I will be traveling for the next 3 weeks or so and my schedule will not accommodate any rants or commentary during that time. Please check back sometime late in September when these rants will resume.
Stay well, everyone…
Don't Get Me Wrong, I Love Sports…
I will be traveling for the next 3 weeks or so and my schedule will not accommodate any rants or commentary during that time. Please check back sometime late in September when these rants will resume.
Stay well, everyone…
It is not as if a head football coach at a major school in a major conference has never had to step down from that job “unceremoniously”. A few that come to mind are:
Add Hugh Freese to the list. Freese resigned as the head coach at Mississippi under an unusual set of circumstances. The team has been highly successful during his time at Ole Miss beating Alabama in consecutive years (2014/15) and winning a Sugar Bowl game. I remember when Ole Miss was a football powerhouse in the 1960s when they won national championships based on polls; their football fortunes more recently had tended toward “break even seasons”; then Freese arrived and the Rebels won a bit more than 60% of their games.
Opposing coaches and fanbases were – and probably still are – convinced that Freese used some “recruiting shortcuts” to assemble the talent he put on the field and the NCAA had already been peering into possible infractions that may have happened under Freese’s predecessor, Houston Nutt. Freese professes to be a man of great faith and asserts that he ran his program in accordance with those high principles and values. Whenever he was questioned about possible wrongdoing, he pointed to the faith that he wore on his sleeve and denied everything.
What came to light recently was a phone call placed from Freese’s phone – supplied by the university – to an escort service. For a man who repeatedly used his faith and his piety as an explanation for his behaviors, that would have been most embarrassing but he simply said that it was a wrong number. That story might have held because it was a short call and there was only one of them. However, juxtaposed with the ongoing NCAA investigation(s), this became a burden too big for the school to bear. So, Hugh Freese was given the opportunity to resign but the school made it clear that they were willing to invoke a “moral turpitude” clause in his contract as the basis to fire him.
Here are a few observations related to this matter:
As someone who enjoyed Batman comic books as a kid, the Hugh Freese matter has an interesting linkage. One of Batman’s old arch-enemies was Mr. Freeze; his name is homophonic with Coach Hugh Freese. Another of Batman’s villainous adversaries was Mr. Two Face; that seemingly describes Coach Hugh Freese quite well. If you had told me when I sat down to compose this rant that I would tie together Ole Miss football with old-time Batman comic books, I would have been skeptical…
The other big news from late last week was the announcement that Kyrie Irving wants to be traded from the Cavaliers with 2 years left on his contract. Reports indicate that Irving no longer wants to play with LeBron James. Let me assume those reports are completely accurate for a moment; if that is the case:
I will not pretend to know the genesis of this trade demand from Kyrie Irving nor will I pretend to know where he might want to go for the next installment of his basketball career. Naturally, there were knee-jerk analyses right after this story hit the streets suggesting either or both the Lakers or the Knicks as his next team. The Lakers might be an interesting choice but the Knicks would likely be an unpleasant stop for him. There is no way Kyrie Irving has asked for my advice and there is no reason for him to value it even a little bit, but if I were able to wave a magic wand and put him on another team where he might flourish, I would consider these options:
Given that this would have to be a trade situation, I think the Cavs would be most likely to send him to the West and not to another East team. However, there is an interesting aspect to all of this. Remember, that Dan Gilbert fired GM David Griffin and then low-balled Chauncy Billups as his replacement. Now we hear that Kyrie Irving wants out. LeBron James has only one year left on his deal before he can opt out. So, riddle me this – continuing my focus on Batman’s opponents:
Finally, here is a comment from Brad Dickson of the Omaha World-Herald regarding fan fervor in SEC country:
“An Auburn fan showed up at SEC media days with his dog painted blue and orange. This work of art is widely considered to be the Mona Lisa of the South.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
Finally, the NBA Finals will begin tonight. Almost everyone foresaw this matchup as the crescendo to the 2016/17 NBA season back in early October 2016; now we have what we knew we were going to get. It took 1230 regular season games and a series of playoff rounds that were less exciting than a turtle race to get here; but at least, we are here. One of the things about these NBA Finals that I find interesting is that the casinos in Las Vegas have been allowed to expand their betting options.
According to this report in the Las Vegas Review-Journal from about a week ago, the sportsbooks can now take on bets on things like the MVP of the NBA Finals and on the still-to-be-had NBA Draft. The financial mavens in the NBA should be quietly elated about this expansion because those financial mavens recognize the following identity:
I looked at the early odds for the field of Finals’ MVP and found a humongous sucker bet in there. There are 19 players on the Cavs and Warriors who are named as potential winners of the MVP; seriously, even though almost no one can name 19 players on these two squads, there are odds listed for that many MVP candidates. However, none of them are nearly as bad as the sucker bet that I see:
That means you get anyone other than the 19 players who are named as potential recipients of the MVP Award.
Let me try to put that bet into perspective by saying that you can find 2 players on the Warriors who are at even higher odds than “The Field”. JaVale McGee and Zaza Pachulia are both on the board at 1000-1. And it is that silliness that points out just how big a sucker bet “the Field” would be. Looking at the active rosters from the two teams and who is not on the “19-man list of people with odds posted”, here is some of what you get for your bet on “The Field”:
If I am going to wager that one of those guys will be the Finals’ MVP, I am going to need a lot more than 500-1 odds. Maybe something like 50,000-1 …
Speaking generically about sports wagering, a report on ESPN.com says that the US Congress may be on a path to make legalized sports gambling more widespread in the US. The Congress passed PASPA in 1992 and it was a piece of well-intentioned but ill-conceived bits of legislation. To get past it, Congress needs either to repeal PASPA and replace it – – not a good optic in DC these days – – or to circumvent most of its restrictive covenants. At the moment, there has been introduced and sent to committee a bill known as the Gaming Accountability and Modernization Enhancement Act (GAME Act) and it would specifically repeal the section of PASPA that limits sports betting to those states that had it prior to a specific date or those that passed new state legislation to enact it by a certain date.
This GAME Act also provides a definition of wagering/gambling that might clarify what Fantasy Sports might be. It says that a wager is:
“… the risking of something of value including virtual currency or virtual items, upon the outcome of a contest of others, a sporting event or a game of skill or a game of chance, on the expectation that the person will receive something of value in the event of a certain outcome.”
Please note that this definition would place things like state sponsored lotteries and fantasy sports in the same category as “sports betting”. Supporters of the GAME Act point out – completely rightfully – that there is lots of sports gambling going on in states where it is illegal under both Federal and State law. Supporters say it is time to recognize that reality and to do something about it and the something to do about it would be to legalize it, regulate it and – – tax it.
I have not read the GAME Act itself as it was introduced so I do not know if it has some stupid provision buried in it. However, given what I have heard about it, I think it is a GREAT leap forward from PASPA.
And, by the way, there is another aspect of “law enforcement” that the GAME Act needs to clarify by definition. Part of the “Federal crackdown” on gambling involves the use of a law from the 1960s and the application of that law to the Internet. That fact alone – to my mind – disqualifies the law from having any relevance or jurisdiction to the matter.
The major sports leagues – many of whom have financial stakes in Fantasy Sports websites – have been eerily silent on this news. My guess is that they want to see which way the wind is blowing before sticking their heads out of the foxholes…
Finally, Dwight Perry of the Seattle Times had a fantasy moment of his own and it was not completely wonderful:
“Heard the reports that MLB umpires will soon be miked up to explain replay decisions?
“Just woke up in a cold sweat: Dreamt the Yankees were playing the Red Sox, and Ed Hochuli was the crew chief.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
A combination of travel, family events and a social commitment over the next two weeks will definitely impact my writing schedule. For example, I already know that there will not be time to do a rant next Monday (April 17).
Things will sort of get back to “normal” on May 1. Please check in once in a while to see if there are new postings between now and May 1.
Stay well, everyone…
Back in September 2016, I tried to predict the exact records for all 32 NFL teams and made a list of NFL coaches on the hot seat. It has become traditional in these parts for me to resurrect those prognostications to see how good they were – – not the usual outcome – – or how far off they were – – far more common. Why did this become a tradition? Probably because I know no shame.
Lest anyone think that I am shading these grades – subjective as they are from the outset – here is a link to my original predictions.
Let me start with the “Coaches on a Hot Seat”. I put 8 of the 32 coaches in that category for 2016. Four of the eight are now out of a job and three of the ones who were fired were let go in mid-season. Here was the list:
Gus Bradley (Jags): I did not think he would be fired because I thought the Jags were going to be good last year (more on that blunder later). Well, they weren’t. Here is what I said back then:
“… if … the Jags regress to something like a 3-13 record, he will be toast.”
Let the record show that the Jags were exactly 3-13 and that Bradley did not finish the season at the helm of the team.
Jim Caldwell (Lions): In 2015, the Lions finished 6-2 in the second half of the season setting up the team as a “momentum pick” for 2016. I said that Caldwell needed to maintain that momentum – and the Lions did that. They were a playoff team until they lost their last 3 games in a row. This year, it was the 9-4 record after 13 games that kept Jim Caldwell in his job.
Jeff Fisher (Rams): The Rams struggled in 2016 and got virtually nothing from overall #1 pick, Jared Goff, after they paid a handsome price to get his draft rights. Fisher lasted 13 games and then was shown the door.
Jason Garrett (Cowboys): I put him on the list in the event that the Cowboys really tanked in 2016. That did not come close to happening as the team went 13-3; so, Jason Garrett properly continues as the head coach of the Dallas Cowboys.
Marvin Lewis (Bengals): I said then that I thought Lewis “needs a playoff win this year” to keep his job. He did not get into the playoffs – let alone win a game there – but he is still the coach in Cincy. He has another year to go on his contract and reports say that he and the team are “working on a contract extension”. If he does get an extension, he will likely be with the Bengals for a while because owner, Mike Brown, really does not like to pay people not to coach his team.
Mike McCoy (Chargers): I said then that the team had to do better than 4-12 with the 3rd overall pick in the draft as they had after the 2015 season. Well, they sorta did that; the record was 5-11 and they have the 7th overall pick in the draft. McCoy made it through the final game of the year but was let go right after that.
Mike Mularkey (Titans): This situation is the obverse of the one involving Gus Bradley and the Jags. I thought the Titans would stink and that Mularkey would be gonzo. Instead, the Titans were a very pleasant surprise for their fans so Mularkey is still in charge.
Rex Ryan (Bills): Here is what I said back then:
“… he might be out of a job come January if the team falls below .500.”
What happened was that the Bills were 7-8 with a game left to play and Bills’ ownership pulled the plug on Ryan between Christmas and New Year’s Day.
I did not see the Niners firing Chip Kelly after such a short tenure but the team was awful and they did. I hope that ownership in SF will show a lot more patience with Kelly’s replacement because the Niners’ 2-14 record in 2016 was due in the most part to a talent-deficient roster and not to incompetent coaching.
So, 50% of my coaches on the hot seat lost their jobs and 37.5% of them lost their jobs before the end of the 2016 season. I will award a grade of “B” to that set of prognostications.
In the AFC East:
The overall grade for the AFC East is “C –”.
In the AFC North:
The overall grade for the AFC North is “B”. I was tempted to call it “B+” given that I got two of the teams’ records spot on. However, the fact that I missed the total wins for the division by 6 games removed the “+” from my consideration.
In the AFC South:
The overall grade for the AFC Central is “F”. If schools gave grades down the alphabet, this grade might have been a “Q”. Even the fact that the “total wins prediction” was exact, that does not mitigate the abject failure of these predictions.
In the AFC West:
The overall grade for the AFC West is “A “. If I could make predictions of this quality for every division year over year, I would get paid by one of the sports websites to make those pre-season picks. Please note that none of them are contacting me to buy my “words of wisdom” …
In the NFC East:
The overall grade for the NFC East is “F”. Other than coming very close to the Skins’ final record everything else here sucked wind.
In the NFC North:
The overall grade for the NFC North is “B”. I realize I was off by a lot on the Lions here but coming as close as I did on the Vikes despite injuries to their QB and their stud RB sort of makes up for some of that. Coming as close to the win total for the division as I did also gooses the grade up just a tad.
In the NFC South:
The overall grade for the NFC South is “C – “. Obviously, I had the Panthers dead wrong and hugely underestimated the Falcons. However, I did have the Saints, Bucs and the total wins for the division pretty close.
In the NFC West:
The overall grade for the NFC West is “B”. I had the order of finish correct; and other than missing the Cards; final record by 3.5 games, much of the rest of my crystal ball gazing was on target. The total wins for the division was off by a lot however…
So, I have handed out 9 “grades” here – 8 for the individual divisions in the NFL and one for the coaches on a hot seat. Here is how they break down:
My Grade Point Average for the 2016 works out to be 2.11. That may not sound like much, but it is an improvement over the 2015 when the GPA was only 1.98. Major progress can result from a series of small steps…
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
Frank Fitzpatrick has a wonderful column in the Philadelphia Inquirer about the Baseball Hall of Fame and its history. I commend it to your reading…
Here is what I hope I will be able to do over the next 10-12 days:
Note I did not say was certain that I would be able to do those things; those are my basic objectives. If things break right in terms of family/social commitments, I might be able to sneak in some other writings. If not, I plan to be back on the air in “regular mode” on 5 January 2017.
Stay well, everyone…
The MLB general managers are about to convene for the annual GM meetings. While the off-season began for most teams a month or so ago, this annual convocation is the ceremonial beginning to the preparations for the 2017 season. I saw a list of more than 130 free agents who are out there looking for another gig. Not to worry, I am not going to go through that list here; however, there are some names on there that are sort of interesting. There are “name players” who might be interesting additions to teams but who may not draw a lot of interest because of advancing age and/or high price. I put many of these folks into 5 categories that I will present here:
On Sale/As Is/No Returns/All Sales Final: Category descriptor is self-explanatory – –
Bargain Basement: For a short-term deal at reasonable cost, look here – –
Take a Shot: These are players getting up in years who may want a long-term deal; that makes them a bit of a risk – –
Worth Pursuing: This guy can give a roster plenty of flexibility – –
Good for the Bullpen: Relief pitching is very important – –
The GM meetings often lay the groundwork for trades that culminate in December and all the discussions/evaluations regarding off-season trades must be put in the context of free agent availability and price tags. There is no baseball action at the moment, but that does not mean there is no baseball activity at the moment…
There is one other baseball free agent that is interesting because of his reputation. A. J. Pierzynski is on the market at age 39. He has been in the major leagues for 19 years with 7 different teams. Here is a comment attributed to Ozzie Guillen – not known for being “politically correct” at all times – regarding AJ Pierzynski:
“If you play against him, you hate him. If you play with him, you hate him a little less.”
In the NFL, the trade deadline came and went with nothing of great importance happening. There are “contending” teams with significant needs out there (the Eagles really need a WR; the Seahawks and the Vikes need offensive linemen) and there are teams going nowhere with a player who might fill one of those needs for a contender (Browns and Niners each have a good offensive lineman who could help a lot). The fact that nothing happened says that the “sellers” were asking too high a price for the goods they were peddling.
The thing that I like about the NFL trade deadline is precisely what frustrates me about the MLB trade deadline. When the NFL deadline passes, there are no more trades; the deadline means what it says. In MLB, the “trade deadline” is 31 July but everyone knows that is nonsense since player movement happens after the “trade deadline”. Here is the system that I would prefer for MLB:
That would be a simple system – and it would put a premium on building a team down through the minor leagues for depth from the beginning of the year. It would discourage teams from throwing together a roster in April with a wait-and-see attitude regarding a position of buyer or seller at the end of July.
I will not be holding my breath until MLB adopts my approach here…
Finally, here is an item from Bob Molinaro in the Hampton Roads Virginian-Pilot:
“Cha-ching: The sale at an auction of one of “Shoeless” Joe Jackson’s bats for $583,500 illustrates how ridiculous some people can be with their money. Imagine how much somebody might be willing to pay for Joe’s shoes – if he had any.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
Having been off the air for a few days, I realize that some of this commentary is a tad late, but I want to make a few points about the MLB playoffs. The Washington Nationals lost in the final game of their series with the LA Dodgers after leading the best of five series two games to one. Lost in the heroics of Clayton Kershaw winning Game 4 and then coming in to pitch in the 9th inning of Game 5, is the fact that Nats’ manager Dusty Baker so over-managed that game that it was laughable.
Many of the folks who commented on that series were reluctant to indict Baker for many of his “strategeries”. I get that; Dusty Baker is a baseball-lifer; he is obviously a likeable person; he is accommodating with regard to the access he gives to the commentators. Notwithstanding any or all of the above, he stuck in his thumb and pulled out a turd last week:
If there was a weak link in the Nats’ season in 2016, it would have to have been the bullpen. It had been good in the series against the Dodgers but it was not the strength of the team. So “strategery #1” was to take out the best pitcher on the team and to rely on the weakest link of the team.
What followed was a parade of pitchers to the mound in the 7th inning giving the Dodgers a 4-1 lead. What was even worse was the start of a series of double switches that used up position players when new pitchers went to the mound. After the Nats closed the game to 4-3 in the 9th inning, there were no more pinch hitters in the dugout and many of the better offensive players on the team were out of the game. Second-rate hitters had to face Clayton Kershaw and – as you might expect – they were over-matched. The reason they were over-matched is because Dusty Baker over-managed.
One other observation about that series… It was likely the final curtain call for the core of the Phillies teams of 2008 – 2012. Let me cite the following:
In Game 5, Carlos Ruiz – batting for Chase Utley – in that fateful 7th inning drove in a run and scored the winning run.
In Game 5, Joe Blanton came in for the Dodgers and threw one-and-a third innings of perfect baseball.
In Game 5, Jayson Werth was thrown out at home plate – by about 10 yards – when the Nats’ third-base coach did not hold him at third base on a double down the left field line. I could have made that relay throw from shallow left field to get Werth at the plate on that play. The coach clearly had a brain-lock there.
In other MLB playoff commentary, may I ask where the phone booth is that Andrew Miller uses to put on his Indians’ uniform and cover up the big red “S” on his chest? It is not that opposing players are not hitting the ball hard; they are not hitting the ball at all. It looks as if he is throwing to high school players on many of his pitches.
The Indians acquired Miller at the trade deadline. This was not a “rent-a-player” sort of deal because Miller is signed through the 2018 season at $9M per year. If he continues to pitch like this, he is an ever-loving bargain.
Should the World Series come down to a face-off between the Indians (leading 3-0 over the Jays at the moment) and the Cubs (tied 1-1 with the Dodgers at the moment), MLB could market this as the Exorcism World Series. Both teams have demons and one of them will rid themselves of said demons in that Series:
Indians’ last World Series victory was in 1948. The went back to the World Series in 1954 having won 111 games in that 154-game season. [Aside: the Yankees won 103 games that season and finished 8 games out of first place.] Nonetheless, in the 1954 series, the Indians lost to the Giants 4-0; that was the series where Willie Mays made the famous over-the-head catch of the deep shot to center field by Vic Wertz.
Linda Blair should throw out the first pitch if the Series comes down to the Cubs/Indians…
Rich Hill is starting playoff games for the Dodgers and getting people out. That is a bit strange. He has been in MLB for 11 years – but not pitching at this level. In fact, after shoulder and Tommy John surgery, he was in the Nats’ minor league system just last year until they released him. From there he went to the Long Island Ducks in the Atlantic League of Professional Baseball as a stepping stone to signing with the Red Sox. The Dodgers acquired Hill at the trading deadline from the Oakland A’s; he is playing on a 1-year contract worth $6M and will be a free agent in less than a month. Given the way he has been pitching for the Dodgers in the last couple of months, he will likely make more than that starting next year.
Finally, here is a comment from Greg Cote in the Miami Herald:
“Barry Bonds, fired as Marlins hitting coach after one season, thanked the club for what he called ‘one of the most rewarding experiences of my baseball career.’ Which I think officially lowers the bar on rewarding experiences.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
An important family event will have me off the air for a short time. I should be back on schedule sometime between July 16 and July 18.
Please check back then.
Meanwhile, stay well everyone…