I have highlighted here some of the surprising results from a few first round World Cup games, but some other commentators have drawn conclusions from those results that I think are overblown.
- Yes it was a humongous “upset” when Cape Verde and Spain played to a full-time draw.
- No, that result does not justify expansion of the tournament to 48 teams nor does it provide a justification for further expansion.
Let me provide an analogy here. March Madness expanded to 64 teams in 1985; there have been 41 tournaments since then where teams seeded #16 and #15 had the opportunity to have won first round games. There are 8 such games in each tournament so the universe of possible upsets of that sort is 328 games.
- Teams seeded #16 have won twice = 1.22% winning effort
- Teams seeded #15 have won eleven times = 6.71% winning effort
- Combined winning percentage for teams seeded #15 and #16 = 3.96%
Those improbable results happen simply because improbable results happen every day if you consider enough different sets of events. But that does not justify looking for ways to have even more such oddities. Just enjoy the fact that some of the “upstart teams” in Round 1 of the World Cup this year provided some juice to the tournament but don’t call for further expansion of the field and do not believe that these upstart teams are going to make it to the Finals because that would be more than just an oddity.
Moving on … Medical science and surgical procedures continue to advance. On May 6th, Tarik Skubal underwent surgery on his pitching elbow to remove “loose bodies”. Twenty years ago, that could well have been season-ending surgery but not in 2026:
- On June 7th – – 32 days after his surgery – – Skubal started a minor league game for the West Michigan Whitecaps.
- Skubal was on a pitch count and was lifted after 3.1 hitless innings and 54 pitches. Of those 54 pitches, 44 were strikes.
- On June 13th – – 38 days after his surgery – – Skubal was pitching for the Detroit Tigers and registered a fastball in the game at 99.9 mph.
The surgery was performed by Dr. Neal ElAttrache and the procedure employs a contraption known as the “NanoNeedle Scope”. The question here about this surgery and this contraption is simple:
- Was this outcome wildly serendipitous or is this a harbinger of surgical triumph for MLB pitchers?
- The sample size is far too small to be conclusive – – but these results sure do look enticing.
The first Tommy John surgery was done in the 1970s and it was a breakthrough that extended pitching careers significantly. Tommy John himself pitched in MLB for 13 seasons after his surgery. Could the “NanoNeedle Scope” do something similar? If so, how should this procedure be named:
- Skubal Surgery?
- Neal’s NanoNeedle?
One more thing … Tiago Splitter has left the head coaching position with the Portland TrailBlazers and signed on to be the head coach of the Chicago Bulls.
- Would it be proper to say that Tiago “Splittered” from Portland to go to Chicago?
Finally, today’s closing thought comes from comedienne, Rita Rudner:
“I was going to have cosmetic surgery until I noticed that the doctor’s office was full of portraits by Picasso.”
But don’t get me wrong, I love sports………