Cleaning Up For The Week…

Picking up where I left off yesterday …  I said earlier in the week that a reader sent me an email telling me that 353 players had declared for the NBA Draft but the list I found only had 127 players listed.  That statement got me three different links from three readers showing that indeed 353 players think they might be drafted by an NBA team sometime in July.  [Aside:  The presence of those 3 links also demonstrates that my Google searching skills are imperfect!]  So let me do a bit of math here:

  • The NBA has 30 teams; the Draft has two rounds.  At most 60 players will hear their name called out by Adam Silver or some other NBA factotum.
  • Ergo, 83% of the names on the “Eligible List” will be disappointed.  But wait, there’s more…
  • Only first round picks get contracts with guarantees.  First round players get 4-year deals with the first two years guaranteed with years 3 and 4 as team options.  Second round players get no guarantees unless their agents can wriggle one out of the drafting team.
  • Ergo, about 91% of the names on the “Eligible List” will be sure not to draw a paycheck from an NBA team next year.

Lots of young men are going to get a lesson in reality pretty soon …

Next up is the Belmont Stakes.  The race will happen tomorrow and indeed it will not have any horses trained by Bob Baffert in the starting gate.  Baffert’s suspension by the NYRA was put into a strengthened condition earlier this week when the second sample test results on Medina Spirit came back with an even higher level of betamethasone than the first test sample which landed Baffert on the suspension list.  As I mentioned before, banishing him from the Belmont Stakes is significant but there is a bigger hammer held by the NYRA.

Summer and Fall racing in NY are a big deal at Saratoga and then again at Belmont Park where lots of Graded Stakes races leading up to Breeders’ Cup invitations take place.  [For the record, the Breeders’ Cup will be at DelMar on November 5 & 6.].  Owners of top-shelf horses might consider changing trainers if staying with Baffert hurt the chances of their horse getting into the Breeders’ Cup.

Moreover, Baffert’s position as the top trainer in the country will be hurt by the decision this week by Churchill Downs Inc. (CDI) to ban him from racing at any of their facilities for 2 years.  That means no Baffert-trained horses can be in the next two Kentucky Derbies.  CDI owns – in addition to Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY – the Fair Grounds, Turfway Park, Presque Isle Downs and Arlington Park.

I also mentioned before that some bettors who would have cashed large tickets on the Kentucky Derby had Medina Spirit not won that day were suing Baffert and his corporate stable entity.  I have no idea if that suit will ever be heard but one aspect of the suit is that it seeks to be heard under the umbrella of provisions provided by Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO).  The plaintiffs claim that they assumed the race would be fair and competed under the rules provided by the track, but that Baffert knowingly evaded those rules thereby denying those bettors the winnings they should have had.  Somehow, even a person like me who knows nothing about the law can appreciate that it is not a good thing to be found guilty of anything covered by a law known as RICO.

This is an important step for horseracing.  Bob Baffert has been a hugely successful trainer in the US for the last decade, but he has also skated around the edges of the rules without significant sanction recently.  I read one report that said he has had 30 “medical violations” in his career and the positive test on Medina Spirit was the 5th such violation in the last 13 months.  More than a few folks have suggested that he got off with minor slaps on the wrist because of his fame and his success; I do not know if that is the case, but it has that appearance.

Horseracing is a sport/industry that cannot exist without gambling and bettors; people will not pay money to go to a racetrack to watch a bunch of horses run around an oval track without having “a little something” on the outcome.  Without the betting handle, there would be no purses to offer to owners and trainers.  Betting is vital to the sport – – and betting requires the bettors to be confident that they are not going to be duped by the process.  I do not have nearly enough information to know how or why Baffert’s horses have had these “medical violations” nor do I know that said “medical violations” were instrumental in those horses winning some races.  Nonetheless, I think it is a positive move by the horseracing industry to mete out significant punishment here to a top-shelf trainer as it probably would to a guy who trains horses that usually run in $5K claiming events.

For the record, I do not like either of the top two horses in the Morning Line for the Belmont Stakes tomorrow.  My two horses for the race are Rock Your World (9 to 2) and Hot Rod Charlie (7 to 2).  I doubt that I will be suing anyone if that Exacta Box does not come in.

Moving on …  There was a report yesterday that the USFL is coming back in 2022.  The teams will be in the cities where they were back in the 80s and the league will play Spring Football starting after the Super Bowl next February.  There have been many Spring Football leagues over the years; the USFL was the most successful of them.  However, there is something here that gives me pause:

  • The “plan” is for the XFL to play next Spring also.  I say “plan” because much of the happenings regarding the XFL and its re-emergence as XFL 3.0 takes place in the dark.
  • Assuming that both leagues try to play next spring, the USFL and the XFL each had 8 teams.  If both seek to keep their franchise structure intact, that will mean filling out 16 football rosters beyond players in the NFL.
  • To provide for injuries, I would estimate that a minimum of 50 players would be needed per team – – and probably closer to 60.  So, at a minimum, these leagues would need to find 800 more “pro-level players” than are currently on display in the NFL.
  • I have no doubt there are 800 football players who will want to be part of either league should it be an actual going concern.  But finding enough players who are of pro-caliber will not be an easy task for either league.

Finally, I will close out this week with two entries in The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

Idealist:  A person who foolishly believes you are above screwing him or her over.”

Idiot:  See Idealist.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Big News Today – And A Carryover For Tomorrow

Political reporters often refer to the “Friday news dump”.  The idea there is that public figures wait until late on Friday to dump bad news so that folks who are focused on weekend activities might not notice it as much as if it were done on normal weekday.  I do not know that there is an analogy in the sports world, but I can assure you that yesterday’s news release was voluminous – – and not on a Friday.  I probably will not get to all if it in this rant; my question for the morning is the order in which I should take them.

I think the biggest news from yesterday is that Mike Krzyzewski will retire from coaching Duke basketball after this season.  Just some overview stats:

  • He has coached at the college level for 46 years – – 5 at Army and 41 at Duke.
  • His overall record is 1170-361 for a winning percentage of .764.
  • He has been inducted into the Naismith Hall of Fame (twice), the US Olympic Hall of Fame and the College Basketball Hall of Fame.
  • He has won 5 NCAA Championships and 5 Olympic Gold Medals.

This announcement comes on the heels of Roy Williams’ retirement at UNC a couple of months ago.  I said when Williams retired that it would be difficult to follow in his footsteps; the same situation will obtain in Durham for Jon Scheyer who will take over the Duke job next Spring.  This selection is analogous to UNC’s selection of Hubert Davis as Roy Williams’ successor.  Scheyer is a former Duke player and has been an important assistant for the Blue Devils since 2013.

The history of “following a legend” into a job is not glorious.  In fact, many people do not know who followed legends such as:

  • John Wooden
  • Dean Smith
  • Bear Bryant
  • Bud Wilkinson
  • Vince Lombardi
  • Don Shula
  • [Hint:  One of these “successors” made the Hall of Fame on his own; and still, many folks cannot identify him without resorting to Wikipedia.]

I think the Athletic Director at Duke and the administration there did a smart thing in naming the successor proximal to Coach K’s announcement of impending departure.  That decision eliminates about 9 months of speculation as to which of the  former Duke players now in the coaching business might get the nod – – and there are more than a handful of them out there.  The transition can be much smoother this way.

One more comment here …  Some reports have speculated that the instability caused by the new NCAA rules on transfers and the transfer portal played a significant role in both Roy Williams’ and Mike Krzyzewski’s decision to step down.  Until I hear that from either man himself, I will refrain from ascribing motives here.  John Feinstein wrote an excellent column on his association with Coach K in the Washington Post;  I commend it to your reading.

Next up is what seemed as if it would be the “big story of the day” until Coach K’s announcement.  Danny Ainge is leaving the job as “head of basketball operations” with the Boston Celtics and Brad Stevens is taking over that position leaving the Celtics head coaching job vacant.  In his new position, Stevens will be in charge of hiring his replacement; that does not happen every day.  There had been reports that Stevens had been hugely stressed by the “Orlando Bubble experience” last summer – – as I would surmise was the case for plenty of folks there.  Stevens has been the coach of the Celtics since 2013; he is 44 years old; he has plenty of “basketball future” ahead of him.

There is an irony that these two stories emerged on the same day.  Over the past few months there have been more than a few columns written speculating that Brad Stevens would be the person to succeed Coach K at Duke.  If you Google, “Brad Stevens Duke” you will find a plethora of links to columns and video bits discussing that eventuality.  And then on the same day, Coach K announces that he is stepping down while Brad Stevens is moving up from the bench to the Celtics’ front office.

Moving on …  I said that I would keep track of the MLB players on the Injured List and the number of days on the IL by those players and how much they earned while on the list.  The season began on 1 April, so I went and checked as of June 1.  The season is between 25 and 30% over and here are the data:

  • Number of players on IL = 463 (265 are pitchers)
  • Cumulative days on IL by the players = 12,571  (Average stay = 27.1 days)
  • Money earned by players while on IL = $243,959,242

Finally, here is a comment from Brad Dickson formerly with the Omaha World Herald, that relates to the MLB Injured List:

“Two small planes collided over Colorado & miraculously nobody was hurt. Meanwhile every year at least one major league baseball player misses half the season after injuring himself with a can opener or dental floss.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Get Well Wishes…

Regular readers here know that I frequently use a clever observation or play on words from Dwight Perry of the Seattle Times as a closing item to these rants.  He writes a column called Sideline Chatter every weekend now; but in the past, that column ran as often as 5 days a week.  Perry keeps track of the number and last I heard it was slightly more than 4,000 entries.

The column will be on hiatus for a while as Dwight Perry deals with a medical issue.  I just wanted to take this as an opportunity to wish him a speedy and full recovery.  I will be checking for the return of Sideline Chatter regularly.

As I mentioned a couple of days ago, there is still uncertainty surrounding the CFL season in 2021, but one “open question” involving the league came to a resolution yesterday.  The Edmonton team – the one ever so indelicately named the Eskimos since 1949 – have changed their name to The Edmonton Elks.  The team colors of green and gold will remain, and the new team logo is a “modernistic” rendition of a bull elk.  The fans participated in the selection of the new team name having been asked to select it from a list of 7 names – all being alliterative with the letter “E” – in an open survey.

I got an email this morning from a reader saying that 353 players have entered their names onto the NBA Draft List.  I went online to look at the list but the one I found only had 127 names on it.  No problem: the fact is that only 60 players are going to be drafted so one of two things should happen:

  1. A lot of players should come to grips with the reality that they are not going to be one of the draftees and take their name off the list and go back to play another year of college basketball – – assuming they have not hired an agent which would make them ineligible to return to school.
  2. Continue to live in a delusion until such time that the only real choice for a basketball contract is somewhere in Europe or Australia – – or Neptune.

MLB decided to move the 2021 All-Star Game from Atlanta to Denver in response to the passage of a law in Georgia that involved voting procedures and was controversial to say the least.  Not surprisingly, that action is now being challenged in court; frankly, I am a bit surprised that it took this long for that to happen; the MLB decision to move the game was in early April.  Not only is MLB named as a defendant, but so is the MLBPA; this suit has those two entities working in concert to deprive citizens in Georgia some of their Constitutional rights.  [Aside:  If so, that might be the only thing those two entities have agreed on and worked together on constructively in the past several years.]

The plaintiff in the case is an organization known as Job Creators Network (JCN); it is an organization that opposes government rules and regulations which interfere with “the economic freedom that helped make this country prosperous”.  I am not able to explain how the MLB decision to move the All-Star Game involved such interference, so I shall leave that to the legal eagles involved in the case to resolve.

JCN has asked the court for 3 things as far as I can tell:

  1. It wants an immediate injunction requiring the MLB All-Star game to be put back in Atlanta to be played at Truist Park.  [No surprise here…]
  2. It wants an award of $100M because that is the economic loss JCN claims will be incurred by people in Georgia – – mainly the Atlanta area – – from the movement of the game.  [I would have the same level of faith in this number as I do in estimates of the “economic benefit” to a city/country for holding the Olympics.]
  3. It wants an award of $1B in punitive damages for doing such a dastardly deed.  [I guess this falls into the category of “Go Big Or Go Home”.]

The filing is a lengthy one.  I do not pretend to understand at least half of the claims or the basis offered up as support for those claims, but let me try to summarize a layman’s overview:

  • The movement of the All-Star Game will inflict economic damages on business in Atlanta – – big businesses and small ones.  The losses are not merely the absence of revenues that would be taken in during the days surrounding the game itself but also represent some sunk costs incurred by businesses as they planned for the event.
  • Moreover, state and local government entities will be harmed by lower-than-anticipated tax revenues based on the relocation of the game.
  • In one part of the filing, JCN refers to the Ku Klux Klan Act of 1871 and alleges that MLB and the MLBPA violated that law.  The KKK Act says that individuals and private entities may not conspire to deprive other citizens of Constitutional rights.  As I recall American History the Ku Klux Klan were private individuals and they did seek to deprive other citizens of their Constitutional rights – – but it is far from clear to me how MLB and the MLBPA have behaved in a manner that is “KKK-like”.  The lawsuit contends very directly that MLB and the MLBPA ““plotted, coordinated, and executed a common plan and conspiracy to cancel the All-Star Game in Atlanta with the intent to injure and deprive residents and businesses of Atlanta, Georgia of their Constitutional rights.”  [I am way over my head here; I shall not try to explain that.]
  • In another part of the filing, JCN claims that the relocation has racial overtones.  Atlanta has more Black people than Denver and therefore more Black people will incur economic losses – and the loss of Constitutional rights? – because of the move.  [Having visited both Atlanta and Denver, I am certain that the population difference cited here is accurate…]
  • There are several parts of this lawsuit that make it seem as if MLB and MLBPA are an extension of the Nationals and State governments because of things like taxpayer funding for stadiums.  [I have no idea why that is an important point to make but JCN makes it several ways so there must be some relevance here.]

Finally, since I started today with news about Dwight Perry, let me close with one of his observations in the Seattle Times:

“Warriors treymaker Steph Curry and his wife Ayesha appeared on ‘Sesame Street,’ joining Elmo, Cookie Monster and Grover to promote eating a healthy breakfast.

“This episode, one assumes, was brought to you by the number ‘3.’”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Lots Of Strange Stuff Today …

What is going on with fans at games?  Without an exhaustive search on the Internet the following incidents come off the top of my head:

  • A fan in Philly dumped popcorn on Russel Westbrook.
  • A fan in Boston threw a water bottle at Kyrie Irving.
  • A fan in NY spit on Trae Young
  • A fan streaked the field at a Washington Nationals’ game
  • A fan charged the court at a Wizards’ game.

All these incidents have happened in the last 10 days or so; therefore, let me repeat the question:

  • What is going on with fans at games?

Over the last year or so, I experienced telecasts of games without fans in attendance and/or with significantly reduced attendance.  Those games lacked some of the energy that I normally associate with a sporting event; I am sure owners of teams are happy to see fans in the stands from an economic standpoint; I thought it would be a positive thing to have fans in the stands from an entertainment perspective.  But these recent events are too much to bear.  If this is what fans and players must accept as part of the “fan experience”, then we need to look at a new model for staging athletic competitions.

I have read that some folks believe the isolation imposed by the pandemic increased the level of intensity in many sports fans and we are now seeing that increased intensity play itself out.  I have no idea if any of that is true, but I must admit that I am skeptical.  The problem is that I do not have an alternative hypothesis to throw into the pot here because this is aberrant behavior at the very least.

I understand that reporters do not name the perpetrators here to deny them even a “moment of fame”, but I wish there were a way to find out the blood alcohol level for the ones who are caught and arrested by the police – – such as the streaker at the Nats’ game.  Just a thought…

And while I am on the subject of aberrant behavior, Braves’ outfielder, Marcel Ozuna, was arrested for domestic abuse over the weekend; he has posted $20K bail and is out and about but under a court order not to have any contact with his wife.  According to police reports, officers arrived at the house to find the door open; and when they went in, they witnessed Ozuna attempting to strangle his wife.  If you want all the details here, Google is your friend.  The couple is in the process of divorcing – not such a surprise to me given what happened – and it will be interesting to see the degree to which the wife will cooperate with police and prosecutors regarding these charges.

Marcel Ozuna was already on the Injured List with a couple of broken fingers and was expected to be out for several weeks when all this happened.  MLB and the MLBA have a negotiated “Domestic Violence Policy” in place so Ozuna could be looking at a significant interruption in his career.  My understanding of the MLB policy is this:

  • The Commissioner’s Office investigates all allegations of domestic violence, sexual assault and child abuse involving folks associated with MLB. The Commissioner may place an accused player on paid administrative leave for up to seven days while allegations are investigated, and players may challenge any decision before an arbitration panel.
  • The Commissioner decides on the appropriate discipline, with no minimum or maximum penalty under the policy. As above, players may challenge any decision to the arbitration panel.

In February of this year, Ozuna signed a 4-year deal with the Braves for $65M – – plus a team option for a fifth year at an additional  $16M.  I will not even hazard a guess as to what sort of suspension Rob Manfred may hand down here, but the criminal aspect of this case could have a significant impact on Ozuna’s career.  I have to believe that his contract has a clause in it that relates to the player maintaining himself as a person free of prison such that he can perform for/with the team.

Meanwhile, in the world of tennis a strange story has unfolded.  Naomi Osaka announced on social media last week that she will not be giving any interviews or participating in any news conferences at the French Open.  She said then that she was doing this for her “mental health”.  Tennis officials were not pleased and fined Osaka $15K for skipping one of the press conferences and supposedly threatened to default her from the tournament if she continued to stiff her “press obligations”.  So, Osaka simply withdrew from the tournament.

I have read in several places that players at the major tennis tournaments are “required” to make themselves available to the press when they are requested.  I do not know the source of that “requirement”, but it would seem to me that the tennis pooh-bahs might want to rethink a requirement that causes the #2 women’s player in the world to drop out of one of the most important tournaments of the year.

Somehow, this situation needs some calm and rational thought.  Wimbledon is only a month away and that is another major tournament where players are going to have to speak to the press if they are requested – – and after this you can bet that Naomi Osaka will be requested.  So, what is the direction here?  More confrontation?  Some sort of accommodation?  A change in the basic rule about press access?

I think part of the problem here is that the basic rule is antiquated.  There was a time when the sport of tennis needed the press coverage to generate interest in its tournaments and its players.  With social media what it is today, the press coverage is nice; but it is not nearly as vital as it used to be; remember, in this case, it was Osaka who announced on social media that she would be skipping press events; she did not need any reporters to do that job for her.

Finally, let me close with this entry from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:

Intimidating:  Using fear to browbeat or coerce.  A tactic often employed by Marine boot camp instructors, Mafia enforcers and people trying to sell you a quality pre-owned Kia.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

The Future Of The CFL?

When I checked my email inbox this morning, I found a missive from Gregg Drinnan, former sports editor of the Kamloops Daily News and now the creator of the blog, Taking Note.  Several weeks ago, I asked him if he had heard any updates from the CFL about their plans for a 2021 season over and above the announcement of a truncated schedule assuming that health officials gave the league a green light.  In this morning’s email, he sent along a link to an article in the Regina Leader-Post by Rob Vanstone.

That article reports an interview with Jon Ryan who is a native of Saskatchewan, a lifelong fan of the Roughriders and currently the punter for the team.  He had long career as a punter in the NFL with the Packers and the Seahawks before returning to the CFL.  He is about to turn 40 years old, so his career is winding down and he has the benefit of time and perspective to bring to a discussion of the status of the CFL.

Ryan is concerned for the league’s survival for a couple of reasons.  The more immediate concern is the ability of the league to get the approvals necessary to stage their games with fans in attendance.  League officials have made it clear that fannies in the seats are essential for economic viability in 2021.  Presently, the Provinces of Saskatchewan and Alberta have reopening plans that would accommodate CFL games; the bad news there is that only 3 of the CFL teams reside in those Provinces – – the Saskatchewan Roughriders, the Calgary Stampeders and the Edmonton team formerly known as the Eskimos.

The other major concern voiced by Ryan is the cloak of secrecy surrounding talks between the CFL and the XFL after the XFL was bought out by a consortium led by Dwayne (The Rock) Johnson.  Ryan’s concern is that talks of mergers and partnerships might result in making the CFL less of a Canadian league.  There are fundamental differences between Canadian football and American football making the strategies and the plays themselves different.  [Aside:  I make no judgement on “better” or “worse” here; the games are simply “different” and both versions of football are entertaining to watch.]

Ryan has been a fan and a participant in both American and Canadian football; his roots and his heart are in the Canadian game; his business sense tells him that the American game has more clout.  But is the economic power that the NFL can wield also in the hands of the XFL?  Here are a few of Ryan’s remarks on that:

“I think the XFL has the potential to be a great league but, right now, some of the CFL teams are 100-plus years old and they’re potentially partnering with a league that has played 1 1/2 seasons over the last 20 years. It’s kind of an infant in terms of professional sports.”

And …

“To turn it [the CFL game] into a four-down game, I think that would trickle down and could potentially kill amateur football in Canada, which would be incredibly disappointing.”

Like Jon Ryan, I would also like to see the CFL survive in something like its current form – – including the planned addition of a team in Nova Scotia to be called the Atlantic Schooners.  The COVID pandemic killed XFL 2.0 when Vince McMahon shut down league operations, declared bankruptcy and sold off whatever assets the league had left.  I am not in favor of surrendering another league to a mutant virus.

The economic future of the NFL is not seriously in doubt.  In fact, one club is in the process of a major upgrade in its playing facility and using that opportunity to “give back” to the local community.  The Carolina Panthers are digging out the playing surface at Bank of America Stadium and replacing the turf grass there with a synthetic surface.  To do that, 5,000 tons of soil must be removed from the premises.  Think about it for a moment; where do you park 5,000 tons of soil?  Oh, and in case you were wondering, this amount of soil is approximately 4000 cubic yards in volume; that is more than most local gardening societies would use conveniently.

The Panthers found a way to get rid of that soil – – without creating a small mountain somewhere – – and to create goodwill at the same time.  Charlotte, NC is in Mecklenburg County, NC; the county government runs and maintains public athletic facilities for recreational use by the citizenry.  Consider that the soil being removed is well-prepared and well-maintained turf soil; this is not a bunch of topsoil mixed in with 5 times the amount of clay and rocks.  According to Mecklenburg County officials, the donated soil will be used as a top dressing for soccer and softball fields and possibly as a way to create from scratch a new cricket pitch.  [Aside:  Who knew that Charlotte was a hotbed of cricket enthusiast?]

Moving on …  Jared Veldheer has been an offensive lineman in the NFL since 2010; he has played for 5 teams over the course of his career.  Veldheer was a free agent in this offseason and is the subject of two announcements proximal in time:

  1. The NFL suspended him for 6 games for testing positive for a banned substance.
  2. Veldheer announced that he will retire and that the cause of the positive test was that he had taken a prescription medicine to counteract low testosterone levels in his blood due to a pituitary deficiency that he ascribes to “taking repeated blows to the head”.

I do not know about the linkage between pituitary deficiency and repeated blows to the head; you can search the Journal of the American Medical Association for that sort of info.  I do think, however, that there should be a way for players and the league to make a distinction between a “positive test” and a “positive test caused by a prescription med that a physician provides along with evidence of the condition to be ameliorated”.  It sounds as if both sides here are “in the right”, but the result is the end of a career.

Finally, here is a Tweet from humorist and cultural critic, Brad Dickson:

“Cicadas emerge from the dirt every 17 years, mate, and then die a few days later. You think your life sucks.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Law And Order Today …

Diego Maradona was a great Argentinian soccer player – – and later the coach of the Argentine National Team.  He led Argentina to the World Cup Championship in 1986.  Of the field, he led a less-than-tranquil life; he was banned by FIFA twice for abusing drugs – – particularly cocaine.  He also overate significantly weighing close to 300 lbs. after his playing days were done; the remedy for his obesity was gastric bypass surgery – – not diet and exercise.  He was politically controversial too appearing with and supporting folks like Fidel Castro and Hugo Chavez.  He made lots of money in his playing and coaching endeavors but seemed to run afoul of some tax laws; the Italian government claimed that he owed Italy more than 35 million euros in unpaid taxes there.  Diego Maradona died last November at age 60 under seemingly normal but unhappy circumstances.

In early November, Maradona was admitted to a hospital in Argentina for “psychological reasons” but soon after his admission to that hospital, he underwent brain surgery for a subdural hematoma – – a condition involving bleeding in or around the brain where the blood pools and exerts pressure on a part of the brain.  All seemingly went well; Maradona was released from the hospital and seen as an outpatient as follow-up to the surgery.  At the end of November, he suffered a heart attack and died.  His funerall was a major event in Argentina; his body lay in state at the Presidential Palace in Buenos Aires.

So, why is this relevant now?  Well, last week, the NY Post reported that seven people who were involved in and responsible for caring for Maradona last November are going to be charged with premeditated murder.  Officials looking into the matter claim to have uncovered “deficiencies and irregularities” in the care provided.  After reading that report, three unusual things jumped out at me:

  1. It is a giant leap from “medical malpractice that leads to a patient’s demise” to “premeditated murder”.
  2. It was only about 3 weeks from Maradona’s original admission to the hospital until his death and in that short period of time 7 people decided to conspire to kill him and then pulled it off.
  3. The report contained no information regarding a motive for this crime.

The surgeon who performed the surgery on the subdural hematoma is one of the seven folks being charged in the matter.  A psychiatrist and a psychologist who were involved in the initial parts of his hospitalization treatment are also charged in this matter along with nurses a   nursing administrator and another doctor whose specialty was not identified.

The investigation that led up to these charges began at the behest of Maradona’s children who claimed that the surgeon was responsible for Maradona’s deterioration and death soon after that surgery.  A board of medical examiners decided that the surgeon and the folks acting as caregivers for Maradona “acted in an inappropriate, deficient and reckless manner” in his treatment.  It is not clear if there will be one trial for the seven accused people or seven separate trials.

There is another story out there these days about another medical professional with charges hanging over his head.  Based on allegations by 10 female athletes who said that the former director of sports medicine there had engaged in “inappropriate touching”, San Jose State officials performed an internal investigation of its athletic department and Scott Shaw who is the person identified as the alleged “inappropriate toucher”.  That investigation “substantiated” the claims by these former athletes with many of the allegations dating back more than 10 years, but at least two of the incidents allegedly happened in 2017.  That is important because there is a 5-year statute of limitations hanging over these sorts of criminal behavior.

Obviously, one must adhere to the presumption of innocence here, but it is interesting to note that the based on the university’s investigation, the athletic director was removed from her position and “reassigned” to a fundraising position not associated with the athletic department.  As they used to say in the Mazda commercials:

“Sum-pums up…”

And now, the latest news is that the FBI has entered the case and is doing its own investigation.  You may recall that the FBI was also involved in uncovering lots of facts involving Larry Nassar’s inappropriate behaviors at Michigan State and as a team doctor for the US Women’s Gymnastic Team.  My gut tells me there will be more news about these more recent allegations forthcoming…

So, staying on the track of allegedly criminal stuff associated obliquely with sports, the scene for this next situation is a middle-school football game in Wisconsin last Fall.  A woman was arrested and charged with trespassing and resisting arrest when she refused to leave the premises because she refused to wear a mask at the game when the school district required attendees to be masked.  Supposedly, when she refused to “mask up” and was told to leave the premises, she refused; when a police officer told her she was under arrest, she resisted to the point where he used his TASER on her to subdue her and remove her from the premises.

Officials offered the woman a plea deal.  The resisting arrest charge would be dropped in exchange for a guilty plea to trespassing.  Under the deal, she would serve a year of “non-contact probation” meaning no middle-school football games for that year.  She turned down the deal and now her attorneys have filed a motion to dismiss the case entirely. Middle-school football must be a pretty big deal in that part of Wisconsin…

Finally, here is a Tweet from Brad Dickson from earlier this week:

“Bob Dylan turns 80 today. Scary thing is he’s at an age where a lot of men begin to be difficult to understand.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

NFL And NBA Issues Today …

Ever since the NFL Draft, there has been a flurry of journalistic activity surrounding the issue of where Julio Jones will play football in 2021.  There have been multiple “insider reports” on the subject; there have been tons of “listicles” suggesting what the best fit for Jones might be; there have been columns suggesting trades that the Falcons might make with the “Whomevers” to acquire Jones.  It has become a little cottage industry within the world of NFL coverage.

From the top, let me say clearly that I have no inside information here nor can I realistically structure a trade that might actually happen to pry Julio Jones from the Falcons.  However, there are two NFL teams that might want to give serious consideration to finding out what Jones’ price might be:

  1. Green Bay Packers:  If even half of the rhetorical gas offered up regarding the source of dissatisfaction between Aaron Rodgers and the Packers is true – – i.e. he wanted more assets in the pass catching corps – – trading for Julio Jones ought to put some salve on that butthurt.  Julio Jones is going to be in the Hall of Fame one of these days.  Five times in his ten-year career, he has averaged more than 100 yards per game receiving.  Last year, he played in 9 games – – hamstring injury sidelined him for the others – – but even so he averaged 85.7 yards per game and 15.1 yards per catch.  If Rodgers wants a big-time asset at WR, Julio Jones would fit that bill.
  2. New England Patriots:  My thinking here is that the Pats’ WR depth chart is simply a mess.  In alphabetical order, their WRs of note are Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne, N’Keal Harry and Jakobi Meyers.  Let me just say that array of pass-catchers will not cause any defensive coordinator to lose even a moment’s sleep.  Julio Jones would provide the Pats with something important for the offense above and beyond his pass-catching ability.  What the Pats’ offensive braintrust can count on is that Jones will draw the double coverage meaning they can call plays for those other folks knowing it will be single coverage.

Jones has been a Pro Bowl selection 8 times and has been a first team All Pro twice in his career.  He says what he wants now is “to win”.  [Aside:  I am still waiting for the first athlete or coach to say that what they REALLY want is to lose.]  The Packers and the Patriots provide places where winning has been commonplace over the past decade or so and both teams seem to me to have reasons to seek out his services.

Moving on …  I read a report by Michael Grange at Sportsnet Central that contained this paragraph:

“It’s widely believed the NBA will expand for the first time since rounding out to 30 teams in 2004 partly to recoup losses from the pandemic. Returning to Seattle as part of the process is almost a given (with Las Vegas as the other likely city) now that the arena issues that led to the Supersonics leaving for Oklahoma City in 2008 have been resolved.”

Frankly, I was unaware of this widely believed sentiment in the NBA, but it does make some sense.  Back before the NBA regular season began, Mark Cuban said that the Mavs would lose $100M over the course of this season if the attendance restrictions that were in place back in December continued to obtain for the entirety of the regular season.  That did not turn out to be the case as attendance restrictions were eased in the time between last December and today, but it is probably safe to say that NBA owners operated “in the red” for the 2020/21 regular season.

Let me do some back-of-the-envelope calculating here:

  • About 5 years ago, Steve Ballmer bought the LA Clippers for $2B.
  • Since then, the Rockets sold for $2.2B and the Nets sold for $3.2B.
  • If the NBA “charged” new ownership groups $1.5B apiece for two expansion franchises, the league would take in $3B.
  • If the league office does not take a significant cut from this “income”, each of the 30 existing teams would get a check for $100M.
  • Does that number sound familiar…?

That “math” suggests that there is a “quick fix” available, but I think there are caution flags as well.

  • Caution Flag #1:  The NBA is already terribly unbalanced.  When the regular season began in December 2020, it was well understood that only a handful of the teams had realistic chances to make it to the Finals.  Moreover, there were significantly more than a handful of teams where even rosy predictions would involve winning half of their games.  Adding two expansion teams will not make the unbalanced nature of the NBA better; it will make it worse.
  • Caution Flag #2:  Closely related to the caution flag above is the inexorable fact that regular season NBA games are not events; they are occurrences.  Most of them really do not mean anything and with a minor injury here or a load management situation there, fans – in the arena or watching on TV – cannot count on seeing their favorite star players on any given night.  It has been a while since I paid real money to see an NBA regular season game live and in person; it is simply not worth the cost.  And it is the absence of fans that leads to Mark Cuban projecting a $100M loss for the Mavericks at the start of the  2020/21 regular season.  Adding two expansion teams will only exacerbate this problem because they will be 5 years old before they draw even a smidgen of national interest or attention.

Finally, since today’s rant concerned itself with the NFL and the NBA, consider this remark from Dwight Parry of the Seattle Times linking those two leagues:

“Michael Jordan’s only known game-worn North Carolina basketball jersey sold at auction for $1.38 million on May 8.

“Imagine, then, what a once-opened Rob Gronkowski textbook from Arizona might fetch.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Captain Obvious Makes An Appearance Today

Some things are patently obvious.

  1. If you overeat, you gain weight.
  2. If it is raining outside, you are likely to get wet.
  3. People with the most birthdays live the longest.

Well, the NBA just added one to that list:

  • LeBron James will not be suspended for violating the league’s COVID-19 health and safety protocols.

It seems that LeBron attended a promotional event for a product he represents, and the league knew about it and let him play in the “play-in game” against the Golden State Warriors.  The official explanation is that “the event did not rise to a threat level of virus spread.”  Whatever floats their boat…  Let me be clear about this:

  • The NBA is not going to suspend Lebron James from the playoffs or require him to be in quarantine for a week or so unless he tests positive for the coronavirus 3 or 4 times in succession as do a half-dozen of his teammates along with his family with whom he has had close contact for the past 10 days.

In another report that relates to something patently obvious, Jim McMahon told a radio station in Cleveland that Bill Belichick is a [bleeping] liar.  The basis for that assessment comes from actions in 1995 when Belichick was the coach of the Browns and McMahon was briefly part of the Browns’ team.  Here is the obvious part:

  1. Bill Belichick is a football coach.  The ability to lie – and be convincing about it – is an essential skill for all successful football coaches.
  2. Coaches lie to players – while recruiting them or while “coaching them up”.
  3. Coaches lie to reporters – about game plans, injuries, the abilities of the next opponent and even the coach’s personal plans.
  4. Coaches lie to team owners about team assets and liabilities.
  5. Coaches lie to fans.  If a football coach spent one month speaking and writing only the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth, he would be drummed out of the profession permanently.

Jim McMahon was in the world of football until he was 37 years old; he played in high school, college and the NFL.  He is 61 years old and just now he has concluded that one of his coaches lied to him?  Stop the presses … we have a News Flash.

One more recent report says that former Eagles and Chiefs assistant coach, Eugene Chung, was told in a job interview during this offseason that he was “not the right minority”; Chung is of Korean extraction and he played in the NFL for 5 seasons prior to embarking on a coaching career.  On one hand, it is shocking to think that someone with sufficient authority to make a hiring decision in 2021 would utter such a thing; how dumb is that?  On the other hand, the most common synonym for “minority” in the world of the NFL is African-American and not Korean-American.  The Rooney Rule was hammered out with the Fritz Pollard Alliance and not with the Syngman Rhee Alliance.

The Boston Globe has a full article on this happenstance and on Asian-American experiences in the sports world in the US.  You can find it here; it is worth two or three minutes of your time.

A couple of weeks ago, I mentioned that baseball would be experimenting with some rule changes in the minor leagues with several of them intending to increase the number of stolen base attempts.  The thinking is that an attempted steal adds action to the game without necessarily adding time to the game.  Well, there are some early results, and it is interesting to note that the way baseball set up the “experiments” it is possible to view the changes in isolation to see which “succeeded” and which other ones “did not succeed”.

  • In Low-A games, the pitchers are limited to two “step-offs” and/or “Pick-off attempts” per plate appearance.  Stolen bases in those games are up from 0.83 per game in 2019 (there was no minor league baseball in 2020) to 1.42 stolen bases per game this year.  Seems as if that rule change has been effective.
  • In High-A games, the pitchers are required to step off the rubber before throwing to any base.  Stolen bases in those games are up from 0.80 in 2019 to 1.41 stolen bases per game this year.  Seems as if that rule change has been effective also.
  • In Triple-A games, the bases are slightly larger – – an 18-inch square versus a 15-inch square.  Stolen bases in those games are up marginally from 0.63 per game in 2019 to 0.83 stolen bases per game so far this year.  The degree of “success” here is less pronounced than in the lower-level games.
  • In Double-A games, the only rule change has to do with limiting “The Shift”.  It is not clear that the positioning of the infielders should have any significant effect on stolen base attempts or success.  And, in fact, so far this year the change has been negligible.  There were 0.76 stolen bases per game in 2019 and so far this year there have been 0.78 stolen bases per game.

Will any of this translate into changes at the MLB level?  Predicting the motivations of MLB owners and players – who would have to approve any rule changes of this sort – is something akin to tea-leaf reading.  And I do not drink tea…

Finally, apropos of nothing, here is an observation from playwright Noel Coward:

“People are wrong when they say that the opera isn’t what it used to be.  It is what it used to be.  That’s what’s wrong with it.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Weekend Happenings…

Phil Mickelson won the PGA Championship yesterday; it was his sixth win in one of golf’s major tournaments.  Even though there are few golfers to have achieved that level of success, that sixth major victory is overshadowed by the fact that Mickelson is 3 weeks short of his 51st birthday today.  Prior to yesterday, the oldest golfer ever to win a major was Julius Boros who was a mere 48 years old, and that “record” had stood since 1968.  According to the Las Vegas Review-Journal, the sportsbooks there took a beating as a result.

The odds on Mickelson winning the PGA prior to the tournament ranged from 200-1 to 300-1 depending on the book.  As the tournament proceeded, the odds kept dropping but here are some of the payouts that caused “six figure losses” for the sportsbooks:

  • William Hill had 2 bets on Mickelson of $100 at 200-1.
  • DraftKings had a bet of $1000 on Mickelson at 300-1 and another bet of $364 at 250-1.
  • Westgate only had 15 bets on Mickelson prior to the tournament and its largest payout was on a bet of only $18 at 250-1.  The Westgate says they broke even on the tournament.

The next major golf tournament is the US Open which will happen in late June.  It is the only major tournament Mickelson has never won in his career and coming off this win, the head of the Westgate sportsbook estimates that the odds of him winning will start at 50-1 – – not 250-1.

Moving on …  Everyone here knows that I hold Sally Jenkins in high regard as a writer and as a thinker.  However, her column in yesterday’s Washington Post makes a case against the argument she puts forth.  Sally Jenkins and I think alike when it comes to viewing the NCAA as a bunch of venal, money-grubbing parasites and her column yesterday makes a case that the NCAA “sold out” women’s sports in the TV deal that the NCAA reached with CBS and Turner Broadcast Network.  Indeed, the championship events in women’s collegiate sports get short shrift from the TV execs but looking at some numbers makes the case that giving those events short shrift is exactly what those execs should do from a purely business perspective.

TV execs buy broadcast rights in the expectation that those events will draw lots of eyeballs.  So, when Sally Jenkins leads off her column citing the NCAA softball tournament with these facts, you get a sense of the standard set:

“The NCAA softball tournament began this weekend, and the audience for it on ESPN will average more than 1 million viewers per game with the championship series apt to commend almost twice that.   And yet the competitors don’t have a place to shower because the NCAA treats them as ‘less than an afterthought’ as one coach told The Washington Post.”

There is no men’s collegiate softball tournament out there to make a direct comparison, so I had to cobble together some comparable data:

  • There was no College World Series last year but in 2019 the tournament averaged 1.96 million viewers.  That means it played to double the projected audience for this year’s softball tournament.
  • The 2019 Little League World Series averaged 1 million viewers for the tournament.  That is about what the ongoing softball tournament will average.  The collegiate women are not nearly as exploited as the Little Leaguers.  The softball participants do not have to hold bake sales to raise money for transportation to and from the game venues.

There is another economic comparison that is stark:

  • The NCAA women’s basketball championship game last month had 4 million viewers; that is the biggest TV audience for that event since 2014.  Interpret that datum as an indicator that women’s college basketball is on the upswing.
  • The NCAA men’s basketball championship game last month had 16.9 million viewers; that is the smallest TV audience for that event since 1982.  Upswing or not, a “large” TV audience for the women’s championship game was less than 25% of the “small” audience for the men’s championship game.

TV execs are not philanthropists nor are they social activists.  They exist in a competitive world of their own where success is measured in ratings because ratings drive the prices they can charge to advertisers on their broadcasts.  It turns out that the NCAA and the folks at CBS and Turner came to a deal where broadcast rights to March Madness were packaged with rights to other NCAA championship events as well.  One might see that as “selling those other events down the river”; or, one might say that some of those “other events” got a good deal being associated with television rights in the first place.  After all, women’s college basketball and softball are much more lucrative events for television than some other NCAA championships – – for men or women.  Think fencing and/or synchronized swimming …

Over the weekend, another boxing match was announced; I doubt it will reverse the decline that the sport has been in for the last 30 years or so, but it looks to be a real fight and not a celebrity event or something involving a “YouTube sensation”.  Manny Pacquiao will fight Errol Spence, Jr. in August in Las Vegas.  Pacquaio is 42 years old; he has a record of 62-7-2; his last fight was in July 2019.  Spence Jr. has a record of 27-0 with 21 KOs.  The bout will be for these three titles:

  1. WBA Super Welterweight (held by Pacquaio)
  2. WBC Welterweight (held by Spence, Jr.)
  3. IBF Welterweight (held by Spence, Jr.)

Finally, Dwight Perry demonstrated some marketing skills with this commentary in the Seattle Times:

“Browns running back Nick Chubb will soon have his own breakfast cereal, called ‘Chubb Crunch.’

Some other possibilities:

Ricky Williams: Weedies

Sidney Crosby: ForeChex

Philadelphia fans: Jeerios.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Yogi Berra Has A Message For Baseball

Yogi Berra is famous as a Hall of Fame baseball player and as a person whose verbal malaprops made him a comedic figure.  MLB and the MLBPA should pay attention to one of Berra’s alleged statements:

  • “When you come to a fork in the road, take it.”

Baseball is at – or very near – a fork in its path as part of the US sports landscape; the owners and the union have to decide the direction they want to take.  Most importantly, they are really must take the same path because there is no baseball without owners and there is no baseball without players.  Let me get that on the record here from the start; neither of these two entities can exist for long without the other.

On December 1st, 2021, – a little over 6 months from now – the extant CBA signed by the owners and the union will expire.  If someone suggests that this is no big deal because a new CBA is not really needed until around February 1st when preparations for Spring Training kick into high gear, consider the environment that exists today.  Other than certainties governed by physical laws – – night follows day, things fall down to the ground and not up into the air, you get the idea – – the owners and the union agree on just about nothing.

In this time frame where both sides should be marshaling and honing their arguments in favor of various sections/clauses in the CBA to be hammered out, it is rather clear that there is a preference to look backward as a way to flick the scab off a prior wound that certainly seemed to have been healing quietly.  Consider:

  • Just last week, the MLBPA filed a grievance against the league asserting that MLB did not bargain in good faith last year to play as many games as possible in the shortened 2020 season.
  • The grievance seeks an award of $500M which approximates what players would have earned had the season been 20 games longer than it was.

Two facts jump out at me from those statements:

  1. Of course, it would have been possible to play more than 60 games last  season; I cannot fathom how one would assert it was impossible.
  2. Unless I am a mind reader – or the panel of arbitrators that will decide tis grievance has one – I do not know how it is possible to know if the bargaining was done in good faith.

I have no interest in going back to look over the “facts” there; as far as this matter is concerned, I want it to be resolved quickly either by some sort of settlement between the parties or by a fast-paced hearing by the arbitration panel who makes its ruling quickly.  Moreover, I do not care even a little bit who might prevail in this matter; just get it over and done with. 

[Aside:  this three-person panel is a mirage.  One person is picked by the union, the other is picked by the owners and the third person is someone both parties agree to accept in the role.  I would say the odds of a unanimous decision either way are prohibitive; the decision of the mutually appointed arbitrator will be the decision that carries the day.]

The reason I take the position that speed is important here is simple.  So long as this $500M matter is pending, it is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the heads of the negotiations that need to happen in order to get a new CBA without a work-stoppage.  And given the state of animus that exists between the union and the league, there will need to be plenty of time available to those negotiators to get to a deal.  With that as an overlay, let me be as clear as I can on this next environmental factor:

  • If the two sides cannot reach an agreement in time to start Spring Training and also the regular season in 2022, both sides are dumber than some jamoke who thinks Mount Rushmore is a rock band.
  • Fans had “other things” on their minds last  year; there was a pandemic and a Presidential election.  The 60-game season seemed concocted, and it was not really until late in the playoffs that fan interest came to life.  In that social environment, the owners and the players waged a PR battle that delayed the start of the season – – and perhaps the length of the season? – – when people in lockdown situations would have liked to be able to see MLB on TV.  Brilliant!
  • This year, fans are showing more interest – – but in many venues, attendance is severely limited.  As more venues open to greater percentages of capacity, some astute marketing should be able to get fans revved up for this year’s playoffs.
  • Notwithstanding merely fans’ cumulative interest in baseball games, there is a general economic overhang here.  Even with various waves of government relief checks, there are lots of people – and families – who are in economic trouble not wholly of their doing.  A spitting contest between the billionaire owners and the millionaire players will not sit well with people living paycheck to paycheck – – if the have paychecks – – or with people dealing with eviction processes.

I have argued here many times involving many sports that owners and unions get crosswise with each other over things that should not be deal-breakers.  The owners and the union are partners in presenting a product that people like enough to do two things:

  1. Come to the ballpark and spend some of their discretionary money on.
  2. Watch it on TV in sufficient numbers that networks pay handsomely for broadcast rights.

That is why billionaire Steve Cohen bought the Mets.  That is also why players are getting guaranteed long-term deals in the $350 – 450M range.  Steve Cohen and his fellow owners will not make money if either of those two conditions above does not obtain; baseball superstars like Bryce Harper and Mike Trout and Francisco Lindor will not make a third of what their contracts are worth if either of those two conditions above does not obtain.

The thing that makes the most sense – meaning it is one of the least likely things to happen early on – is for the owners AND the players to tell the CBA negotiators to put a lid on their personal egos and get a deal done that neither side loves but one that both sides can live with.  The negotiations cannot be a pitched battle over every semi-colon in the CBA; the two sides must walk down the same path in the future – – preferably hand-in-hand but I would settle for them merely being in step with each other.

I am on record here as one who hates the DH.  Do no try to change my mind.  However, putting the DH into the National League is not sufficiently horrid to me that I would let it stand in the way of a CBA.  Players do not want expanded playoffs because the way the owners want it structured will line the pockets of the owners far more than it lines the players’ pockets.  I get that.  I also get that making that a sticking point jeopardizes a lot more money that flows to the players than could be recouped in expanded playoff money for the next 50 years.

There are lots of issues to be ironed out; each one cannot become a hill to die on:

  • Service time manipulation
  • Setting up an international draft
  • Tweaking the arbitration procedures for player salaries
  • Pandemic-induced rules (7-inning doubleheaders and “ghost runners” on second base in extra innings)

Those issues just come off the top of my head; surely there are others; the goal must be to resolve them and not to fight pitched battles over each of them.  After the $500M arbitration grievance is resolved one way or the other, the two sides will need to come together rather quickly and get down to productive negotiating.  That will be much easier for the side that wins the $500M arbitration as compared to the side that loses that arbitration.  But somehow all of that had better come to pass because here is the worst outcome:

  • MLB and the MLBPA come to that fork in the road hellbent to prevail in the next round of CBA negotiations to the point that the desire is to crush “the other guys”.
  • In that circumstance, the two sides take the fork in the road – – but each takes a different path.
  • If you like baseball and if you care about baseball as a major item in the US sports landscape, that is what you do not want to have happen.

Finally, here is a comment from Dwight Perry about one of the issues that faces MLB in addition to all the upcoming CBA negotiations:

“For perspective’s sake, soccer’s ill-fated Super League lasted about 48 hours — or roughly a dozen Yankees-Red Sox games.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………