I am back from a great visit with old friends in the Phoenix AZ area and the opportunity to see 3 Spring Training baseball games. It was an enjoyable time all around and I got a chance to do some “research”. When a reader knew of my plans for earlier this week, he sent a note wishing me safe travels and said he would “look forward to reading what you think of new baseball rules.” This is not a disc-jockey show; nevertheless, I am open to requests from the audience; so, I took that as a reason to take some notes during the games.
The goal of the new MLB rule changes is two-fold:
- Shorten the total time from first pitch to final out.
- Pack more “baseball action” into the time of the game.
So, here is the methodology of my “research”:
- I broke each game into “thirds” and timed the start of each third and the final out of the game.
- I also recorded the gross results of each third – – and by extension for the entire game.
- I tracked things that can slow down the game such as pitcher changes within an inning.
- I recorded any violations of the new pitch clock.
- I recorded any base stealing attempts – – and successes – – because the larger bases are supposed to encourage that “action-creating strategy.”
Now, let me be sure to lay out clearly the limitations of my “research”:
- Clearly this is a small sample size.
- These are Spring Training games not critical games in a playoff run.
The “Bottom Line” for my “research” is that the games move faster than before and there is more action packed into the compressed playing time. For the 3 games I saw, that is clear and obvious to me; here are my data:
Guardians 12 Cubs 4:
- Total elapsed time for the game was 2 hours and 46 minutes.
- The combined run line for the two teams was 16 runs, 21 hits, 5 errors
- There were 3 pitching changes within an inning and 1 mound conference
- The teams combined to attempt 6 stolen bases and were successful 3 times.
- There were no “clock violations” in the game.
- The Guardians attempted a hit-and-run once.
- [Aside: Roman Quinn hit 2 home runs in this game.]
Padres 7 Giants 5:
- Total elapsed time for the game was 2 hours and 24 minutes
- The combined run line for the two teams was 12 runs, 15 hits, no errors.
- There were no pitching changes within an inning and no mound conferences.
- The teams combined to attempt 3 stolen bases and all three were successful.
- There was 1 “clock violation” on the pitcher in the game.
- [Aside: There were 3 wild pitches in the game including 2 wild pitches in the same half-inning.]
Royals 8 Rockies 6:
- Total elapsed time for the game was 2 hours and 54 minutes.
- The combined run line for the two teams was 14 runs, 21 hits, 3 errors.
- There were 3 pitching changes within an inning and 3 mound conferences. Moreover, one pitching change happened due to an injury to the pitcher so the reliever called in was not timed for his warm-ups.
- The teams combined to attempt 8 stolen bases and all 8 were successful including a steal of home.
- The Royals attempted 1 hit-and-run.
- There was 1 “clock violation” on the pitcher in the game.
- [Kris Bryant hit a home run that probably did not come down for 3 days.]
Here are the two “activities” that seem to have been minimized so far as my 3-game sample indicates:
- Hitters either avoid adjusting their batting gloves entirely or they do it much more quickly than they did in the past.
- Pitchers spend a lot less time either walking around on or near the mound with the ball in their hand and/or staring menacingly at the hitter/catcher.
The rule change about reducing the extreme shift – – requiring two infielders to be on either side of second base and for infielders to be on the infield dirt when the pitcher starts his motion – – did not seem odious and there were a couple of singles through the infield that would likely have been ground outs had the extreme shift been deployed. Even though I run the risk of being labeled a “revisionist” by those who resist changes to the rules of baseball, I think these new rule changes are good for the game.
Finally, let me close today with this view of baseball from The Official Dictionary of Sarcasm:
“Baseball: A spectator sport known as ‘the great American pastime’ largely because so much time passes while waiting for each game to end.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………
Excellent scientific method study! You’re hired the next time I need such a study. Thanks. That was a very enjoyable read and a great preview for the regular season games I will attend.
Wayne:
Thanks. Glad you liked.
A three-game spring training sample? You should work for fivethirtyeight with a methodology like that.
TenaciousP:
At least I laid out the shortcomings of my “study”…
Professor:
A well done study, even with a limited sample. Interestingly one of our superstars, Manny Machado, had the ‘clock violation’. In any case, it is always good to see the Padres whip up on the Giants.
Price:
Actually, the “Machado clock violation” was in a different game. The one I saw was on the pitcher in the game whose name I did not record.