.  Let me start in Charlotte, NC where the 2024 Carolina Panthers have looked as bad as the 2023 Carolina Panthers looked while going 2-15-0.  Just watching bits of last week’s loss to the Chargers made me think that there is no part of the Panthers’ team that appears to be competitive or even interested.  Yesterday, the team announced that it will bench Bryce Young and turn the offense over to Andy Dalton.

Just last year, Young was the overall #1 pick in the draft; he struggled more than a little bit in 2023, and the team brought in a new coach with the idea that the new system might spur development in the QB.  That has not happened in the first two games; calling the Panthers’ offense “anemic” would exaggerate its performance level.  And the benching brings back to the headlines what the Panthers paid in order to draft Bryce Young.

The Bears had the overall #1 pick, and they already had a young QB on the roster, so the Bears “allowed” the Panthers to pay an exorbitant price to move up in the draft to the #1 slot.  Here is what Carolina gave up:

  • 2023 Draft – – Overall #9 pick plus a second-round pick
  • 2024 Draft – – First-round pick
  • 2025 Draft – – Second-round pick
  • WR, DJ Moore

Panthers’ owner, David Tepper is notoriously impatient; when the Panthers stunk out the joint last year, he fired first year coach, Frank Reich after only 11 games.  Tepper has owned the Panthers since May 2018 and in the 6 years since his arrival, the Panthers have had the following head coaches (including interims):

  • Ron Rivera  5-7-0
  • Perry Fewell  0-4-0
  • Matt Rhule  11-27-0
  • Steve Wilks  6-6-0
  • Frank Reich  1-10-0
  • Chris Tabor  1-5-0
  • Dave Canales  0-2-0
  • Cumulative:  24-61-0

If past behavior is an indicator of future behavior, owner Tepper might be looking to fire someone pretty soon.  Let me suggest here that in addition to coaches, he might dig deeper to find out:

  • Who in the scouting department valued Bryce Young so highly that such a trade offer was put together?
  • Who made the ultimate decision to pay that price?
  • Who has constructed the rest of the current roster that is only marginally competitive?

Meanwhile, another center of unrest in the NFL is in Philly.  The Eagles blew a win last night at home against the Falcons; some have called it an “epic collapse” and it comes on the heels of last year’s equally epic collapse of the season that started out 10-0.  Here is what happened last night:

  • Eagles led 18-15 with under two minutes to play in the game.  They had the ball third down and 3 yards to go at the Falcons’ 9 yardline.
  • The Falcons had no timeouts left.
  • Obviously, a running play that does not go out of bounds to stop the clock is going to be the call.  If you make the first down, you kneel out the game; if you don’t make it, the clock will run down to about 1:10 whereby you kick a field goal and go up 6 points.
  • However, the always edgy and creative Eagles’ coaching staff/analytics gurus decide on a roll out pass play that falls incomplete stopping the clock.  The Eagles get the field goal but now leave about 1:50 on the clock for the Falcons.
  • The defense goes AWOL, and the Eagles choke away the game.

I am almost never in favor of firing coaches when players play badly or when someone hands the coach a flawed roster.  In last night’s case, I would make an exception.  Forget about where the buck stops, why was there no adult in the huddle on the sidelines as the Eagles decided what play to call on third-and-three?  Not to put too fine a point on it but that bit of play calling was done by someone with echoes between his ears.

Finally, the Eagles’ decision making last night reminded me of a quote from Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.:

“Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

RIP Joe Schmidt

Joe Schmidt died last week at the age of 92.  He was a great middle linebacker for the Detroit Lions in the 1950s and early 60s; he was the starter on the Lions’ NFL championship team in 1957.  Later, he was the Lions’ head coach from 1967 to 1972 and despite taking over a ramshackle team to start, he compiled a winning record over his 5 seasons in Detroit.

Rest in peace, Joe Schmidt.

Yesterday, I had the opportunity to watch my first NFL games of this year.  [Aside:  I do not count Exhibition Games in that statement because the players on the screen in Exhibition Games are not the ones who will play in the regular season.]  And so, it was my first time to hear Tom Brady as a color analyst on the Cowboys/Saints game.  My comments necessarily come from a very limited sample size and that sample is from the earliest stages of Brady’s development as a broadcaster.  Having said that, I think he was awful.

  • A color analyst can adopt the position of an instructor.  In that role, he needs to be precise with his words and he must be sure to point out important things that the viewer might have missed due to the inexperience/naivete of the viewer.  Brady did virtually none of this.
  • A color analyst can adopt the position of a cheerleader.  In that role, he needs to be enthusiastically over-the-top on just about any play that results in a loss of yardage, a gain of more than 10 yards, a turnover or a TD.  Brady evinced no enthusiasm at all during the telecast and needed his partners to try to draw comments out of him as the program went along.
  • A color analyst can adopt the position of “Captain Obvious”.  This is not a performance to seek; but when one does adopt the role, it requires constant explanation of the same sorts of obvious things over and over again.  The only thing Brady did over and over again was to remain silent when there was room for a comment of any kind.

I am on record that I do not think this is Tom Brady’s calling in life simply because – – during his long playing career – – he never appeared to me to be comfortable standing behind a microphone and addressing folks present in person and present over the air.  Maybe that sentiment prejudiced my reaction to his performance yesterday; it is never easy to assign a measure to one’s prejudices, so I have to acknowledge my preconceived position as it relates to my assessment.  As they used to say in the car commercials, “Your mileage may vary …”

And speaking of the Saints/Cowboys game yesterday, did someone slip some Quaaludes into the Gatorade that the Cowboys’ defensive players were using?  The Saints scored a TD on their first 6 possessions in the game rolling up a total of 380 yards and 41 points in those 6 drives covering the first three quarters of the game.  Hidden by the horrible defensive performance might be another deficiency for the Cowboys:

  • They do not run the ball well at all and they are not deep in the pass catching positions.
  • Yesterday the Cowboys ran the ball 21 times for a total of 68 yards and 12 of those yards came on scrambles by Dak Prescott.  The basic running game produced 56 yards on 19 carries and – – as they say – – that won’t feed the bulldog.

I also got my first look at the trimmed down studio panel at CBS; gone are Boomer Esiason and Phil Simms; in their place is Matt Ryan.  I was always lukewarm about Esiason and Simms; I doubt that I will miss them very much.  Ryan was bright and perky on the program to the point that he appeared to be tense as opposed to relaxed.  Doing studio commentary is not like trying to cobble together an 80-yard game winning drive in the final minutes of a game; when Ryan gets comfortable and exhales regularly, I think he will be pretty good.

The “late game” yesterday afternoon in my viewing area was the Steelers/Broncos game.  The Steelers won 13-6 giving them a 2-0 record for the season despite the fact that they have scored only one TD in those two victories.  For the second week in a row, the Broncos leading rusher was QB, Bo Nix.  People like to talk about “sustainability” these days; that is not exactly “sustainable”.

Moving on …  Forget worrying about and trying to scope out the wildcard playoff races in MLB.  The results of those races will make themselves apparent very soon.  Instead focus your baseball attention on the Chicago White Sox and their potential record-setting in the area of futility and ineptitude.  As of this morning the team record is 35-115 with a dozen games left to play.  Here is the landscape for the White Sox should they achieve ineptitude immortality:

  • Three teams in the modern era have lost 115 games in a season.  The White Sox are already at this level matching the 2018 Orioles and the 1935 Boston Braves.  [Aside:  The Braves did this in a season of 153 games; the White Sox have done it in 150 games – – and counting.]
  • The Philadelphia A’s lost 117 games in 1916.  That team amassed all those losses in a total of 153 games; this year’s White Sox should surpass the total number of losses but might not do so in the next three games.
  • The Tigers lost 119 games in 2003.  That team played a full 162 games in 2003.
  • The Mets in 1962 (their expansion year) lost 120 games and did so in only 160 games.

To date in 2024, the White Sox are winning 23.3% of their games.  If they get hot for the final dozen games and break even in them, they will still eclipse the Mets level of ignominy by losing 121 games.  Here are the Sox opponents to come:

  • Six games against the Angels – – three at home and three on the road
  • Three games against the Padres – – on the road
  • Three games against the Tigers – – on the road

Let the games begin …

Finally, having thought about the White Sox level of futility this year, let me close with this from George Carlin:

“Dusting is a good example of the futility of trying to put things right. As soon as you dust, the fact of your next dusting has already been established.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Football Friday Lite 9/13/2024

On the old ESPN Radio program, Mike and Mike, they would often return from a commercial break by saying they were “back and better than ever”.  Well, I’m back – – and let’s leave it at that.  I survived the safari and was not eaten by a lion; the fact that I am pecking this out on a keyboard demonstrates that I survived the 15+ hour flight home that also changed 6 time zones.  [Aside:  I handle jetlag well; that flight experience was most trying; let that be a word to the wise…]

I have been completely isolated from US sports for more than two weeks; I have not seen any college football and only last night did I see part of the Thursday Night game before nodding off late in the first half with the Bills ahead 24-7.  I mention all that because I am going to try to turn this into a watered down Football Friday just because …

So let me begin with the traditional look at the football fortunes of the Wildcats of Linfield University; the school has not had a losing season in football since 1956.  Last weekend, Linfield opened the season by hosting Denison University and won that game 31-7.  This weekend, Linfield plays another non-conference game – – this time on the road against Wisconsin-Oshkosh.  Go Wildcats!

Back before these rants were on hiatus, I did a college football preview rant and identified Nebraska as a “sleeper team” for 2024 because they finished last season well and traditionally Matt Rhule’s teams tend to improve in his second year at the helm.  Nebraska beat Colorado last weekend to stretch their record to 2-0 at the start of this year.  Go Huskers!

 

College Football Commentary:

 

            As noted above, I have seen no college football with my own eyes to date in the 2024 season, so this commentary is – – at best – – a mile wide and an eighth of an inch deep.  Just this week, the remnants of the PAC-12 (Oregon State and Washington State) shanghaied 4 teams from the Mountain West Conference in an attempt to resurrect a new PAC-12.  As of now, there are 6 teams in the attempted reconstruction, and they are in alphabetical order:

  1. Boise State
  2. Colorado State
  3. Fresno State
  4. Oregon State (holdover)
  5. San Diego State
  6. Washington State (holdover)

Six teams do not a conference make; ergo I would expect to see the “Fledgling PAC-12” out and about seeking at least two more schools and maybe as many as six more schools to throw in with them such as …

  • New Mexico State – – it fits the theme of every team being “Something State”
  • UNLV – – geographically fitting
  • Air Force – – right next door to Colorado State
  • Idaho – – geographically fitting and right next door to Washington State
  • Wyoming – – why not?
  • UTEP – – if New Mexico State is in, UTEP is just down the road a piece.

And if any/all of that happens, what will become of the Mountain West Conference?

Going into the 2024 season, I thought Florida State was going to be a powerhouse to the point that they might have contended for a BYE in the first round of the expanded CFP.  Forget that.  The Seminoles opened the season with a loss to Georgia Tech in a game played in Dublin, Ireland.  OK, that might be forgiven since Georgia Tech was significantly improved last year and brought back most of their offensive players.  But Florida State came back to the States and lost again to BC leaving the Seminoles at 0-2.  [Aside:  Georgia Tech also lost their next game to Syracuse; so, the idea that Tech is some sort of nascent juggernaut seems to have gone out the window.]

With the CFP expanded to 12 teams this year, it is possible that there will be a team or two in the field with two losses on the record.  That means at a minimum. Florida State will need to win out impressively to make the selectors forget these two stinkeroos when December rolls around.

And speaking of a stinkeroo – – Notre Dame wet the bed last week at home in South Bend losing to Northern Illinois in what was supposed to be a cupcake game for the Irish.  For the record, Northern Illinois was paid $1.4M to come to South Bend to take their shellacking.  Ooops …

In case you forgot, Northern Illinois is in the MAC; a team aspiring to the CFP must not lose to a team in the MAC.  Take your mind back to 2007 when the BCS only had two teams playing off for the National Championship.  USC was a powerhouse that year but managed to lose a game to Stanford when the Trojans were 41-point favorites at kickoff.  It was Stanford’s only win of the year and it kept USC out of the playoff game.  The Irish were 28-point favorites here and similarly lost outright; fortunately for Notre Dame, there are 12 slots in the playoffs this year not only 2 …

In case you think this was some sort of flukey win by Northern Illinois, the Huskies ran the ball for 190 yards in the game and outgained the Irish 388 yards to 286 yards.  The Irish had a shot to win the game with a field goal in the final minute and had the attempt blocked.

Another result that jumped out at me was Texas 31 Michigan 12 with the game in Ann Arbor.  In the last couple of years, Michigan – – under Jim Harbaugh – – was a team that bullied opponents and ran the ball hard and often.  In this game, Texas was the bully:

  • Longhorns outgained Wolverines by more than 100 yards
  • Wolverines only gained 80 yards rushing
  • Longhorns gained 143 yards rushing
  • Longhorns were 10 for 16 on third-down conversions
  • Wolverines were 3 for 12 on third-down conversions

Penn State won last weekend – – extending their record to 2-0- – but did not look good doing so.  The Nittany Lions trailed at halftime at home to Bowling Green (another MAC team) and had to rally in the second half to win by a TD.  For the record, Penn State went off as a 34.5-point favorite in the game.  That is not a good look for a CFP-aspirant…

I got an email from a reader who is an alum of Temple University.  He knew I would be out-of-touch and would probably not focus on Temple’s football fortunes as soon as I got back; so, he included this dismal stat about the Temple Owls and posed a question:

“In the first two games Temple has scored 1 TD and has turned the ball over 9 times.  Can any team match that?”

I have no idea if any team can match that – – but I do know that if that sort of performance persists in 2024, it will be a season to forget on campus in North Philly.

One other early season observation deals with Missouri.  Remember that the Tigers closed out the 2023 season by beating Ohio State in a Bowl Game.  Mizzou is 2-0 this year beating Murray State and Buffalo which is not such a big deal.  What just might be a big deal is that Missouri has not allowed a point in those two victories.  The 6th ranked Tigers should get a sterner test this week when they host 24th ranked Boston College.

Just before I left, there was a depressing story related to college football.  An assistant coach at Austin Peay was arrested and charged with ‘human trafficking”; he was charged with one count of “trafficking for sexual servitude”.  The assistant coach resigned from his position after the arrest and the school accepted that resignation.  There have been notable instances when lurid allegations turn out to be not much more than allegations, but these charges are such that the school had to find a way to distance itself from the situation as best it could.  The coach is innocent until proven guilty at trial; Austin Peay could not wait for that process to play itself out.

 

NCAA Games of Interest:

 

Alabama – 16 at Wisconsin (49.5):  Wisconsin is 2-0 on the season but the wins have come over Western Michigan and South Dakota.  Alabama is a “step up” in class for the Badgers…

Memphis at Florida St. – 6.5 (54):  Even though it is only Week 3, this is a “must-win” for Florida St.

LSU – 6.5 at S. Carolina (48):  The Gamecocks are 2-0 on the season and have a road win over Kentucky already.  Could be interesting…

Washington St. at Washington – 5 (55.5):  This is the Apple Bowl game usually played at the end of every season back in “PAC-12 days”.  At least the traditional rivalry game survived the implosion of the conference.

Oregon – 17 at Oregon St. (50):  This is the Civil War game usually played at the end of every season back in the “PAC-12 days”.  At least the traditional rivalry game survived the implosion of the conference.

Notre Dame – 9 at Purdue (47):  A “must-win” for the Irish…

Troy at Iowa – 23 (39):  Can you trust Iowa to score more than 23 points in a game?

Indiana – 3 at UCLA (46.5):  Indiana is 2-0 having outscored its opponents 108-10.  However, those opponents were Florida International and Western Illinois.  UCLA is 1-0 having eked out a win at Hawaii two weeks ago by a field goal.

 

NFL Commentary:

 

Before focusing on the NFL, let me insert a note here about the Canadian Football league.  This tidbit came to me in an email from Gregg Drinnan, the former sports editor of the Kamloops Daily News.  If you have never seen a CFL game, I need to tell you about a rule in CFL football that does not exist here in the “Lower 48”.  There is a scoring play called a rouge.  A rouge is worth one point when …

  • … a punt or a missed field-goal attempt is kicked into the other team’s end zone and the opposing team does not catch the ball and run it out of its own end zone.

Professor Drinnan pointed out that a CFL game ended with a “Walk-off rouge” and that might be a first.  Here is the email I received:

“You won’t ever see this happen in the NFL. LOL!

“We had a walk-off rouge in the CFL on Thursday night as the host Toronto Argonauts beat the Saskatchewan Roughriders, 20-19. K Lirim Hajrullahu’s 40-yard field goal as time ran out in the fourth quarter was wide left but sailed through the end zone for a single point, breaking a 19-19 tie. . ..

“The game likely shouldn’t have been that close as the Argos (6-4) turned over the ball three times on downs when stopped on third-and-goal attempts from the one yard-line. . ..

“Toronto QB Chad Kelly, the most outstanding player in the CFL last season, was 24-of-39 for 322 yards and an interception. This game marked his return from what was a nine-game suspension for being in violation of the CFL’s gender-based violence policy. . ..

“Saskatchewan K Brett Lauther, who missed four of seven field goal attempts last week in a 27-24 loss to the visiting Montreal Alouettes, was 4-for-4 in this one. . .

“The Roughriders are 5-5-1.”

Here is something to look for that is peripheral to NFL on-field action this year.  In 2016 and again in 2020, the NFL’s TV ratings went down.  That news generated two narratives:

  1. The NFL has peaked in popularity.  The game is too dangerous.  The bubble is about to burst.
  2. This is a Presidential-election year and people are more focused on non-sports events in such years.  This too shall pass.

Deshaun Watson needs a bridge over troubled waters again.  [Hat tip to Simon and Garfunkel].  Having emerged bloodied from a series of sexual assault allegations, he now faces a new charge by a woman in Houston who says he exposed himself and sexually assaulted her in her apartment.  One report I read said that she had “video” of the incident which allegedly occurred back in 2020.  Watson denies the allegation; the NFL is “investigating” and will supposedly meet with the accuser.  As of now, Watson is not suspended nor is he on the Commissioner’s Exempt List meaning he can still play for the Browns.  But as a local disc-jockey used to say on a rock-and-roll station where I grew up, “the hits just keep on coming…” for Deshaun Watson.  Best thing to do now is to reserve judgment until lots more info is revealed.

The Jets are unfathomable.  Last year they won 7 games with incompetent QB play.  Their defense made them worthy opponents just about every week.  Now Rodgers is back and he played well – – if not spectacularly – – last week but the Jets’ defense was a no-show.  What is that all about?  At one point in the game, the 49ers scored on EIGHT consecutive drives.

No one should be surprised that Bengals lost their opener; they seem to start every season in the hole.  Since Zac Taylor took over in Cincy, the Bengals are 1-10 in the first two weeks of the season.  This one was really strange; Bengals were 7.5-point favorites over the Pats – – a team expected to contend for the overall #1 pick next year and they lost outright 16-10 at home.

Meanwhile, the Browns were dismantled by the Cowboys 33-17.  Maybe Deshaun Watson was “distracted” here?

The Steelers beat the Falcons 18-10.  The Steelers kicked 6 FGs in the game and won with their defense.  The Steelers are the only team in the AFC North to win the opener.

The Vikes beat Giants 28-6.  That was Sam Darnold back there for the Vikes completing his first 12 passes in a row.

The Panthers lost badly in Week 1 to Saints 47-10.  Moreover, they lost their best DL, Derrick Brown, for the season with a meniscus injury requiring surgery.  Could be another 2-15 season in the making?

The Bears scored 24 points in their win over the Titans so you might think that Caleb Williams led them to victory.  Not so fast, my friend …  [Hat tip to Lee Corso]  Caleb Williams only threw for 93 yards in this game, but he got the win thanks to the Bears’ special teams and defense. Those units produced a blocked punt resulting in a TD and a Pick-Six in the fourth quarter. But a win is a win for the overall #1 pick in last year’s draft…

The Bucs beat the Commanders 37-20 in Jayden Daniels’ debut game.  Here is an important question for Commanders’ coaches to ponder:

  • Where was the Commanders defense? 

The Commanders’ pass coverage was not existent, and Bucs converted 9 of 13 third down situations.  Baker Mayfield was nearly perfect against the Commanders, throwing for 289 yards and four touchdowns; Jayden Daniels spent lots of time running for his life; the Commanders’ OL was awful last year and did not play much better than that last week.

Last night, the Bills rolled over the Dolphins 31-10.  For what it is worth, the Bills have now won 12 of their last 13 games against the Dolphins.  More importantly for the Dolphins, Tua Tagovailoa had to leave the game in the second half with a concussion and one report this morning said it could be 8-12 weeks until he is cleared to return.  As of this morning, the Dolphins depth chart shows Skylar Thompson as the only QB cleared to play.  That situation will not obtain for long…

 

Games This Week:

 

Raiders at Ravens – 9 (41):  Both teams lost their openers, but the Raiders looked bad against the Chargers while the Ravens played the Chiefs to the wire.

Chargers – 5 at Panthers (39):  Expect the Chargers to run the ball a lot in this game…

Saints at Cowboys – 6 (46.5):  Both teams were impressive last week; between the two of them, they scored a total of 80 points.  Call this the Game of the Week.

Bucs at Lions – 7.5 (51): Baker Mayfield torched the Commanders’ secondary last week; the Lions should be a much better adversary this week.

Colts – 2.5 at Packers (41):  Malik Willis will be the QB for the Packers in place of Jordan Love here.  Anthony Richardson is likely to be his erratic self in this game.  It could be fun to watch, or it could be cringe-worthy…

Browns at Jags – 3 (41):  Both teams lost their openers; the Jags kept it close against the Dolphins; the Browns were steamrollered.

Niners – 4.5 at Vikes (46.5):  Both teams won handily last week; several touts have picked the Vikes as their “Upset of the Week”.

Seahawks – 3 at Pats (38):  Can the Pats win another one here as the Seahawks face a body clock game?

Jets – 3.5 at Titans (41):  Could be the Dog-Breath Game of the Week

Giants at Commanders – 2.5 (42):  Here is the REAL Dog-Breath Game of the Week

Rams at Cards – 1 (47.5):  Cards looked good against the Bills in Week 1 despite losing.

Bengals at Chiefs – 6 (48):  Will the Bengals open yet another season at 0-2?

Steelers – 2.5 at Broncos (36.5):  Can the Steelers score a TD this week?  Bo Nix led the Broncos rushing in Week 1, that is not a recipe for success against the Steelers.

(Sun Nite) Bears at Texans – 6 (45.5):  Caleb Williams will need to produce a lot more offense this week than last week.

(Mon Nite) Falcons at Eagles – 6.5 (47):  This game was the runner-up as the Game of the Week.

 

Finally, words from Vince Lombardi:

“Perfection is not attainable, but if we chase perfection, we can catch excellence.

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………