NFL PreSeason Analysis – 2026

It is that time of the year again – – the time where I demonstrate how indifferent I am to personal embarrassment.  I have already opined on NFL coaches on a hot seat for this year and have penned a synoptic view of the NFL as of this preseason; those expositions provide some room for me to be shown up publicly, but they pale by comparison by what is to follow here.  All I am going to try to do today is to predict the final regular season record for each and every NFL team.

  • What could possibly go wrong?

In case anyone thinks the errors of my prognostications here will be buried in the passage of time, I will revisit each of the predications in January or February of 2027 and give myself academic grades for accuracy.  Those post-mortem exercises are sobering and no laughing matter.

There used to be a guy on sports radio in the DC area many years ago named Ken Beatrice.  His mantra was that he would give you his opinion and the data that informed his opinion.  He would then say that is the best that he could do because he did not have a crystal ball.  Ken Beatrice is off in the cosmos somewhere, but I mention him here because his mantra is completely appropriate for this undertaking.  Onward …

I too lack a crystal ball; in fact, even if I had one, it would probably be filled with fog.  So, let me begin with the most global prediction for the day:

  • The NFC will have a total of 141 wins in 2026.
  • The AFC will have a total of 131 wins in 2026.

Let me start with the AFC East where I predict a cumulative record of 29-39-0.

  • Bills – 11-6-0:  The Bills will win the Division this year with a new coach and presumably an improved defense – – not a really good defense, but one that can hold a lead provided by Josh Allen and company.  Just mentioning the name Josh Allen prompts me to say that he is THE engine of any Bills’ success in 2026; he is now 30 years old, and this should be one of his peak performance seasons.
  • Pats – 10-7-0:  The Pats are the only team in the Division that can challenge the Bills.  I think the Pats will fall short this year for several reasons:
    • They will have to deal with Super Bowl hangover.
    • They have a much more difficult schedule this year compared to 2025.
    • The Pats will not “sneak up” on anyone in 2026.
  • Nevertheless, the Pats did add an important weapon in the offseason when they acquired AJ Brown from the Eagles and don’t sleep on the addition of Romeo Doubs as another improvement for the passing game. They may not win their Division, but I expect to see the Pats in the playoffs and to see them acquit themselves well there.
  • Jets – 5-12-0:  Yes, I have the Jets finishing out of the basement in the AFC East this year.  The team traded away their two best defensive players at the trading deadline last year and “stocked up” on draft picks.  I anticipate that Aaron Glenn and his staff recognize that they are coaching for their jobs in 2026 and will have those “young studs” motivated to play hard.  Yes, I know; the Jets also cast their lot with Geno Smith at QB and that he has been an interception machine recently.  So, I think the Jets will be “better” this year which is no high hurdle for them since they finished 2025 with a record of 3-14-0.
  • Dolphins – 3-14-0:  This team is under reconstruction and by releasing Tua Tagovailoa in the Spring, they will compete in 2026 with almost $100M in “dead money” on their cap calculations.   The team has a new coach and presumably a new vector heading, but the roster seems a bit thin.  De’Von Achane is a quality RB; but the QB depth chart is Malik Willis, Quinn Ewers, Cam Miller and Mark Gronkowski – – pending final cutdowns.  It will be a long season in Miami.

Let me move now to the AFC North where I predict a cumulative record of 34-34-0.

  • Ravens – 11-6-0:  I see the Ravens winning the Division with Lamar Jackson shrugging off a 2025 season that was mediocre by his standards.  The Ravens have a new coach, and Jesse Minter arrives with a defensive pedigree which is the part of the game where the Ravens stumbled most in 2025.  In addition to a defensive focus on the coaching staff, the Ravens acquired Trey Hendrickson in the offseason which should help with on-field performance.  One cautionary note here; the Ravens have only two dependable WRs on the depth chart as of this morning (Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman).  The team cannot afford longstanding injuries in that department.
  • Bengals – 10-7-0:  It has been a while since the Bengals invested significant resources in their defense; that showed clearly in 2025 as the Bengals gave up 28.9 points per game.  In this offseason, the Bengals acquired the services of Dexter Lawrence for the DL and Boye Mafe as an edge rusher to replace Trey Hendrickson who is with the Ravens now.  In recent  years, the Bengals have started very slowly and then had to work to dig out of the hole they put themselves in.  Hopefully, the coaching staff has figured out what they need to do to avoid such a start in 2026.
  • Steelers – 8-9-0:  That’s right; for the first time in 18 seasons, the Steelers will have a record below .500.  The Steelers are not just an experienced/veteran team; the Steelers are an old team.  There is plenty of talent there but much of that talent is reputation built in previous seasons.  Mike McCarthy is a good coach – much better than the reputation he carries around – but he will need to pull multiple rabbits out of multiple hats along the way in 2026 to get the Steelers over .500 once again.
  • Browns – 5-12-0:  This is the same record the Browns posted in 2025, and I have no reason to think that the team will be significantly better or worse in 2026.  Todd Monken is the new coach, and he will be the one who gets to figure out if Deshaun Watson or Shedeur Sanders gives the team the best chance to win games.  The defense will still be good even with the removal of Myles Garrett who cannot be replaced by anyone else on that roster.  Browns’ fans should start looking forward to a nice high draft pick starting around Halloween.

Next up will be the AFC South where I predict a cumulative record of 34-34-0.

  • Texans – 11-6-0:  The Texans have an elite defense – one that is good enough to get them to the Super Bowl; that defense only gave up 17.3 points per game in 2025.  What the Texans also have is an unreliable offense that sometimes sputters to the point where is struggles to make double digits on the scoreboard.  The biggest weakness on offense was not CJ Stroud – even though he did regress in his performance in 2025.  The biggest weakness was the OL which had Stroud scrambling for his life too many times.
  • Jags – 10-7-0:  Losing LB, Devin Lloyd, who had an All-Pro season in 2025 is going to cost the Jags’ defense.  The same goes for the loss of two DBs (Andrew Wingard and Greg Newsome).  Yes, Trevor Lawrence and the offense came to life under Liam Coen last year, but I don’t think the offense can account for all those losses on defense and hence, the record shows 3 fewer wins in 2026.
  • Colts – 9-8-0:  The importance of Daniel Jones to the team was clearly on display in 2025; before he was injured, the Colts were flirting with the best record in the league; then they stumbled home with an 8-9-0 record losing their last 7 games in a row.  So, is Daniel Jones fully recovered such that he can pick up where he left off in mid-season last  year?  That is the biggest question surrounding the Colts as of now, but another puzzler is the defense up front; I am not convinced that is a stalwart unit.
  • Titans – 4-13-0:  This is a team that could surprise on the upside; Cam Ward has Brian Daboll as the Offensive Coordinator and Daboll is good in that role.  So, this will be an interesting test to see if Ward really has the makings of a “franchise QB”.  If Ward disappoints, there is not much success behind him in the QB room (Mitchell Trubisky, Will Levis and Herndon Hooker).  I also expect that the Titans’ defense will be better this year than last year with Robert Saleh settling in on the sidelines; last year the Titans gave up 28.1 points per game, and the offense simply could not keep up.

Now, on to the AFC West where I predict a cumulative record of 34-34-0.

  • Chargers – 10-7-0:  I think the acquisition of Mike McDonald as Offensive Coordinator will be a big deal for the Chargers.  He may have washed out as the head coach in Miami, but he has a solid résumé and an OC.  And he has a talented QB to work with in Justin Herbert this year. The “concern” this year is the same as the one last year – – the OL.  Injuries to both offensive tackles were impossible to overcome; can both guys be back and hold up in 2026?  The Chargers acquired center, Tyler Biadasz, in free agency this year and he will spend 2026 on Injured reserve.  Ladd McConkey is a solid WR; it would be very nice for another player on the roster at that position to assert themselves in 2026.
  • Chiefs – 10-7-0:  They lose the Division on a tiebreaker with the Chargers but will make the playoffs.  Obviously, the key question here is the degree to which Patrick Mahomes has recovered/rehabbed from his surgery late last season.  Adding RB, Kenneth Walker III, from the Seahawks is a big plus for the team; losing Trent McDuffie in a trade that brought back draft picks will be a negative for the team in 2026.  One other question mark for the Chiefs is the production they can get from Travis Kelce; last year was far from his peak productivity so can that be reversed in 2026?
  • Broncos – 9-8-0:  I realize that I am in the minority here, but I am not sold on Bo Nix.  I recognize that Sean Payton is orchestrating that offense and that he has had plenty of success with QBs whose skill sets were limited, and I know that the Broncos defense is very good.  But when I look at the schedule, I don’t see the Broncos being much better than .500.  [Aside: Be prepared to laugh at me when the Broncos go 14-3-0 and have home field advantage in the AFC playoffs …]
  • Raiders – 5-12-0:  This is an improvement over 2025 of two full wins.  The team is undergoing major reconstruction, so this is the price the fans have to pay.  There is lots of hope around Fernando Mendoza and his potential upside, but the best thing that could happen to the Raiders is to play Kirk Cousins through Thanksgiving and then let Mendoza finish out the season after the team’s BYE Week in December; that would be 5 starts for the rookie after his sideline tutorial in September, October and November.  Klint Kubiak takes over as head coach, and he comes with impressive offensive cred.

 So, here is my prediction for the AFC Playoffs:

  • Seed #1:  Ravens
  • Seed #2:  Bills
  • Seed #3:  Texans
  • Seed #4:  Chargers
  • Seed #5:  Chiefs
  • Seed #6:  Pats
  • Seed #7:  Bengals

And with that as the prelude, let me turn to the NFC and start with the NFC West where I predict a cumulative record of 35-33-0.

  • Rams – 12-5-0:  In 2025, the Rams scored 30 points per game and gave up 20 points per game.  The offense is pretty much the same and they added Myles Garrett and Trent McDuffie to the defense.  The reason why I don’t think their record will improve over last season’s is that they have a very difficult schedule and have 4 guaranteed difficult contests against the Seahawks and the Niners.  Last year, Matthew Stafford was questionable with a back injury; that did not debilitate him in 2025 and there seems to be no focus on that again in 2026.  Will Aaron Donald return from retirement this year to join in the fun and games?
  • Seahawks – 11-6-0:  The reigning Super Bowl champs are not going to win their Division this year but are going to be a force majeure in the playoffs.  Why the 3-win dropoff for 2026?
    • Every team on their schedule will be gunning to prove that they are equally as capable as the Super Bowl champs.
    • It is unlikely that they can match last year’s points per game allowance – – 17.1 points per game.
    • The “Super Bowl Hangover” is a real thing.  Most reigning champs do not repeat.
  • Losing OC, Klint Kubiak, to the Raiders as the head coach there, is unlikely to help Sam Darnold continue his miraculous in-career renaissance; if reports I have read are correct, Kubiak’s replacement, Brian Fleury has never had a season’s worth of play calling responsibility.
  • Niners – 10-7-0:  I recognize that Kyle Shanahan has always found ways to plug in behind injured players and come up with winning records.  In fact, that is why I have them with a winning record here; injuries always haunt the Niners, and this season does not look as if it will buck the trend.  Can Nick Bosa and Fred Warner stay available on defense in 2026?  If so, this win estimate may be a bit low.  Injury reports out of training camp are always gut-punches to fans; Niners’ fans have become inured to injury reports.
  • Cards – 2-15-0:  Yup.  This is the team that needs its college scouting department to do an outstanding job because I think the Cards will have the lead-off pick in the important Draft rounds in 2027.  The Cards finally reached an agreement with Jacoby Brisset to play QB for them in 2026.  Brisset is not a franchise QB; Brisset is a competent game-starter.  His performance is not the reason the Cards went 3-14-0 in 2025 – – but he is also not the reason the Cards are going to win a bunch of games in 2026.  Running back, Jeremiyah Love, is used to running behind dominant offensive lines at Notre Dame; he Is in for a shock with the group in front of him this year.
    • Memo for Cards’ fans:  Watch lots of college football games to convince yourselves that salvation for the Cards is just a couple of proper picks away.

Off we go to the NFC South where I have the cumulative division record at 32-36-0.

  • Bucs – 9-8-0:  I have the Bucs returning to the top of this division after posting a losing record (8-9-0) in 2025 and losing the tiebreaker to the Panthers for the Division title.  I know that Baker Mayfield is the Bucs’ QB; even so, I still believe the Bucs have the best starting QB in that Division.  Here is a “franchise-level question”:
    • IF Todd Bowles and his team win the Division with a 9-8-0 record for the fourth time in five years and then go “one-and-done” in the playoffs, will that be enough to keep the team together through the next offseason?
  • Saints – 8-9-0:  The Saints rallied from a horrendous start to the season to finish at 6-11-0 last year.  I don’t see them as a threat to any of the top contenders in the conference, but they could well post an improved record in 2026.  Losing their first-round pick to an injury in Training Camp was not positive news for a franchise seeking to elevate.
  • Panthers – 8-9-0:  I vacillated on this one a lot; in one of my record considerations, I had the Panthers at 4-13-0 with the franchise undergoing a catastrophic collapse under a mercurial owner.  8-9-0 is the same record the Panthers achieved in 2025 when they won the Division and went to the playoffs for a cameo appearance.  Bryce Young and Tetairoa McMillan can provide some offensive firepower, but will it be enough?  The  Panthers were in the playoffs in 2025 even though they gave up 69 points more than they scored in the regular season.  I don’t see that happening again…
  • Falcons – 7-10-0:  Harnessing your team to either Michael Penix, Jr. or Tua Tagovailoa is pretty much like choosing between Scylla and Charybdis – – if you will allow me a reference to The Odyssey here.
    • Penix is often injured and not overly accurate when he is in the game.
    • Tagovailoa is often injured and “erratic at best” from game to game.
  • The Falcons have an elite RB and a couple of top-shelf pass catchers, but until and unless someone asserts himself at QB, they will be wandering in the wilderness.  If the Falcons were in a more dominant division, I would not have them anywhere near 7 wins for the season.

Next up is the NFC North – – the strongest division in the NFL for this year – – where I predict the cumulative record to be 40-28-0.

  • Lions – 11-6-0:  I have the Lions winning the Division.  The offense will be top-shelf, and I think the defense can show better than in 2025 when injuries played a big part in the season results.  FYI, the Lions finished last in the Division last season and by finishing last in the División they draw an easier schedule this year than their Division rivals.  Check this out:
    • Lions – Division Losers in 2025 – play the Cards, Giants and Titans as their differentiated schedule from the rest of the Division.
    • Bears – Division Winners in 2025 – play the Eagles, Jags and Seahawks as their differentiated schedule from the rest of the Division.
  • Losing David Montgomery to the Texans is a big deal, but the Lions hope to share snaps at RB between Jahmyr Gibbs and Isiah Pacheco this year.
  • Bears – 10-7-0:  The Bears surprised just about everyone last year posting a record of 11-6-0 and winning the Division by a game-and-a-half.  There is no element of “surprise” left for the Bears and the schedule is not an easy one by any means (see above).  I believe that Ben Johnson’s offense will give major amounts of agita to defensive coordinators around the league and it would not be a huge surprise to see the defense improve just a bit.
  • Packers – 10-7-0:  Put the Packers in third place in the Division based on tiebreakers.  The major question overhanging the Packers this season is really two questions:
    • How long until Micah Parsons can return to action?
    •  How long until Micah Parsons can return to action and play like Micah Parsons 1.0?
  • Vikes – 9-8-0:  This prognostication could easily be off by 4 wins in either direction.  Kevin O’Connell might just resurrect the career of Kyler Murray the way he did for Sam Darnold, and the Vikes just might win 13 or 14 games.  On the other hand, Murray may be a certified mediocrity at QB and JJ McCarthy is no better and the Vikes in this tough division might finish with only about 5 wins.  The only prediction I feel comfortable about related to the Vikes is that Brian Flores’ defense will be efficient and effective and they will blitz a lot.

Last but not least, here is the NFC East where I see a cumulative record of 34-34-0.

  • Eagles – 10-7-0:  Yes, I have the Eagles wining the Division again in 2026, but rest assured that this is the most tenuous division winner in this entire set of predictions.  I will defer to many reporters who say that Sean Mannion is the next offensive wunderkind in the NFL even though he has never had the responsibility for calling plays.  I will assume that Jalen Hurts can adapt to yet one more new OC this season.  I will assume the OL will open more holes for Saquon Barkley this year than they did against stacked defenses in 2025.  And most of all, I will assume that with Devonta Smith taking over “WR #1 duties” that someone else on the roster will become a better-than-average “WR #2”.  Other than those minor worries, I have the Eagles winning the Division and making the playoffs in 2026.
  • Cowboys – 9-8-0:  Here is another tricky one.  The Cowboys’ offense is elite and should be able to score even more than the 27.7 points per game from last  year.  So, can the defense hold up its end of the bargain?  In 2025, the Cowboys’ defense was embarrassing; they don’t need to be “historically great” in 2026 to make the Cowboys serious opponents week to week, but they have to be better than they were last season when they gave up 30 points per game.
  • Commanders – 8-9-0:  Jayden Daniels’ multiple injuries derailed the Commanders’ season in 2025 leading to this year’s question:
    • Is Daniels back to his 2024 form or has the elapsed time allowed defensive coordinators to devise ways to make him less explosive?
    • Of course, the secondary question there is can Daniels avoid more injuries this year; he was of injury concern coming out of college and has had a full year of injury history in his young NFL career.
  • The Commanders revamped their defense entirely over this offseason and that is a good thing because that defense stunk in spades last season.  One interesting thing to watch on defense is that a rookie – – Sonny Styles – – is being called on as the play-caller on defense in his first year.  He is replacing future Hall of Famer, Bobby Wagner, in that role and even though Wagner had lost a step or two in 2025, he was always near the ball if not on the ball.  Can Sonny Styles equal that as a rookie?
  • Giants – 7-10-0:  The biggest positive change for the Giants in 2026 is that with John Harbaugh on the sidelines, the team is under adult supervision.  The last time I could confidently say that was in 2015 when Tom Coughlin was the Giants’ head coach.  I like Jaxon Dart; I like the Giants’ front seven on defense; I like the Giants’ OL.  This is a team on the rise with more than a handful of very good young players.

So, here is my playoff seeding in the NFC:

  • Seed #1:  Rams
  • Seed #2:  Lions
  • Seed #3:  Eagles
  • Seed #4:  Bucs
  • Seed #5:  Seahawks
  • Seed #6:  Bears
  • Seed #7:  Niners

And before I sign off today, here are my thoughts on which team will go “worst to first” in their divisions this year:

  • Cards:  Last in 2025 and will be last again in 2026
  • *Saints:  Last in 2025 but could win a bleak division here in 2026
  • *Lions:  Last in 2025 and I have picked them to win the NFC North this year
  • Giants:  Last in 2025; they will be better in 2026 but not that much better
  • Jets:  Last in 2025; they will improve in 2026 but nowhere near the division champs.
  • Browns:  Last in 2025 and last again in 2026
  • Titans:  Last in 2025; they should improve a little but not nearly enough in 2026
  • Raiders:  Last in 2025 and last again in 2026.

And one last thing to look for this year is a team that won their division in 2025 who might finish last in that division in 2026 – – the “first to worst” horror show:

  • Seahawks:  No way they finish below the Cards
  • *Panthers:  Prime candidates for this ignominy
  • *Bears:  The Division is so tough that this could happen
  • Eagles:  They may take a step back in 2026 but not so far as to trail the Giants
  • Pats:  They are safe given the presence of the Jets and Dolphins in the Division
  • Steelers:  Could take a step back but enough to finish below the Browns?
  • Jags:  Not happening in 2026 with the Titans in the same Division
  • Broncos:  Will not finish below the Raiders.

            Finally, since embarrassing myself is such a large part of this offering, let me close with a few notes on embarrassment:

“For my first show at ‘SNL’, I wrote a Bill Clinton sketch, and during our read-through, it wasn’t getting any laughs. This weight of embarrassment came over me, and I felt like I was sweating from my spine out. But I realized, ‘Okay, that happened, and I did not die.’ You’ve got to experience failure to understand that you can survive it.”  [Tina Fey]

And …

“Embarrassment is where growth happens.”  [Jaylen Brown]

And …

“The rate at which a person can mature is directly proportional to the embarrassment he can tolerate.” [Douglas Engelbart]

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

The Terrion Arnold Situation

There have been reports this week that the Seattle Seahawks have signed/are in the process of signing “free agent” Terrion Arnold.  I put quotation marks there because Terrion Arnold is facing criminal charges such that if convicted, he might be spending life in prison.  That could change the meaning of “free” in the sentence above.  Let me do a reset here:

  • Terrion Arnold is a highly regarded CB from Alabama; he was a first-round pick by the Detroit Lions in 2024.
  • Arnold was arrested and charged with eight felony counts including kidnapping and robbery in June of this year.
  • The Lions released him soon after the arrest.  Dan Campbell said Arnold was a “cool dude” and was sorry that the Lions had to do what they did.
  • A judge released Arnold on $1M bail and allowed him to visit other NFL teams for workouts.
  • Character witnesses including Nick Saban who coached Arnold at Alabama say he is a model citizen, and he carried a 3.8 GPA in high school.  Arnold’s attorney – naturally – says there is no evidence that Arnold is guilty of these charges.

There is no serious question about Terrion Arnold’s ability to play in the NFL; there are serious questions about his availability to play in the NFL over and above the charges pending in court; the NFL has yet to weigh in with any action related to putting Arnold on the “Commissioner’s Exempt List” which means a player can be signed by a team but cannot practice or play for that team until whatever landed him on that list is sufficiently resolved to convince The Commish to remove him from the list.  This situation bears watching not only because of the extraordinary charges in the case but also because several NFL teams have shown interest in signing him despite the charges and the potential suspension.  Stay tuned …

Moving on …  The CFL season is half over; the East Division is a runaway; the West Division is tightly contested.  In the East, the Montreal Alouettes are 9-1-0 and their nearest rival would be Toronto Argonauts at 4-5-0.  At the bottom of the East are the Ottawa Redblacks who are winless at 0-10-0.

The West is much more tightly bunched.  The Edmonton Elks lead the West at 7-3-0 while the fifth-place – – last place – – Calgary Stampeders are 4-6-0.  I will be paying a lot more attention to those western teams from here until Halloween when the CFL playoffs begin.

Switching gears … NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell was speaking with some folks in Germany, and he said he was certain there would be NFL teams (plural) in international cities one of these days.  In 2026, the NFL will have 9 regular season games in 6 different countries and usually NFL games draw significant attendance in overseas venues.  So where might they be?

  • London has hosted more NFL regular season games than any other international city and has two stadium venues that have hosted NFL games.
  • Munich and/or Frankfurt in Germany have hosted successful NFL games in the past.
  • Mexico City has the advantage of being in the same time zone as other NFL teams mitigating some of the travel scheduling quirks for teams playing in international games.
  • I do not think any Canadian cities would be strong candidates because the NFL has 4 teams up against the Canadian border (Seahawks, Vikes, Lions and Bills) and the Canadian cities in the “gaps” between those existing teams seem smaller than optimal for a new NFL franchise.

Next up …  ESPN is going to add Pat McAfee to the cast of Monday Night Countdown.  I am not a Pat McAfee fan; I think his bombast is overdone and is distracting from what is the purpose of a “countdown show”.  But McAfee draws a loyal audience and that is more important to ESPN than content.  There is also a rumor that ESPN will try a Pat McAfee version of the Manningcast on those weeks where the Manning brothers are off doing other things.  For now, there are supposed to be 10 Manningcasts meaning there are at least a half-dozen open weeks for the “McAfee-fests”.  Given his daily show on ESPN and his time on College Game Day, the addition of him to “countdown” and potentially to have him do an alternate telecast of MNF, will certainly have me in an overload situation.

Finally, this from George Burns:

“When I was a boy, the Dead Sea was  only sick.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Two Strange Situations …

The WNBA finds itself in the middle of a societal scuffle over trans athletes and their rights.  This is a self-inflicted wound; the league did not have to chime in; but it has.  Now with former NBA males saying they will declare for the WNBA Draft if all they have to do is proclaim their womanhood, the league is conferring to see what to do next.  That “conferring” has been ongoing for a week or more.

My position here is unchanged.  Post-pubescent males are on average much bigger, stronger and faster than post-pubescent women; to allow most post-pubescent women to stand a chance in competitive sports involving strength and speed, society has created “women’s leagues” in baseball, football, basketball, soccer and ice hockey.  That the women’s leagues would be severely damaged if transgendered males were allowed to play seems as self-evident to me as were the truths that Thomas Jefferson identified in the Declaration of Independence.

And as the WNBA continues to discuss and debate its future position(s) here, the league has become a laughingstock on social media.  Someone who identifies himself as “@matteubanksonline” posted something that sums up where the WNBA is about now:

“The WNBA:  Women, running a women’s only sports league, are meeting with other women to make a decision on what a woman is, so that they can then decide whether to let fake women compete in a league specifically created for women.”

There is no need for pejorative or stigmatizing language there; so, other than the words “fake women”, I think that posting sums up the situation very well.  Bonne chance to the league officials and other conferees in coming up with something that will appease everyone in this matter so that the league can get on with doing its primary function – – entertaining an audience.

Moving on …  Back in 2017, Charles Oakley was “escorted out” of Madison Square Garden allegedly at the instruction of Knicks’ owner James Dolan and Oakley filed a suit against Madison Square Garden and Dolan over the matter.  The charges against James Dolan were dismissed by a judge in 2020, but the action against MSG continued until earlier this week when a judge issued a summary judgement and said the case was over.  Not so, say Oakley’s attorneys who will appeal that judgment and seek an “immediate jury trial”.

This matter has been “backing and forthing” for nine years now; how could either side assert the need for anything labeled as “immediate”?  Oakley claims he was assaulted by the security guards that escorted him out of the venue back then and he was barred from entering the Garden for a short time at the instruction of James Dolan.  That ban on his entering the Garden was reversed in 2017, but Oakley has chosen not to attend Knicks’ games ever since because he demands an apology from Dolan.

Frankly, this sounds like a schoolyard clash of personalities carried out by two chronological adults and not by two teenagers…

Finally, author Margo Jefferson provides a fitting epilogue to today’s topics:

“We Americans are childish about our celebrities and icons. We worship, then we denounce; we identify passionately with them and then, if they do something – anything – we dislike, we cast them off.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Christmas In August ???

There have been many temptresses – real and imaginary – over time including:

  • Cleopatra
  • The Sirens
  • Madame du Barry
  • Theda Bara

Well, the NFL and the NBA might be vying for a place on lists such as the one above when you look at their schedules.  Christmas Day is a “family day”; kids get presents; adults come together in celebration often from remote locales; Christmas dinner is an event.  Well, the NFL and the NBA are hellbent to tempt people this year to abandon the traditional family aspects of Christmas and to plop themselves down in front of their TV sets with fresh batteries in their remotes.  Here is what they have planned; times are Eastern Time:

  • Noon … NBA … Spurs/Knicks
  • 1:00 PM … NFL … Packers/Bears
  • 2:30 PM  … NBA … Heat/Celtics
  • 4:30 PM … NFL … Bills/Broncos
  • 5:00 PM … NBA … Sixers/Lakers
  • 8:00 PM … NBA … Thunder/T-Wolves
  • 8:15 PM … NFL … Rams/Seahawks
  • 10:30 PM … NBA … Nuggets/Warriors

Or, if you prefer, you can watch the 627th rerun of Miracle on 34th Street … it’s your choice.

And speaking of sports on TV, let me go back to the Tony Romo arrest and his subsequent “indefinite suspension” by CBS.  Previously, CBS announced that JJ Watt would move up from the #2 announcing team to join Jim Nantz as the color analyst in the “top slot”.  This week, they announced that Ross Tucker would replace JJ Watt on the #2 announcing team paired with Ian Eagle.  Neither of those two assignments were portrayed as temporary or as a “fill-in”.

From the time of Romo’s arrest, there were people speculating that CBS would use the arrest as a way to separate from Tony Romo because he has a huge contract ($18M per year according to reports) and because his favorability had been declining in recent years.  After this week’s announcement regarding Ross Tucker, I am now inclined to agree with those who think Tony Romo’s days at CBS are numbered.  Obviously, the parties here will keep any employment decisions separate from the adjudication of the charges arising from that arrest; but here is my guess as to what is going on now – – based on gut feel alone and zero direct information:

  • I think the CBS lawyers are pointing to a clause in the contract that says it can be terminated if the talent commits a crime or withholds services or brings ill-repute upon the network.  [Aside: I don’t KNOW there is such a clause, but it seems to me there must be something like that in all such contracts.]
  • Romo’s lawyers are saying that his actions are not criminal offenses in Wisconsin and that he faces no jail time and is at the ready to show up at work and do his thing.  Ergo, if CBS wants to separate him, they can cough up the $18M per year for the four years left on Tony Romo’s contract – a cool $72M.

The parties will threaten and cajole; it will be analogous to Kabuki Theater – – minus the musical accompaniment and the kumadori makeup that are key elements of Kabuki.  CBS wants to pay Romo nothing; just have him go away.  Romo – through his lawyers – wants the $72M that has not been paid to him yet on the contract he signed.

I think the parties here will agree on a payment somewhere between zero and $72M and once that agreement is in place, all other issues will magically disappear, and the parties will sign a non-disclosure agreement and fade to black.

That is what my crystal ball says today; we do know, however, that my crystal ball is often foggy; so, we shall see.

Finally, since I mentioned Christmas Day above, let me close with this thought from humorist, Andy Borowitz:

“Christmas sweaters are only acceptable as a cry for help.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Rest In Peace, Don Nelson

Don Nelson died last weekend.  Most basketball fans recall him for his highly successful coaching career in the NBA; his teams won over 1300 games, and he was inducted into the Naismith Hall of Fame as a coach.  Some of  us are old enough to recall that he also had an 11-year career as an NBA player in the 1960s and 70s and was on five of the Celtics’ championship teams of that era.

Rest in peace, Don Nelson.

Sticking with basketball for a moment, the WNBA needs to find its way out of a sticky situation of its own making.  In its attempts to welcome all flavors of fans and participants, the league has become embroiled in the controversy of “trans women playing in women’s sports”.  As I have argued before, allowing post-pubescent males who have transitioned to female status to compete against women in sports that involve strength and speed is to put ciswomen at a disadvantage.  What makes this issue dicey is that some folks believe that a simple declaration by a male that he sees himself as a woman and wants to project himself as a woman is sufficient for him to “qualify” as a woman.

Well, two former NBA players have said they are going to declare for the WNBA Draft next year and assert their womanhood as the basis for them being drafted.  Their NBA days are well in the past, but they are larger than WNBA  players (6’8” – 6’10”) and about 260 lbs.  Ignoring any ideas about dominating play in WNBA games, their size and strength would raise the possibility of injury to women players significantly; these men are double the weight of some WNBA players.

The league is holding meetings and consultations to decide what it should do.  I think the end result ought to recognize the physical realities of men’s basketball and women’s basketball as the same sport but different games.  The CBA under which the WNBA exists states that the league is for women; what the league now needs to do is to define what it believes a woman is and that plays against a backdrop of high emotion when considering the issue.

Given that the league has not been able to make it clear that intentional fouling and dangerous fouling during games is inappropriate behavior – – something that is ingrained in men’s basketball at multiple levels – – this decision making must be causing mass agita among the league’s movers and shakers.

And one more item today about basketball …  The LA Lakers have been sold.  Yes, you remember correctly, it was only a year ago that the Buss family sold a majority stake in the Lakers to Mark Walter for $10B.  Well, Walter has now decided to sell that stake to a group led by Bob Iger (former CEO of Disney) and Joshua Kushner (Jared’s brother), and the sale price now values the Lakers at $12.5B.  That is a tidy 25% capital gain in just over a  year for Mr. Walter.

According to reports, this deal came together over a weekend of negotiation; there was no “auction bidding” to drive up the price.  Some folks believe that a Federal investigation into some of Mark Walter’s other financial dealings may have been a motivation for his selling his stake in the Lakers; only time will reveal if those speculations have any basis in reality.  And of course, the NBA governors – – not owners, please – – will have to approve the sale.

This purchase by Iger and Kushner might have a small deleterious effect on the NBA expansion franchise expected to be in Las Vegas because Iger and Kushner were reported to be seriously involved in the planning for that team.  There are some deep pockets involved in the pursuit of that new franchise and some “blue ribbon” individuals.  An heiress to the Walton money is supposedly involved and another group is fronted by Magic Johnson.  And there are at least a couple of other potential bidders.  About a month ago, I read a report saying that the two new franchises in the NBA would cost $7B to $9B; with the Lakers going for $12.5B, I suspect the expansion cost just went up.

Obviously, I don’t have tens of billions of dollars lying around doing nothing important; but if I did, I am not sure I would be looking to buy into the NBA as opposed to taking a piece of an NFL team or a club in the English Premier League.  Having said that, the investment in the Lakers just a year ago turned into a tidy profit for Mark Walter – – so what do I know?

I mentioned Bob Iger as the Disney CEO above; Disney owns ABC and ESPN and ESPN has continued its purge of on-air talent this week.  Yesterday, Damien Woody was let go by the network after 15 years there.  One report said that Woody’s contract was worth “almost 7 figures” and if that is accurate it seems as if ESPN is trimming pretty close to the bone here.    I liked Damien Woody when he appeared on Get Up!; I thought that his comments and contributions were always measured and thoughtful.  If this separation had happened a year ago, I would have suggested that Woody could find a home at NFL Network; but today, ESPN owns NFL Network so that seems an unlikely landing spot for Woody.  Nonetheless, I hope to see him on the air again somewhere down the road.

Finally, this anecdote from Jim Valvano:

“I asked a ref if he could give me a technical foul for thinking bad things about him. He said, of course not. I said, well, I think you stink. And he gave me a technical. You can’t trust em.“

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

NFL Synoptic View – 2026

With the start of the NFL regular season less than a month away, I want to spend time today taking a synoptic view of the league and the upcoming season.  I will try to highlight things to look for as the season unfolds and to look at some ongoing issues I have with the universally acknowledged behemoth of US sports.  And I want to begin with the demise of the “Rooney Rule”.

This rule was well-intentioned from the start even if it had no enforcement mechanism.  The idea was to give minority coaching candidates a better chance to get one of the 32 head coaching jobs in the NFL than had been the case over most of the history of the league.  Some critics said that the rule was not about “minorities”; it was about Black head coaches, and it seems that there is a basis for that criticism.  Lots of commentators today say that there are only 3 minority coaches in the NFL, but actually, there are 3 Black, head coaches and a Hispanic head coach and a Muslim head coach of Lebanese extraction.  Put all of that aside …

Last year, the league turned over about 25% of its head coaches.  No Black men were elevated to those jobs; Robert Saleh was the only minority hired in the process.  And that happened even though the original “Rooney Rule” that required every owner/GM to interview one minority candidate for the job had been expanded to two mandatory interviews and expanded to coordinator and GM positions.  It is time to deal with reality.

NFL owners are going to hire whomever they damned well please to coach the teams they own.  If that means they must conduct a sham interview or three along the way, they will do that to abide by the rule and not incur the wrath of The Commish.  So, what started out as a well-intentioned step toward “social justice” has become feckless and demeaning to some of the people the rule intended to benefit.  Put the Rooney Rule out to pasture.

When Adam Vinatieri entered the Pro Football Hall of Fame this summer, he did so before Tom Brady, Robert Kraft and Bill Belichick.  Raise your hand if you said 15 years ago that would be the case …

There will be a couple of minor rule changes this season but a rule change that I would favor was not under consideration.  I want to get rid of Overtime Games in the regular season and give both teams involved a “half-win” and a “half loss”.  Here’s why:

  • Having tied games in the standings cannot be anathema because they are tolerated after 10 extra minutes of play without complaint.
  • The fact that the league cut the OT limit from 15 minutes to 10 minutes as a “player health and safety” advancement raises the question of why play even a minute of OT if it is dangerous to player safety and health.

Opposition to this idea could come from the sportsbooks who offer win total bets in half-game increments; having teams with “half wins” on their record could create push bets there.

I said there would be some minor rule changes this year.

  • Probably the most significant rule change is one that won’t happen very often.  Starting in 2025 a team can declare an onside kick at any point in the game.  Before now, it could only be in the 4th quarter by a team trailing on the scoreboard.   An onside kick cannot be a surprise; it still must be declared.
  • The second minor rule change could become a major change if indeed it is invoked.  Starting in 2026, “league personnel” may consult with on-field officials when considering disqualifications for both flagrant football acts and non-football acts without any infraction being called on the field.   For the record, “league personnel” translates to the good folks manning the replay apparatus.  And if they do this correctly and use replay to find out who initiated an “unsportsmanlike display” instead of who merely retaliated, it could be very valuable in cutting out some of the nonsensical fracases that happen periodically.

The resignation of Mike Tomlin as the Steelers’ head coach was a boon to the sports broadcasting industry.  Tomlin made his debut on the set of Football Night In America in the Hall of Fame game and looked like a seasoned pro who had been doing that for years.  He conducted player interviews and actually asked some follow-up questions in the session; how refreshing is that?

Tomlin’s resignation also removed a Super Bowl winning coach from the sidelines, but it also allowed for another Super Bowl winning coach to return to the sidelines.  Mike McCarthy replaced Mike Tomlin in Pittsburgh.  Interestingly, McCarthy’s presence in Pittsburgh sets up an interesting comparison:

  • There are only 4 Super Bowl winning head coaches who are still with the team where the coach won the Super Bowl.  They are Andy Reid (Chiefs), Sean McVay (Rams), Nick Siriani (Eagles) and Mike MacDonald (Seahawks).
  • Meanwhile there are 3 Super Bowl winning coaches who now coach a team different from the one where they won the Super Bowl.  They are Mike McCarthy (Steelers), John Harbaugh (Giants) and Sean Payton (Saints).
  • This tells me that winning a Super Bowl does not necessarily guarantee a coach a position for life within an organization – – as Bill Belichick found out about 2 seasons ago.

While I am on the subject of “Super Bowls” – at least tangentially – there are still four NFL teams that have never participated in the game.  Only one of those teams is in the NFC (Detroit Lions) and three are in the AFC (Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans and Jax Jags).  In one of his football novels, Dan Jenkins had the Lions in the Super Bowl game – -as the loser naturally – and in the movie Draft Day, the Browns’ GM’s brilliance in the draft has convinced Clevelanders that this is their year for the Super Bowl.  It won’t happen, but wouldn’t it be a great storyline of the Lions met the Browns in the Super Bowl in February 2027?

In order to be able to play in the Super Bowl a team must first make it to the playoffs.  I ran across this stat about playoff absences:

  • If the Jets miss the playoffs again this year (as surely looks likely) it will be the 16th consecutive season for the Jets’ team to be sitting at home watching the playoffs on TV.
  • That 16-year absence would be the longest playoff drought in all the major US sports – – MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL.
  • J – E – T – S … JETS, JETS, JETS !

Speaking of the Jets, do you remember that the Jets went through the entire regular season in 2025 – – all 17 games – – without intercepting a pass thrown by an opposing QB?  Opponents threw the ball 515 times against the Jets’ defense in 2025 and suffered ZERO INTs.

I mentioned the Hall of Fame game above.  I rarely watch that game because it is usually an ugly contest where only very few of the players have a realistic shot at sticking with their team in September.  This year’s game was different; there were two QBs on the field who looked as if they were indeed going to spend time in the NFL.  Carson Beck and Haynes King both looked like “real QBs” in the game.

I have a theory about why that was the case:

  • Carson Beck played all or part of 6 seasons of college football.  [Aside: Don’t get me started on that …]  He appeared in 55 games including 43 games over the last 3 seasons.
  • Haynes King also played all or part of 6 seasons of college football.  He appeared in 46 games including 36 games over the last 3 seasons.
  • Both Beck and Haynes have had time to “mature” and “develop their craft”.  Some top-shelf college QBs declare for the NFL with twenty or fewer game appearances and lots less practice time and coaching instruction.  Those “greener QBs” may have more athletic skill that either Beck or King, but they often have a lot to learn about the game itself – – and it looked to me as if both King and Beck have figured a lot of that stuff out already.

There are some new/interesting features on the NFL regular season schedule and calendar this year.  The international game schedule will expand to include Australia in Week 1 involving the Rams and the Niners.  All in all, there will be nine regular season games played in overseas venues in 2026 with stops in Rio de Janeiro, London (3 games), Madrid, Mexico City, Munich and Paris in addition to the game in Melbourne, Australia.  The game in Paris (Saints/Steelers) will be the first one in France too.

Also, for the first time ever, there will be an NFL game on “Thanksgiving Eve”.  That game will feature the Rams and the Packers and will be available on Netflix.  And there will be one other Wednesday game on the docket this season.  Because of the travel time and the time change involved in that Week 1 game in Australia, the league needed to slot it in on Thursday of Week 1.  That schedule slot is normally reserved for the reigning Super Bowl champs to kick off the season and so the league stuck with that “season opening tradition” and moved the Seahawks/Pats Super Bowl rematch to Wednesday night of Week 1.

That “Super Bowl rematch” has an interesting wrinkle.  The Super Bowl MVP was Kenneth Walker II, and the Seahawks lost him in free agency.  The other main RB for the Seahawks last season was Zach Charbonneau who will not be available until mid-season as he recovers/rehabs from surgery.  Super Bowl champions usually lose players in free agency; that is not particularly noteworthy; but the Seahawks will either have to sign an experienced RB late in the Training Camp cycle or go with a tandem of rookies at the position.

Off-season trades involving top-shelf players are not a staple of your typical NFL off-seasons.  However, this year Myles Garrett, Trent McDuffie, Jaylen Waddle, Maxx Crosby and DJ Moore were traded from one team to another.  [Aside:  Yes, I know; the Crosby trade was reneged, and he is still with the Raiders – – but they tried to trade him this summer.]  And probably the most anticipated trade and the one that inspired the most commentary was the one that sent AJ Brown from the Eagles to the Pats.  When you add up all the “inside info” and the “remote mind reading” that preceded that swap, it almost equaled the hoopla associated with the Travis Kelce/Taylor Swift relationship/marriage.

The removal of Brown from the Eagles’ roster makes the Eagles an interesting focal point for the season.  As has been the case for every year of the Nick Siriani regime, the Eagles have a new offensive coordinator; Sean Mannion will scheme their offense and call the plays in 2026.  The Eagles’ offense in 2025 was far too predictable; this is Mannion’s first coaching position where he will call plays; so, even if he too is predictable, it might take defensive coordinators a while to figure out his tendencies.

One of Sean Mannion’s unwritten responsibilities is to rejuvenate the career of Jalen Hurts who took a lot of the blame for a stagnant Eagles’ offense in 2025.  In addition, a lot of the remote mindreading involving the AJ Brown trade focused on Hurts and his purported relationship rupture with Brown.  Good luck to Sean Mannion on his multi-faceted set of responsibilities; Philly fans are so patient that they will surely give him the benefit of the doubt for at least the first two games of the season.

Many people think the Eagles’ QB needs a new incarnation.  Such is not the case in Miami; Malik Willis is the starter there and is not in danger of losing that job unless he is injured.  Here are two disturbing stats for Dolphins’ fans:

  • Malik Willis has never thrown more than 40 completions in an NFL season in his career.
  • Unless I missed someone on the Dolphins’ depth chart, Malik Washington caught the most passes last season; he snagged all of 46 of them.
  • Stats aren’t everything to be sure, but those are foreboding omens…

Another interesting QB situation came out of the blue just this week.  Teddy Bridgewater was in the Lions’ Training Camp as the backup to Jared Goff; then he announced that he was retiring from football and that left the Lions with only 2 QBs on the roster – – Jared Goff and Luke Altmyer.  You will be excused if you do not immediately identify Luke Altmyer from your memory; he is an undrafted free agent this year out of Illinois.  So, the translation of that situation is:

  • The Lions needed a backup QB in case Jared Goff has to miss time in 2026.

The Lions addressed that need quickly signing Joshua Dobbs to a 1-year deal.  Dobbs has been in and around the NFL since 2017 and the Lions will be his seventh stop along the way.  In his career, Dobbs has started a total of 15 games; that is a classic background for a backup QB and the fact that Dobbs has been around in that sort of role for so long and with so many teams speaks to the fact that he is unlikely to be a royal pain in the ass in the locker room.

The NFL as a whole continued seemingly to print money last year.  Since the Packers are a public corporation, the Packers must open their books to meet legal requirements and from that one can deduce something about NFL finances.  One thing in those Packers’ filings is that the team received $453M from the league as its share of the national revenue for 2025.  Since that national revenue is shared equally among the teams the math here says:

  • $453M per team X 32 teams = $14.5B for the league

And that league revenue number is probably a tad smaller than reality because the NFL Front Office has to take a piece of the action – – sort of like “League Overhead” before the teams get their share of the bounty.  And with expanded TV options continuing to surface – – see the Wednesday Night Games discussed above as one example – – that revenue is not going to dry up and blow away any time soon.

Earlier, when speaking about the actual demise of the Rooney Rule, I said that owners looked to evade the wrath of The Commish.  However, a recent comment by one of the owners, Jimmy Haslam, is likely to have gotten some scrutiny from The Commish in camera.  In an interview, Haslam did what owners often do around this time of the year; he expressed hope and optimism for his team.  But Haslam took that sort of upbeat posture to a different level.  He said that his team – the Browns – were going to beat the Las Vegas estimate of 5.5 wins for the season and went so far as to say he would take the OVER.

With all the issues and problems involving gambling on sports and the integrity of the games and all that stuff, I cannot believe that Roger Goodell needed one of the owners to be giving out “betting advice”.  Agreed, it is better that Haslam took the position that he did in lieu of saying that his team would suck rocks this season and be lucky to win even a game or two; but “taking the OVER” is stretching a point.

Finally, I’ll end this synoptic view of the NFL prior to the 2026 season with these words from Vince Lombardi”

“Leaders are made, they are not born.  They are made by hard effort which is the price which all of us must pay to achieve any goal that is worthwhile.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

NFL Coaches On A Hot Seat – 2026

I know that NFL teams are still early on in Training Camps, and I also know that mid to late August could become “hectic” here in Curmudgeon Central.  As I discovered last season, it is advantageous for me – – and for you as a reader – – to break down my pre-season rants about the NFL into smaller chunks.  And that is why I will start today with NFL Coaches on a Hot Seat in 2026.  Last season, 8 teams – – 25% of the league – – fired their head coaches and “went in a different direction”.

I will not be surprised to see 7 to 10 teams take that opportunity starting in January 2027, so my listing today has some speculative names on there.  Those seats will only heat up based on underachieving expectations in 2026 – – and I don’t only mean fan expectations; I mean owner expectations.  I will list my Hot Seat denizens alphabetically so there is no suggestion of a prioritization here.

  • Todd Bowles – Bucs:  His is one of the harder coaching résumés to explain.  He has been with the Bucs for 4 seasons; the Bucs won the division and went to the playoffs in the first three of those seasons.  They missed the playoffs last year and even with those three division championships, Bowles’ total record with the Bucs is a mediocre 35-33-0.  I think he will need the Bucs to make the playoffs either as division champions again or as a wildcard entry for him to keep his job.  Bowles is signed through the 2028 NFL season; his salary is not disclosed but reports say it is around $5M per year.  So, if the owners want to get rid of him, the buyout would not be much of an obstacle for them.
  • Dave Canales – Panthers:  They won their division last year with a record of 8-9-0.  The Panthers’ owner can be described generously as “impulsive”.  Another playoff appearance would be nice – – but I think a double-digit win season would be even better.  He is signed through the 2029 season but if reports are correct that he makes only $4M per year, that would not be much of a deterrent for a twitchy owner.
  • Aaron Glenn – Jets:  I know that he is only starting his second season with the Jets but last year was well beyond frustrating and lapped over into the realm of embarrassing.  He has already purged his subordinates – the ones he hired just a  year ago – meaning there is little cover to be found there.  The Jets open on the road against the Titans; that could be an important game for Aaron Glenn because the next three games are against the Packers, Lions and Bears.  Starting the season at 0-4 will not go down well with the fans or the less-than-forgiving NYC media.  The schedule is not a killer overall, but I think Aaron Glenn needs to win 6 games or more to keep his job.  His contract runs through the 2029 NFL season.
  • Dan Quinn – Commanders:  You can write off last year’s debacle to injuries, and you would have a point in doing so.  However, another major contributor to the debacle was an atrocious defense that gave up 26.5 points per game and 384 yards per game.  Why is that important?  Dan Quinn made his way in the NFL as a “defense guy” and his two years in DC should be embarrassing even to the local fanboys.  His contract runs through the end of the 2028 season with a salary reportedly at $4.5M per year.
  • Brian Schottenheimer – Cowboys:  Jerry Jones does not have a hair trigger when it comes to firing coaches; but if the Cowboys miss the playoffs with a team that Jones has publicly labeled as Super Bowl contenders, he might be forced to make a grand gesture to preserve his assessment that this was a Super Bowl level roster that he compiled.  Schottenheimer’s contract runs through the 2028 season, and I have not been able to find any reports about salary figures in that deal.
  • Nick Siriani – Eagles:  Stay with me here …  There were too many rumblings about locker room disharmony last year for this to be purely a wins and losses situation.  The Eagles suffered a “Super Bowl letdown” to be sure but that excuse won’t play again in 2026.  In addition, the Eagles’ ownership has shown no compunctions about firing successful coaches in the past.  Siriani has been on the job for 8 seasons with 7 playoff appearances, 2 Super Bowl appearances and 1 Super Bowl win.  Nonetheless, the Eagles fired Andy Reid and also fired Doug Pedersen only two years removed from a Lombardi Trophy.  Nick Siriani needs to be sure there is no “locker-room nonsense” this year; and a playoff win would be helpful too.
  • Shane Steichen – Colts:  He was the Eagles’ offensive coordinator when they won the Super Bowl in 2022; that is the credential that got him this job with the Colts.  In his three seasons with the Colts, they have  yet to go to the playoffs and the combined record for the three seasons is 25-26-0.  Meh!  His contract runs through the end of the NFL 2028 season and even though the salary structure in that deal is not disclosed, various reports place it in the neighborhood of $6M per season.  I think it will take a playoff appearance for Shane Steichen to keep his job.
  • Zac Taylor – Bengals:  He has been on the job in Cincy for 7 seasons now; in that time, he has been to the playoffs twice and to the Super Bowl once; the Bengals have missed the playoff is the other five seasons including the last three in a row.  On one hand, I am surprised that Taylor is still in Cincy because with a QB of Joe Burrow’s caliber, one should expect more playoff appearances.  On the other hand, ownership in Cincy does not like to pay coaches not to coach the Bengals.  Taylor’s contract reportedly runs through the 2027 season so this year may just be a “warm seat” for him that has the potential to get “seriously hot” in 2027.

There are  a couple of coaches whose seats should not be hot except for some abjectly unrealistic expectations by either fans or owners.  I will list them here even though there is no rational reason to consider firing them:

  • Matt LaFleur – Packers:  His last playoff win was in the 2021 season but the thinking in Green Bay is that they should be in the NFC title game at least once every few years.
  • Kevin O’Connell – Vikes:  He eked out a 9-8 record last year with the most substandard QB play for a team with a winning record.  The team fired the GM in the offseason and signed Kyler Murray as a free agent with an incentive loaded deal.  I suspect that the owners’ expectations are double digit wins and/or a division title in 2025.
  • Mike Vrabel – Pats:  There is no “coaching reason” for him to be mentioned here but if by some twist of fate, the off-field scandal hanging over his head sends the ‘Sordid Meter” up to 10 …

            So, there is my assessment of coaches who might be in “job search mode” by the time the Super Bowl takes place.  As always, I will return to these prognostications to grade them after the season is over.

One last thing …  If a team seriously underperforms early this year, there may be an outside factor that owners may consider when it comes to a mid-season firing.  Mike Tomlin is out there without work; Mike Tomlin is a good football coach; getting the opportunity to start gauging his interest in a return to the sidelines could motivate an owner to fire a coach before Halloween.  Just a thought …

Finally, I’ll close with this from George “Papa Bear” Halas:

“Nothing is work, unless you’d rather be doing something else.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports.

 

 

Two Travesties Today

The WNBA is a fiasco; it simply cannot be taken seriously.  Yes, the product on TV has improved over the past several seasons to the point where I can watch a half of a game without flipping channels.  However, the demands of the players and the league officials to be taken seriously as a key component of the US sporting landscape are preposterous.

There was a social media posting – – since taken down to be sure – – showing two of the more prominent WNBA players making a $400 bet on a game their two teams were going to play.  The league says that the video posting “missed the mark” but that that the two players would not be punished.  And I am supposed to take the WNBA seriously…?

Here is the statement from the WNBA about how this is handled:

“While the social media post was intended to be lighthearted, WNBA players are well aware of the league’s policies prohibiting betting on WNBA games and receive training every year reinforcing those policies.  We recognized tat the post missed the mark, removed it shortly after it was published and addressed the matter internally.

“We will use this as an opportunity to reemphasize with the players involved that conversations about wagering on WNBA games even when intended as a joke can have negative consequences.”

That’s it; the league will use this as a teachable moment.  Oh, by the way, this behavior by two of the league’s stars does not speak highly of the effectiveness of the training that players get “every year reinforcing [the league’s gambling] policies.

The Phillies play the Nats tonight in Philly; imagine if there were a video of the two starting pitchers making a bet on the outcome of tonight’s game before it began and that the video was posted on any of the myriad social media sites.  What might be the reaction of MLB Commissioner, Rob Manfred?  Probably something a bit more stern than an assessment that the video “missed the mark”.

I have no objection to gambling on sporting events; I have been known to do so on more than one occasion.  I also have no objection to symbolic wagers of trivial value made by team owners or the mayors of competing cities.  I do have a serious objection to players betting on games in which they will participate.  And no; that serious objection is not mitigated by the fact that both players bet on their teams to win.

This is the same league where in the past a team had a serious flight delay and did not get into the city where they were scheduled to play until the early morning hours.  Not good; but not nearly fatal.  That team simply did a “no-show” for the game and left the fans who had gone to see that game high and dry.  No punishment there either.

  • Memo to the WNBA:  If you want to be taken seriously – – as seriously as the NBA is taken in the sports universe – – you must behave seriously and you must punish improper behavior.
  • Until then, you are consigned to the kiddies’ table.

And speaking of sports entities that might not be worthy of serious consideration, let me move on to a report about the Akron Zips football team which is part of the MAC.  Based on a random drawing of season ticket holders – – MAC teams have such people? – – one lucky fanboy will get to be the “Offensive Coordinator of the Game”.  Seriously …

The winner will get to work with the coaches, and he/she will script the opening drive in Akron’s home opening game on September 12th against Robert Morris.  Here is part of the official announcement of this brainstorm:

“The selected fan will work directly with Zips’ football head coach Joe Moorhead to help design the plays that open the game — a first-of-its-kind experience for the Akron program.
‘We’re always looking for new ways to bring our fans closer to the program,’ said Dr. Andrew T. Goodrich, Director of Athletics. ‘This is about giving one of our most loyal supporters a seat at the table, right alongside our coaching staff, on the biggest night of the season.’”

And I am supposed to take MAC football seriously …?

Finally, this observation by Albert Camus seems apropos as a close for today:

“Basically, at the very bottom of life, which seduces us all, there is only absurdity, and more absurdity. And maybe that’s what gives us our joy for living, because the only thing that can defeat absurdity is lucidity.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

 

 

Overplaying One’s Hand

Today, I want to review two situations where someone grossly overplayed their hand.  I’ll start with Gianni Infantino, the President of FIFA.  The World Cup Tournament this year was a huge success; depending on which report you read, FIFA generated somewhere between $13B and $18B in revenue from the tournament,  Infantino had been rubbing elbows with the heads of state for Canada, Mexico and the US.  Good vibes in abundance …

Infantino is up for election/reelection to this position as FIFA president next Spring.  With that successful World Cup in the books, you would think he was a shoo-in for another term; who would want to change a winner?  And then came the overplayed hand…

Infantino floated the idea of creating a new entity that would have private investors and would stage FIFA events and dip into what is currently FIFA’s “profits”.    [Aside:  Remember that FIFA is technically a non-profit entity so maybe those “profits” need to be called “surpluses of funds”?]  That idea floated like an anvil; soccer associations around the world received the news about as happily as a wedgie; boycotts of FIFA events were pledged by Europe, North America. South America and Asia; declarations of “no confidence” rained down on Gianni Infantino.

According to reports, Infantino makes about $6M per year as FIFA president plus there is a generous expense account for his travels and representational activities.  You would think that would be sufficient, but according to some reporting, his “privatization plan” would have created a position for him where he would make about $30M per year.  International soccer has a ton of politics and intrigue associated with it; Infantino had rivals and jealousies to deal with under any circumstances; that possible five-fold increase in his compensation was sufficient for those rivals to coalesce against him.  Most reports now say that his re-election is in serious jeopardy.

Here is just one of more than a few statements made by Infantino opponents on this matter:

“A proposal of this magnitude [the privatization of the World Cup] does not reach that stage by accident.  It is a symptom of leadership that has stopped putting football first.  This recent unilateral and egregious act of poor governance and leadership follows a pattern of missteps and similar behavior.  A full review of this leadership must now take place.”

And meanwhile, the Prince of Jordan has accused FIFA of withholding Jordan’s piece of the action as a FIFA member in addition to several US cities claiming that FIFA has stiffed them for expense reimbursements related to the World Cup staged in North America this year. Put those complaints together in juxtaposition with the “privatization plan” and you have a situation akin to a guy who ran a Ponzi scheme making millions off other people also being accused of being a deadbeat dad.  Not a good look at all …

The second entity to overplay its hand would be the State of Maryland.  About a month ago, Churchill Downs offered to buy the Preakness and the people who “own” the Preakness took them up on the offer.  However, the State of Maryland had a right of first refusal to match any such offer, and it did so.  OK, that isn’t such a horrible action…

Then the Maryland Governor went into rhetorical overdrive and declared that the State’s action there saved and preserved Maryland racing; this would make sure that the Preakness would be run in Maryland and overseen by Marylanders forever and a day.  Good triumphed over evil – – notwithstanding the fact that Churchill Downs also said they wanted to keep the Preakness event at the newly renovated Pimlico racetrack.

I have no idea if the Governor’s rhetorical gas was the motivation for what was announced earlier this week; you make the call:

  • Churchill Downs and the New York Racing Authority (NYRA) announced that they had created “a six-race series for 3-year-olds that will include the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes and award $5 million in bonus money based on a points structure for participation.”  The series would be known as the Thoroughbred Championship Series; it will begin in 2027; AND it does NOT include The Preakness.   Ooops …

The series will start with the Kentucky Derby then comes the Belmont Stakes followed by a stakes race at Churchill then two at Saratoga, and a final race at Churchill in the Fall.  If the Thoroughbred Championship Series catches on, that could well mean the demise of the Triple Crown, and it could leave Pimlico and the Preakness high and dry.  With $5M up for grabs based on “participation” more than a few owners and trainers will commit to some or all the 6 races in the series and just skip the Preakness leaving that race with junior varsity players.

Somehow, I don’t foresee the Maryland Governor standing up and waxing poetically about the running of “Preakness-Lite” anytime soon.

Finally, let me close here with an observation by Lawrence J. Peter that might be applicable to Gianni Infantino and the governor of Maryland:

“It two wrongs don’t make a right, try three.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………

 

 

Football Stuff Today

ESPN has announced Ryan Clark’s replacement on Monday Night Countdown; Jason McCourty will get that assignment along with Scott Van Pelt, Marcus Peters and Jason Kelce.  I have enjoyed McCourty’s work with NFL Network on Good Morning Football; this seems to be a promotion for him in his broadcasting career.  Do not be confused; Jason McCourty is on ESPN and his identical twin brother, Devin McCourty, is on NBC’s Football Night In America.  Get a scorecard to keep all that straight.

Much has been made leading up to the opening of NFL Training Camps about the QB competition in Cleveland.  From a historical perspective, the Browns re-entered the NFL in 1999 and if I have counted correctly, they have started 42 different quarterbacks in the 27 years of this incarnation of the franchise.  The battle for the starting job this year will likely not increase that number because the battle is between Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders both of whom have started games for the Browns in previous seasons.  Even the “third guy” hovering around the fringes of that competition, Dillon Gabriel, was a starter for the Browns last year.

The only candidate in Browns’ camp who could be starter #43 would be Taylen Green who was drafted in the 6th round back in April this year.  He played at Boise St. and Arkansas in his college days.  Green drew attention at the NFL Combine where he broke existing records in the broad jump and the vertical jump; he also was timed at 4.36 seconds in the 40-yard dash which is CB or WR speed.

And speaking of young QBs seeking NFL employment, the Baltimore Ravens released Diego Pavia before they opened their Training Camp.  Remember Pavia led Vanderbilt to football respectability last season and finished second in the Heisman voting to Fernando Mendoza in December.  Mendoza was the overall #1 pick; Pavia went undrafted and signed on with the Ravens at his choosing.  That simply did not work out.

It would seem to me that the NFL is an unlikely employer for Diego Pavia in 2026; whatever “negatives” allowed 32 teams to pass on drafting the Heisman runner-up 7 times each would only seem to be reinforced by the Ravens’ decision to release him before Training Camp began.   So, what options does he have?

  • He could emulate Doug Flutie and Warren Moon and go play in the CFL with the idea of generating enough success there to get some interest from other NFL teams.   The current CFL season is almost half over; so, it is not likely that he would get a lot of work this year, but if he signed on now with a team, he might have a chance to be a player/starter there in 2027.
  • He could certainly play in the UFL next spring and possibly use his showing there as a résumé builder that could get him an invitation to an NFL Training Camp or to a team in the CFL.

Rejection is not something new to Diego Pavia.  Coming out of high school, he got zero scholarship offers from Division 1 schools and began his college career with 2 years at the New Mexico Military Institute.  From there, he went to New Mexico State for another two seasons – – hardly a perennial powerhouse in collegiate football and then on to two more years at Vandy which is in a Power 4 conference, but it had not been highly competitive there on a consistent basis.  In his two years at Vandy, the Commodores went 17-9.  To put that in perspective, in the five years before Pavia showed up at Vandy, the cumulative team record was 12-45.

Obviously, he can be an effective QB; what he seems to need is a place to showcase his talents on the field against pro level competition.  I am certainly not one of his advisors, but I think the best thing he can do is to sign on now with a CFL team and try to adjust to that game as preparation for a serious campaign for a starting job there in 2027.

Finally, this from Jerry Seinfeld:

“It’s amazing that the amount of news that happens in the world every day always just exactly fits the newspaper.”

But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………